dylsexic

@ElectionMapsUK Kinda aligns with my prediction for UK politics. The country won't go full populist unless (or until) things get significantly worse in the UK than they are now.

General Election Nowcast - 24/05/26: RFM: 294 (+289), 27.8% (32 Short) LAB: 80 (-331), 19.4% LDM: 83 (+11), 12.3% CON: 55 (-66), 18.1% GRN: 48 (+44), 14.2% SNP: 47 (+38), 2.9% PLC: 13 (+9), 1.3% Oth: 11 (+6), 4.0% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

@WillKingston The political outlook for the UK seems quite obvious. We are not ready for a populist govt...yet. Only when the UK is bordering on being catastrophically bad will we go populist. I expect a mainstream/coalition govt next GE. A populist govt in a couple of GE's time.

If Restore pick up 5%-10%, which would likely mean a Labour win, it would probably end up being a net negative for them. The risk is they are portrayed as the guys who put Burnham in Number 10. There will be a lot of angry, prospective right-wing voters.

@mrddmia I'm not local. How close is this to the White House?

Per law enforcement: Secret Service shoots two men outside of White House on 17th and Pennsylvania NW.

@DrHoenderkamp Nah, it's written in the stars that UK will not vote in a populist government until things are substantially worse than they are now. Perhaps even bordering on catastrophically worse. That time is not yet. Soon, but not yet. Until then all else are trifles in UK politics.

Restore voters will hand this to Labour and destroy the country.

@Latenitemusic1 And Peter Duncan 'innocently' taking Polaroids!?

Blue Peter Corsets 😜

@GBPolitcs The poll is kinda in line with my own view of the next GE election cycle or two. The UK is not ready for a populist government...yet. We'll have a mainstream/left coalition next GE followed by a populist wave the GE afterwards.

🚨NEW: Following the release of the Makerfield Survation poll, Reform UK has said, "vote Restore, get Burnham"

@visegrad24 @jonatanpallesen And you know stats in nearby countries (who don't publish this data) will not be too dissimilar to these stats from Denmark.

Denmark is one of the rare European countries to publish crime data by country of origin. Somalis top the list when it comes to rapes, fraud, forgeries and grievous assaults. Palestinians lead in burglaries, blackmail and theft. Data: Statistics Denmark (STRAFNA4, FOLK1C), compiled by @jonatanpallesen.

@EmJay72159508 @EleanorNess @CarolynWRockey Except a suitable royal marriage was entirely reliant upon the female being chaste beforehand, or at the very least appearing to be chaste.

@JasonJasonf970 @EleanorNess @CarolynWRockey Wasn’t it common in the 18th century for the aristocracy to ensure stable and suitable marriages for females when they were still teenagers? This was the entire purpose of institutions such as Almack’s. Doesn’t sound as if protecting the Princesses from “ruin” was the reason.

George III kept his daughters under extraordinarily tight control, rarely allowing them to marry, rarely allowing them to leave. Elizabeth was the seventh of his fifteen children, artistic, cheerful, and trapped inside a court that had no idea what to do with her energy. She designed prints, illustrated books, produced a series called The Birth and Triumph of Cupid that was engraved and published at the king's expense, and waited. She was forty-seven by the time she was allowed to marry. Her husband, Frederick, was the Landgrave of a small German territory measuring eighty-five square miles. It was the smallest principality in Europe and one of the most indebted. Elizabeth's dowry and annual allowance rebuilt the roads, restored the castles, and funded an English garden at Homburg planted with seeds she brought from home. She used her own money to found a school and care center for the children of working mothers in Hanover. She said she had never been happier. She wrote after her husband's death that no woman had ever been happier than she was for their eleven years together, "and they will often be lived over again in the memory of the heart." She outlived him by eleven years, spent her widowhood painting and running her charitable work, and died in Frankfurt in 1840. Her father had kept her caged for nearly half a century. She made the most of what came after. Born on this day in 1770, Princess Elizabeth of the United Kingdom, Landgravine of Hesse-Homburg. One of the most overlooked daughters of George III, and one of the happiest. -History Roadshow

