JSleeprStats

Announcement ‼️ Sometime this week I will be starting a Substack that will be covering NBA, WNBA, and NFL to give you guys the best betting edge possible. - I want to find more ways to help yall. Similar to how I do breakdowns for games for NBA and NFL through film and data, I'll be posting there. - Minimum of 3-5 articles per week that should cover recaps, trends, game previews for all three sports. - Any edge I can find, we'll talk about it through the Substack. - Will try to have articles out each morning as I'll be putting a ton of time and effort into this. - Will always try to answer questions to the best of my abilities whenever you have them. Any other ideas you would like me to add to this to make the best experience, feel free to comment below and let me know!

@CFBchamp 🎯

@JSleeprStats yup was either cardoso under or az over. that 2nd half adjustment was def noticeable

Azura Stevens o21.5 PRA / -125 B365, -120 Fliff ( I am okay with bumped lines at 22.5 that are around -110 ish on DK, FD. If you have fliff or 365 I would play that) The fire made a 2H adjustments in limiting Cardoso. They ran strictly drop coverage and or just used stevens guy to help off to help with the roll. This is why stevens had 4 3PA in the 2H. This led to cardoso only having 2 FGA in the 2nd half. In counter this led to SDS having 12 points Now one of the things i noticed is that the fire still blitzed the sky. They just blitzed the big who wasn't guarding Cardoso. Azura stevens in the 2nd half had 7 points(2-6 shooting) 8 rebounds 4 assist Her rebounds are interesting as she has the smaller defender on her as the fire don't really have a big lineup. She was able to grab 6 oreb. Cardoso guarded megan a stretch big which at times brought her out to the perimeter Azura minutes have gotten much higher as of late with the past 3 games avg 27 minutes. On the season she averages 21 minutes The thing with azura is she has gotten a ton of volume when she sees 23+ minutes. Across 6 games with 23+ minutes she is averaging 11.5 FGA per game. Against teams 8-15 in defending PRA at her position she is averaging 23.6 PRA and over this line 4/5 games Against teams B8 in defending PRA AND B9 in points in the paint allowed she is over this line 4/4 times averaging 25.8 PRA Recent 4s against the fire Awak 24 PRA Nia 24 PRA(21 min) Nalyssa Smith 25 PRA(25 min) Nneka 39 PRA kayla 29 PRA

SYDNEY TAYLOR IS NOT AFRAID

@CFBchamp Appreciate you 🙏🏽

Stats per @JSleeprStats big shoutout to him and the work he did with his funnels. Will be huge this season. The Sun are one of the worst defenses in the league and I expect mitchell to thrive here 14th in Drive FREQ allowed 12th in Rim FREQ allowed 13th in Rim finishes allowed 37.7% of kelseys shots come from drives 43.4% of kelseys shots are rim finishes I think Caitlin>Kelsey because the Sun have been solid in PnR defense. #1 in pull up 3s and #4 in pull up 2s where Caitlin shoots 50% of her shots. Kelsey only shoots 31% of her shots in pull ups Similar players vs the Sun Marina: 21 points SDS: 24 points Atkins:18 points Other guards vs sun Sykes:38 points Rhyne: 36 points Allisha: 26 points Against bottom tier RA defenses shes averaging 22.3 points. If you exclude the fire because they are 2nd in position defense she averages 23.6 points. Overall super good spot for her

Sonia Citron o19.5 PA (-125 FD) Thought about Shakira Austin but I think Citron has a slightly better matchup. For starters KIKI is questionable. Was helped off vs the fever and if she doesn't go here Citron sees a big boost here. With KIKI off the floor Citron sees a +3.6 usage boost, +2.4 FGA with 3PA boosting +2.6 per @tyvansb They are 8th in drives FREQ allowed(31.9% of her shots) 14th at the rim shot type FREQ(30.8% of her shots) 8th in 3PT overall (37% of her shots) per @JSleeprStats 30% of her shots are pull ups but the tempo are 3rd in the midrange and 6th in 3pt pull ups. They are second in defending SMR(short mid range) however she only takes 3.6 FGA per game in SMR while Shakira takes 6.3. Now shakira doesn't take pull ups but is something to keep note on. Tempo are also #1 in defense against centers so it should be citron controlling the show L5 the tempo have been horrible. 11th in points allowed 3rd in pace 12th in 3PT allowed 10th in FT allowed 14th in assist allowed When facing teams that are fast paced she is averaging 26.7 PA. When facing teams that are bottom tier in defending position(8-14th) she is averaging 25 PA. Other guards facing the tempo Lacan: 31 PA Natasha: 25 PA SDS: 32 PA Cloud: 27 PA Leite: 24 PA

If this helps you, be sure to leave a like ❤️ I've created the same thing for players as well below open.substack.com/pub/jsleeprsta…

Washington Mystics

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