J Stephs

@hassytrades $DLXY looking good too

Oil/Energy sector will be a big watch again $BALT $TMDE $TURB $EOSE $TPET & MORE!

@unusual_whales Wtf? Where is Kid Rock????

JUST IN: Trump and India's Modi had a call regarding Iran, with Elon Musk joining them, per NYT

@unusual_whales In the metaverse

Meta Platforms is paying for the construction of seven new natural gas-fired plants to fuel its most power-hungry data center, per Bloomberg

@unusual_whales I work as a mechanic for just above minimum wage. This is the stupidest thing ever. Just kidding

Senator Elizabeth Warren and more than four dozen Democratic lawmakers are renewing their push for a federal wealth tax aimed at ultra-high-net-worth households, reintroducing legislation that would apply annual levies to fortunes above $50 million. The proposal, the Ultra-Millionaire Tax Act of 2026, would impose a 2% annual tax on the net worth of households and trusts over $50 million, plus an additional 1% surtax on net worth above $1 billion, for a 3% top rate on billionaire wealth. The bill also includes a proposed 40% “exit tax” on people worth more than $50 million who renounce US citizenship, along with new IRS funding and other enforcement measures.

@michaelsikand @KawzInvests $SOI getting back to all time highs will take some time. A slow if, at best

This $2B photonics monopoly down 75% from ATHs is key to AI's next paradigm shift. Soitec at €54.00 $SOI.PA / $SLOIF is the clearest photonics multi-bagger I see right now. After spending 36 hours at Nvidia GTC studying networking & CPO... Soitec is now my third largest asymmetrical bet, behind $AAOI and $KRKNF. Here's why I have steel conviction. Soitec owns 95%+ market share in Photonics-SOI wafer, the substrate underneath every silicon photonics chip. Every transceiver from $AAOI and $COHR. Every CPO switch from Nvidia, Broadcom, and Marvell. All fabricated on Soitec substrates. Their only licensed competitor, GlobalWafers, is exiting. There's an incredible moat here. No one else is qualified at all the foundries and it would take competitors years to even try and insert at $TSM $TSEM $GFS as they ramp for SiPho. Why it's asymmetrical beyond the market growth: co-packaged optics requires 4x the SiPho wafer content vs. pluggable transceivers. As the industry migrates from pluggables to co-packaged optics, which Nvidia's SVP of Networking told us at GTC is not optional, Soitec's revenue per optical port quadruples. That is asymmetry right there. Soitec's Edge & Cloud AI division which includes data center, is already growing 34% yoy, so when the CPO inflection happens in 27-28, we're talking silly math on top of existing momentum. $TSEM their largest foundry customer, just reported silicon photonics revenue up 115% YoY with $920M in photonics capex committed and 70%+ of new capacity pre-reserved through 2028. Stock is up 60% and it's now a $20B company, but 10-15% of their cost per sipho chip will flow to Soitec. The market primarily sees this as a struggling mobile supplier at 3.6x EV/revenue with the CEO stepping down. But the business has reached the trough of mobile and even has some nice short-term tailwinds in edge AI like smart glasses. I see a monopoly substrate provider sitting at the base of a $14B --> $73B optical interconnect TAM growing at 39% CAGR. Full breakdown of my thesis on Substack below.

@aleabitoreddit What’s your thoughts on $POET at these levels?

$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI? No way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)… At a $140M valuation. ($350m now) Not only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? But also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon. With Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains. Don’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.

@Deezy2158 @unusual_whales Shocker

@unusual_whales Unfortunately, the Iranian population did not step up to take their country back.

US officials tell The Post they no longer believe it is possible to achieve the war's original goals of overthrowing the Iranian regime and putting its nuclear program permanently out of reach, per WaPo

@LmMacro_ @unusual_whales Bro even got a free barrel of oil out of it

@unusual_whales Went from “regime change” to “maybe let’s just contain it” real quick.

@wiztom88 @unusual_whales

@unusual_whales So it was just a way to create volatility in the markets, to enrich hundreds if not thousands of inside traders. Got it. Thanks for the update

@_____USA___ @c14israel @bardugojacob Better than last time, to be fair

@c14israel @bardugojacob “Let’s talk. We won’t kill you for five days.” Hell of a negotiation beginning!

BREAKING: Immunity for two key figures in the Iranian leadership: Iran regime's FM and Parliament Speaker get temporary immunity from the US and Israel, Channel 14's @bardugojacob reports. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf received temporary immunity from Israel and the United States, valid at least for the entire five days of negotiations underway with Tehran. The revelations confirm and reinforce what has been talked about in the last two days regarding the ongoing talks with the regime in Tehran.

