Jason Corley

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Jason Corley

Jason Corley

@JasonCorley78

Co-Founder, lead pollster, and election forecaster at @QuantusInsights / https://t.co/v1BNgiPJZd –– Louisiana native

Katılım Kasım 2024
434 Takip Edilen872 Takipçiler
Jason Corley retweetledi
Quantus Insights
Quantus Insights@QuantusInsights·
WaPo/Yale Law (May 3) study revealed the SAVE Act could turn both New Mexico & Nevada red over time. NM: Dems 13 pts less likely to have citizenship docs gives a 3.3 pt GOP edge. NV: Dems 5.3 pts gap pushes battleground to comfortably Republican. Our March poll revealed strong support for the Save Act. Our findings: 65.7% of voters support the SAVE America Act, which requires proof of citizenship for voting, with 58.5% strongly in favor.
Quantus Insights tweet media
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Montgomery Beauretard Van Rensselaer III
A) Your website displayed numbers that were different from your release. However you want to describe what happened, the numbers that were initially displayed were taken down. B) You're given a B/C grade by Silver Bulletin. However, I did not notice your rating from AFI, so I apologize for that.
Montgomery Beauretard Van Rensselaer III tweet mediaMontgomery Beauretard Van Rensselaer III tweet media
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Rich Baris THE PEOPLE'S PUNDIT
A primary against @MassieforKY—especially from a reimagined NeverTrumper bought by AIPAC and Adelson—is an incredibly dumb political move. REPs are getting their asses kicked and can't afford to lose anyone else, in this case MAHA and Libertarians, let alone someone who is NATIONALLY recognized for it. Funny, every GOP pollster is running around (months after we told everyone) how MAHA is probably their best option to avoid oblivion in 2026. Fools acting as if they're popular or something when they're absolutely not. Politics is a game of addition, NOT subtraction.
Robert Barnes@barnes_law

Two big wins for #MAHA in Farm Bill -- no immunity for pesticide companies & a new pilot program to buy food directly from the farmer w/o government intervention. Guess who was instrumental in both? @RepThomasMassie

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Michael Brasher
Michael Brasher@2ndMississippi·
Postwar photo and Grok-enhanced colorized version of my great-grandfather, Private Thomas Benton Weatherington. He served with the 2nd Mississippi Infantry, joining in March 1862 when he was 18. He was from Pontotoc County, and served in Company H - the Coonewah Rifles. His older brother, Private George Washington Weatherington served with him. Benton was wounded four times (verbal family history) two of which are documented in his Compiled Military Service Records (CMSR). The documented wounds were at Sharpsburg (the Miller Cornfield) and the first day of the battle of the Wilderness (May 5, 1864). The Wilderness wound permanently disabled him. He was also named to the Confederate Roll of Honor for his actions at the battle of South Mountain at Fox’s Gap as a part of Hood’s counterattack. His older brother was killed in action at the Railroad Cut at Gettysburg on July 1, 1863. Another older brother, Private John Andrew Jackson Weatherington, joined the 31st Louisiana Infantry and was killed in action at Chickasaw Bayou on December 28 (or 29 - records conflict) 1862. Of the three brothers, he was the only survivor. After the war, he moved to West Tennessee, married, farmed as best he could, raised a family, received a Confederate pension, and died in 1911.
Michael Brasher tweet mediaMichael Brasher tweet media
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Jason Corley
Jason Corley@JasonCorley78·
The year is 2032 and we head into a consequential midterm election. The Republicans hold 215 safe seats. The Democrats hold 215 safe seats. Control of the House hinges on the 5 remaining swing districts.
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Chris
Chris@chriswithans·
America's most trusted pollster, who essentially predicted the margin within 1 point in Virginia (better than Schar!), has Trump's approval improve +0.7 points on net. More notably, the House Generic Ballot goes from 47.0/41.3 from four weeks ago to now 46.5/42.3. That's a +1.5 improvement. House Generic Ballot now stands at just D+4.2. That's less than half the 2018 final margin of D+8.6, and is terrible news for Ray Coper and Melanie McSorrow.
Quantus Insights@QuantusInsights

NEW SURVEY: Quantus Insights National Poll | April 24 The national mood remains divided: Trump’s base is still highly loyal, but his job approval is underwater, Democrats hold a modest edge on the generic ballot, and voters give Republicans an advantage on issue confidence. Trump Job Approval 🟢 Approve: 42.6% 🔴 Disapprove: 56.3% ⚪️ Unsure: 1.1% –––––––––––––––––– Generic Congressional Ballot 🔵 Democrat: 46.5% 🔴 Republican: 42.3% ⚪️ Undecided/Other: 11.2% ––– 🟡 Independents: D +20.8 –––––––––––––––––– Trump Voter Satisfaction (2024 recall) 🟢 Very/Somewhat Glad: 92.4% 🔴 Strongly/Somewhat Regret: 6.1% ⚪️ Neutral/Mixed: 1.5% –––––––––––––––––– Party Confidence on Major Issues 🔴 Republican Party: 40.6% 🔵 Democratic Party: 35.3% ⚪️ Neither/Both/Not Sure: 24.2% –––––––––––––––––– Openness to GOP Candidates Compared to 2024 🔴 Certain Not to Support GOP Candidates: 38.6% 🟢 More Open to Supporting GOP Candidates: 34.2% ⚪️ About the Same: 13.6% 🔴 Less Open: 11.9% ⚪️ Not Sure: 1.7% –––––––––––––––––– 📊 Personal Financial Situation 🔴 Worse: 38.1% ⚪️ About the Same: 30.1% 🟢 Better: 30.6% ⚪️ Not Sure: 1.2%

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Jason Corley retweetledi
Kyle Kondik
Kyle Kondik@kkondik·
the 3 recent polls on the VA referendum (State Navigate, Washington Post/Schar School, and Quantus) all appear to have done an outstanding job. We'll see where the final margin lies but they all suggested "yes" was favored in a close race, which is what we got
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Chris
Chris@chriswithans·
The New York Times is doing the “>95% of votes in” thing now which means this is over. Dems will pick up a few tenths from “stragglers” but this thing will end up 52/48 Dems +4.0. A win is a win but this is then worst election result for Dems in Virginia since 2021. Dems are now breathing a sigh of relief and hoping the courts won’t strike them down out of spite and praying to Soros that Republicans won’t quickly erase their ephemeral gains. Just 4 points! An 11-point drop from Spanberger’s now forgotten 2025 margin. And only because of mail-in votes.
Chris tweet media
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Quantus Insights
Quantus Insights@QuantusInsights·
Quantus may miss the final margin by a coat of paint. Our polling released last week had the measure passing +4 (with two percent undecided). It looks like it'll be just shy of that.
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Jason Corley
Jason Corley@JasonCorley78·
Election Day turnout is worth watching, and fun, of course, but 5 PM may be the better checkpoint for judging whether the No side actually has a live path here. No always appeared to need a strong same-day, red-leaning turnout advantage. It does look on track to win the Election Day vote itself, which matches our polling and others. The question now is whether that edge + red turnout is enough to make this truly competitive, or simply enough to keep Yes from running up the score.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombe·
I don't care who wins. I care about being right.
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Andrew Moser
Andrew Moser@Andrew_Moser·
@JasonCorley78 Fantastic. Congrats to him, and to you! Your pride must be immense.🫡🇺🇸
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Jason Corley
Jason Corley@JasonCorley78·
Great day yesterday at Ft. Benning Georgia. My son graduated jump school and is now an airborne combat medic. Very proud of the boy. 🇺🇸
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