@historigins 'What about the Dingell-Norwood bill'

During the third presidential debate in 2000, Al Gore walked across the stage to stand right next to George W. Bush while he was answering a question about the Patient Bill of Rights. ⁠ ⁠ The moment became iconic when Bush interrupted his speech to give Gore a dismissive, mocking nod, which the audience greeted with laughter and which critics later deemed a tactical error on Gore’s part.⁠ ⁠

@EmJay72159508 @EleanorNess @CarolynWRockey Are you really asking why 18th century Royalty had different attitudes for male & female children? Well, for a start one sexual mistake from a Princess would result in her public ruin. The same mistake by a Prince is merely an embarrassment.

@EleanorNess @CarolynWRockey But he permitted his son to live a life of debauchery?

@MrTCHarris I vaguely remember Wimpy in the 1980's. First American fast food restaurant I remember opening near me was KFC. I thought I was living in Hollywood when I first went into that KFC as a kid.

As a Boomer I can assure you there were not only very few fast food outlets when I was growing up (I ate my first McDonald's in 1992 at the age of 28), there was also no minimum wage.

@Eric_Schmitt A tad unfair to cherry pick what was presumably the high water mark(or close to it) for Dems in recent history. I suspect the 'death' or future of the Dem Party will be a lot messier and far less linear in upcoming years.

Bottom line: Obama killed the Democrat party. Trump resurrected the Republican Party. Sorry, not sorry.

@Khaledhzakariah Shocker! People unused to high or low temperatures struggle a bit during high or low temperatures.

Unbelievable how I studied and worked for 20 years in Cairo’s 40 degrees summers. Apparently, 27 is unbearable for grown-ups in Britain.

@patel_patriot @RISEAttireUS Next, Marco dressing up as Don Jr and taking part in a mock marriage just so Trump can attend in person.

Marco Rubio finding he has to be the new DNI (H/T @RISEAttireUS for making this for me)

@MrTCHarris I'm kinda nonchalant about this by-election. Sure, I'd prefer a Lab defeat but a Lab win or defeat won't change the probable trajectory of UK politics in the next decade. A mainstream/left coalition in the next GE and a populist wave the election after.

The Makerfield by-election is the only one I can remember where the result, whatever it is, it will have a truly momentous impact on national politics.

@wrong_speak Colbert should begin a podcast where he has celebrity guests on and they discuss politics. The podcast starts with a 5 minute monologue by Colbert. A musical interlude half way through.

I see two possibilities for Stephen Colbert... He will go into obscurity. He'll probably take some time off and by time he's ready to do something, the well is dry. Or He will become twice as annoying, unchained to become a political symbol & resistance podcaster. Coin toss.

@NicholasTyrone I don't really listen to Burnham much, but aesthetically he does not look Prime Ministerial or authoritative.

The Makerfield by-election could well be a turning point in British politics, for the precise opposite reason that Burnham thinks it will be.

@JakePaas7 @TheCalvinCooli1 Maybe hubby isn't bed bound needing wife at his bedside 24/7 at this precise moment in time? That's the thing with cancer; it has a little known tendency to get worse over time.

@TheCalvinCooli1 If that's the reason why is she waiting until June 30?

🚨Just in: Tulsi Gabbard is resigning from her post as Director of National Intelligence to support her husband through his battle with “an extremely rare form of bone cancer” Via: Fox News

@visegrad24 Since WWII German Chancellor has one measley job; keep Germany stable. She failed.

Merkel becomes the 1st person to receive the European Order of Merit, the EU’s new top honor for people who have contributed the most to Europe’s development. In her speech, she urged EU leaders to regulate speech on social media She says it’s the only way to “ save democracy”

@GordoCDA Iran or Cuba this weekend then?

POTUS to stay in DC this weekend. 👀👀👀