Jake Day

89 posts

Jake Day

Jake Day

@Jake_Day4

Katılım Aralık 2011
107 Takip Edilen47 Takipçiler
Jake Day
Jake Day@Jake_Day4·
@ashleytrubin @fourbeerspod From the interview, it sounded like the main issue with current AI models and infrastructure is it may be cost prohibitive at scale. Anyways, it was a really interestiing conversation about potential uses of AI in science/meta-science: fourbeers.com/126
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Jake Day
Jake Day@Jake_Day4·
@ashleytrubin @fourbeerspod Probably not a huge leap to train AI to answer these perhaps more interesting questions about the less formal characteristics of the published literature.
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Dr. Ashley T. Rubin
Dr. Ashley T. Rubin@ashleytrubin·
What I really want to do is find a way to measure how widespread these issues are. i.e., give GPT or Claude several volumes of key journals and get measures of how many of these issues are popping up.
Dr. Ashley T. Rubin@ashleytrubin

GPT's inventory of moves: 1) Concept laundering 2) Negative-experience → system indictment shortcut 3) Epistemic privilege of the most morally legible perspective 4) Reflexivity as insulation 5) The absence of counterfactuals disguised as qualitative humility 6) The “still happening” contribution 7) Policy recommendations untethered from findings 8) Moral loading of neutral institutional functions 9) The “no one is arguing against this” shield 10) The shared deep structure It actually got several things I pointed out in my "Normativity is Not a Replacement for Theory" piece. 9 and 10 are a bit ambiguous as stated so screenshots for the explanation.

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Jake Day
Jake Day@Jake_Day4·
@rlmcelreath @RealJonBrauer Ironically, my (non-criminological) dissertation, and the work that came out of it, is likely similarly biased (selected on survivors/successful coaches) because I ignored some critical early feedback from one of my committee members! For example: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
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Jake Day
Jake Day@Jake_Day4·
I like the causal story and its implications re more collaboration early in the research process. But the specific issue Cole discusses here (interesting articles are less robust) might be explained by selection (in this case submission to Sociological Forum). >
Dr. Ashley T. Rubin@ashleytrubin

We've had the same problems with publishing for a long time (ex. vet your research before you undertake it). Why are they still problems? This from Cole, editor of Sociological Forum, in 1993.

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Jake Day retweetledi
Rex "garbage in" Douglass Ph.D.
Rex "garbage in" Douglass Ph.D.@RexDouglass·
Briefly want to draw some implications for you from the observation that: -Scientists write, review, and share empirical results constantly as their primary job function -But scientists do not actually read and engage empirical results with the bare minimum to understand them
Rex "garbage in" Douglass Ph.D.@RexDouglass

Q: "Over your entire career, how many times have you attempted to fully map an empirical paper's implicit -Estimand -DAG -ID Assumptions And then put priors on those assumptions and tried to propagate the uncertainty through the results."

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Jonathan Brauer
Jonathan Brauer@RealJonBrauer·
🧵New Preprint: Is "self-control" a real psychological entity, an emergent property, or a statistical fiction? Our new paper challenges criminology's hidden assumptions about measurement. w/ @Jake_Day4 @agrahamphd
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Jake Day retweetledi
Theory and Society (Springer Nature)
Theory and Society (Springer Nature)@Theory_Society·
Landmark new article in @Theory_Society from @RealJonBrauer and Jacob Day. Criminology requires an important shift in priority and perspective to prevent further deterioration of the field's legitimacy and capacity to be truth-seeking. "By confronting the crisis directly and reimagining the very forms of knowledge we produce, criminology can move closer to fulfilling its potential as a cumulative scientific enterprise." Check out the article here (open access!): link.springer.com/article/10.100…
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Jonathan Brauer
Jonathan Brauer@RealJonBrauer·
The goal: Transforming criminological knowledge products so they constitute the accumulation of real "money in the bank" for precise, falsifiable theories & thus contribute to cumulative theoretical development. (12/12) Full paper w/@Jake_Day4: doi.org/10.1007/s11186…
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Jake Day retweetledi
Jonathan Brauer
Jonathan Brauer@RealJonBrauer·
@JohnHolbein1 We reanalyzed a published null, showing data lack signal to trust oft-cited null interpretation (large effects also plausible given same data; measurement decisions matter). Based on citation patterns though, I'd say we failed to "overturn" anything. 🤔🤷 journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…
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Reluctant Criminologists
Reluctant Criminologists@reluctantcrim·
New Content Alert: In a new blog post, Jon & Jake offer a pluralist response to Andrew Wheeler’s call to “build stuff” and discuss their recent preprints, in which they suggest how to move beyond Monopoly money publications to genuine scientific currency reluctantcriminologists.com/blog-posts/%5B…
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Jonathan Brauer
Jonathan Brauer@RealJonBrauer·
@lonecrim Well, it was written by a couple dopes... 🤷🤣 Thanks for sharing! Look forward to your feedback.
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Keşfet

@MarijanaKotlaja @ashleytrubin @fourbeerspod @rlmcelreath @RealJonBrauer @agrahamphd @Theory_Society @JohnHolbein1