🚨ANÁLISIS PRIMERA RONDA COPA FAULCONBRIDGE VALENCIA🇪🇸 CHALLENGER 175 13/05
BUDKOV KJAER🇳🇴 VS MIOMIR KECMANOVIC🇷🇸
🚨Mi pronóstico: Kjaer 45% Kecmanovic 55%. El serbio me parece más fiable que el noruego en arcilla. Me parece que tiene más juego de fondo de pista, y un repertorio de golpes superior. Kjaer depende mucho de su servicio y drive para ser dominante. Si Kecmanovic está a su nivel, que es una incertidumbre porque es bastante irregular, debería llevarse el partido.
Considero que va a ganar Kecmanovic en tres sets.
💎💎 FREE PLAY 💎💎
📊 1u Max Houkes ML (-110)
He’s had a solid season so far and been picking up quality wins and acceptable losses. Montes-de la Torre been playing some absolute no namers for competition lately and only got here via back to back retirements. I also think his serve is terrible. Houkes will have his chances here I believe.
⭐️ BONUS PLAY ⭐️
📊 1u Damm vs Dimitrov o22.5 Games (-115)
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ATP Valencia Challenger
Damir Dzumhur vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
🧠 Form & Context
🇧🇦 Damir Dzumhur
📉 2026: 8–16 overall | 6–9 on clay
✅ Still operating at a much higher level of competition, with recent main-draw wins over Bellucci, Borges, Mannarino, and Buse.
⚠️ Form remains unstable, though, and the overall 2026 record is poor for a player ranked inside the top 100.
🩼 There is also a small physical question mark after the retirement in Cagliari, even if he returned in Rome shortly after.
🎾 This is his first appearance in the Valencia Challenger main draw.
🇪🇸 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
📈 2026: 22–10 overall | 11–6 on clay
✅ Arrives with strong recent rhythm, coming through qualifying with wins over Sun and Kozlov.
🚀 Has been building nicely at lower levels, with deep runs, a title match, and several momentum-boosting weeks already this season.
🏠 Gets home conditions and should feel comfortable on this clay after spending most of the year grinding in Spain and nearby Challenger/Futures events.
💥 Ranking gap is massive, but current match rhythm is clearly on his side.
🔍 Match Breakdown
This is a classic experience-versus-momentum matchup.
Dzumhur is by far the more accomplished player and still owns the cleaner all-around game at this level. He has seen every type of match, knows how to manage scorelines, and usually has the tactical discipline to expose lower-ranked opponents once rallies become structured. His return game and ability to redirect pace remain dangerous weapons on clay.
The problem is that his 2026 season has lacked stability. Even when he has picked up wins, he has not looked especially reliable from week to week. Against a younger opponent arriving with confidence and recent wins in these same conditions, that opens the door to a much tighter contest than the rankings suggest.
Sanchez Quilez should come in with nothing to lose. He is match-tough, already adapted to the courts after qualifying, and his recent schedule shows he is comfortable in long clay exchanges. The question is whether he can hold his level once the match gets into the pressure moments. Beating players around Challenger qualifying level is one thing; finishing off a seasoned veteran like Dzumhur is another.
The key dynamic should be whether Dzumhur can take control early with his experience and shot tolerance, or whether Sanchez Quilez can drag this into a physical, extended battle where current rhythm starts to matter more than pedigree.
🔮 Prediction
Alejo Sanchez Quilez has enough recent form and court familiarity to make this uncomfortable, especially if he starts confidently and keeps points long. Still, Dzumhur’s experience edge, ranking gap, and higher-level clay résumé should give him the tools to navigate the danger moments.
Prediction: Damir Dzumhur
INCREDIBLE
Luciano Darderi comes back from 1-6, 3-5, saves FOUR match points in the tiebreak and defeats two-time champ and 2nd seed Alexander Zverev 1-6, 7-6(10), 6-0 to get the BIGGEST WIN OF HIS LIFE.
1st career ATP M1000 QF.
At home.
Special.