@krexirl @unusual_whales This isn’t just the balls, it’s also the shaft

@unusual_whales 🚨POV:Pausing strikes based on "productive talks" that Iran is literally denying are happening? This isn't a strategy, it's just chaotic market manipulation.

Trump on pausing strike against Iran's power grid amid potential negotiation: "With Iran we've been negotiating for a long time, and this time, they mean business."

@PaycheckPF @unusual_whales That’s not just the balls. That’s also the shaft

@unusual_whales Long stocks. Short oil. Right before a war pause announcement. That's not a trade. That's a transcript.

BREAKING: Just five minutes before Trump's announcement to halt the attacks on Iran, massive trades reportedly hit the market. In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains. Unusual.

@wliang How are you buying this? Which platform do you use?

$SIVE bulls are stacking up. BDs came in around 3. Up more than 3.5x now.

@amitisinvesting Iran already said they never had talks and will not change their position.

TRUMP: THE US IS VERY WILLING TO MAKE A DEAL WITH IRAN S&P up 2% for the first time in a long time... we need to hold these levels but based on how he's talking, it does seem like he wants to find an offramp soon then again, any headline with the war escalating will make the market not believe him

@BeardoTrader You would if you had the cojones

$SPX has risen so much in the past five years that even a repeat of the 1929 crash (the worst in history) wouldn’t take it below the COVID lows.

@aleabitoreddit Is buying $SIVEF the same as buying $SIVE?

< $SIVE | $SIVEF > at a ~$250M valuation looks like one of the most severe structural mispricing in the optical semi market. $LITE and $COHR, have $45B+ valuations today: Largely because of their control over EMLs and VCSELs that they ship to -> InnoLight and Eoptolink. For current pluggable transceiver supercycles. I will keep hammering this home until markets understand: Sivers has replicated this exact, highly lucrative merchant-supplier model for the next paradigm: -> CPO and ELS. And also: -> Lasers that a massive manufacturer like Jabil is using for the current 1.6T upgrade cycle. Sivers saw architectures shifting away from EML and became the pure play supplier for CW. Current Cycle (Pluggables): LITE/COHR supply EML -> InnoLight/Eoptolink build modules -> $GOOGL, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN buy them. Next Cycle (CPO / ELS): Sivers supplies CW DFB -> $POET, Ayar Labs -> flows to hyperscalers like $AMZN, $META, $MSFT and others. However, instead of building up mega fabs with yield/capacity ramp risk: They transitioned to an outsourced, fabless model for high-volume CW Lasers with Win Semi and effectively de-risked scaling. So why does it have a $250M valuation during the photonics supercycle? My opinion: 1. Nobody knows about it yet. 2. Many fund mandates prevents them from buying small caps in Sweden However, when you start looking at obscure upstream names in hyperscaler light supply chain: At the top for the light source sits $SIVE. A small $250M company among $MTSI, $LITE, $COHR, Sumitomo and the $10B-$40B+ incumbents. Again... A $250M company: Powers Jabil's 1.6T LRO optical transceivers modules. Jabil is massive. As well as Ayar, $POET, Enablence/ $ONET and many other names now (that are not disclosed) for diversification. $SIVE found their way to scale as the lightsource of hyperscaler supply chains for future photonic architectures. And looks incredibly undervalued, relative to forward TAM expansion and ramp.

@wliang What’s the difference between buying $IQE and $IQEPY ? I only have access to $IQEPY on my broker

Initial BD on $IQE came in at $8. PD signaled to sell at $25-26. A new BD has just appeared... 👀

@stucam7771 The stupidest people you know don’t suddenly use critical thinking to realize an obvious mistake. They double, triple, quadruple down Voting for Trump was a one-off decision. It was the culmination of being a moron your entire life

There are now three types of Americans Those who knew Trump would be this bad and tried to warn everyone Those who voted for Trump and now realise they were conned Those who voted for Trump and currently fight all facts & logic to try to prove to themselves they were right…

@sunrise9720 @amitisinvesting Bro, did you see my tweet. Please check, let’s start WWIII tomorrow

President Trump seems to be in a hurry. But has he actually made formal requests to NATO allies through official channels? This looks more like media play. Posting on X and asking for help isn’t enough for allies to deploy troops. Each country still needs approval from its own parliament.

TRUMP: - NATO ALLIES HAVE BEEN COWARDS - THEY COULD EASILY HELP US OPEN THE STRAIT WHICH WOULD HELP OIL PRICES - WE WILL ALWAYS REMEMBER HOW THEY ACTED DURING THIS TIME