Jobam Alain

1.7K posts

Jobam Alain

Jobam Alain

@JobamAlain1

Passionate about building sustainable relationships

Katılım Mart 2022
425 Takip Edilen56 Takipçiler
Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal When you notice that the military action that has kept you cage is a military action that you can retaliate and claim Victory. You became bold enough to threaten the most powerful military on earth. He knows that he could be assassinated, but they're 19 replacement waiting
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal @MarioNawfal don't you think there should be accountability for those little children killed? Or do you support that Washington bomb school children? For me, those who gave the orders should be behind bars, I guess that's not what you want. I want justice for those children
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Remember that UAE received Iron dome from Israel and have become a strategic Israeli ally. In short, it's the first country to receive the iron dome air defense system on earth. So they have every reason to leave any Arab organization
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇦🇪 UAE IS BREAKING WITH THE GULF! They are considering freezing their Arab League membership and possibly leaving the Organization of Islamic Cooperation. 2 days after leaving OPEC! What do you expect after a member of these organizations bombed the hell out of them, while neighbors like Saudi showed little solidarity? This indicates not only a rift in the region, but the UAE positioning itself as a global power, not just a regional one. The Arab League move would reportedly be a freeze, not a full exit, but the signal is clear, and the region will not look the same following this war
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇦🇪 The UAE didn't just leave OPEC, it sent a clear message to Saudi, Russia, and Iran, simultaneously. The UAE had invested billions in spare production capacity it was never allowed to use because Saudi-driven quota cuts kept getting in the way. After years of frustration, they’d finally had enough. But the timing reveals the real story, UAE-Saudi relations have been deteriorating for years. And Saudi’s conspicuously muted response to Iranian missiles hitting UAE cities was, apparently, the final straw. Ditching OPEC+ also just so happens to reduce Russia's influence over global oil markets, at exactly the moment Moscow is backing Tehran. There is also a compelling theory that the U.S. Treasury's decision to provide the UAE with a dollar swap line days before the announcement was not a coincidence… The Trump admin desperately wants lower oil prices heading into the midterms, and the UAE being able to pump at full capacity helps achieve that. For OPEC, the long-term implications are serious: Cheating on quotas was already rife before, every Gulf country is now desperate to recoup war losses, Russia needs every petrodollar for Ukraine, and smaller members will increasingly ask what the point is of being bossed around by Riyadh. Qatar left in 2019, Ecuador in 2020, Angola in 2024, and now the UAE in 2026. The cartel that quadrupled oil prices in 1973 and reshaped the global economy may now be collapsing from within. Source: TLDR News Global YT

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Looks like Germany wants to come and help Washington since Washington have been humiliated and in die need of help. If Germany doesn't go to assist, the humiliation could be worst
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇩🇪🇮🇷🇺🇸 Chancellor Merz: "We are committed to quickly ending Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. If the necessary conditions are met, Germany stands ready to engage militarily to ensure the freedom of sea routes." From "A whole nation is humiliated by the Iran" to "we are ready to fight". Apparently it looks less humiliating once you sign up for it.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇩🇪 Chancellor Merz called Trump's Iran policy "humiliating" and now he's getting the bill. Trump just threatened to review and reduce the 35,000 U.S. troops stationed in Germany, more than a fifth of all American forces deployed overseas. Merz is already backpedaling, claiming he has a great relationship with Trump. That's what happens when you take a shot at Trump's foreign policy and miss.

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Are you challenging America's intelligence Service who briefed the president that Iran will run out of storage facilities in 3 days and start shorting down oil wells? Or did the president lie? 3 days to 3 months? That's like eternity
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran can likely hold out against U.S. pressure for at least 2 to 3 months. The question is whether America can too. - Trump's belief that the blockade will trigger an Iranian oil storage crisis is "greatly exaggerated" - Iran has already found workarounds: 52 ships reportedly bypassed the blockade within 72 hours per satellite tracking data - Iran sees this as an existential fight, making it willing to absorb severe economic pain - Agreeing to Trump's terms would risk the end of the Islamic Republic from Tehran's perspective - 2 to 3 more months of stalemate would be "catastrophic for the American and global economy" - Trump's entire pressure campaign is based on a "fundamental misreading of Iran's calculus" Source: Al Jazeera
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's president and a top military adviser are both warning the U.S. blockade will fail. - Pezeshkian says any naval blockade is "contrary to international law and doomed to failure" - Made the remarks on National Persian Gulf Day, which commemorates Iran expelling Portugal from Hormuz in the 17th century - Meanwhile, Iran's currency is slumping and unemployment is soaring domestically - Trump sees the blockade as his primary leverage to force Iran back to nuclear talks Khamenei's senior military adviser Mohsen Rezaei: "If the blockade continues, Iran will respond" Source: CNN

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Given that US soldiers had to run away from their bases into civilians hotels for fear of being targeted, then it's clear that the US bases were very fragile and incapable of protecting themselves. Maybe this is the reason Germany said "America has been humiliated in Iran"
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Khamenei delivers his sharpest attack yet on the U.S. presence in the Gulf. - Says American bases are "the most important cause of insecurity" in the region - Calls U.S. bases "fragile" and incapable of protecting even themselves, let alone their Gulf allies - Dismisses Gulf states relying on U.S. protection as "America-worshippers" - "The bright future of the Persian Gulf will be without America" - Iran and its Gulf neighbors are "fellow destinies" sharing a common fate - "Foreigners who maliciously covet from thousands of kilometers away have no place there except at the bottom of its waters"
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷 Khamenei lays out Iran's vision for the Strait: permanent Iranian control, framed as liberation. - Iran will "secure the Persian Gulf region and remove the enemy's hostile abuses from this waterway" - New legal rules and management of Hormuz will bring "comfort and progress for all nations of the region" - The economic benefits will bring "joy to the hearts of the people" - Closes with a direct challenge: "even if the disbelievers dislike it"

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Iran's storage facilities were supposed to be full by today as announced by Trump last Friday that Iran had only 72 hours left before they start shorting down oil wells. Looks like it was another lie
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇵🇰🇮🇷 Pakistan just opened 6 land corridors with Iran to route around the U.S. naval blockade. 3,000+ containers already in transit. Via Iran's own state media, so take the numbers with some salt, but the move itself tracks. This is significant. The U.S. blockade only works if Iran is actually isolated. Pakistan sharing a 900km border and actively running cargo through it punches a hole in that logic. China is watching. India is watching. Every country that trades with Iran and doesn't want to pick a side is watching. How does Washington respond to an ally quietly dismantling its blockade? Source: Fars News Agency
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 CENTCOM confirms: 20 vessels are stranded in Iran's Chabahar port because of the U.S. blockade on Iranian shipping. $110 oil is the price the rest of the world pays while they wait for someone to flinch. How long can both economies sustain this simultaneously?

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Remember, the principal objectif of this war was Iran's enriched uranium. Any deal without the US seizing the uranium is a slap on Washington face. Like German chancellor said " Washington has been humiliated in Iran". That's because they don't see Washington seizing the uranium.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. intelligence is studying how Iran would react to Trump declaring unilateral victory and going home. The answer, per their own previous analysis: Iran would call it a win. The numbers explain why Trump is even asking the question. 26% of Americans think the war was worth it. 25% think it made the U.S. safer. Approval at 34%. And midterms are coming. Meanwhile Iran spent the ceasefire digging out buried weapons. Resuming full-scale war now costs more than it did in February. Trump entered this war with maximum pressure. He's now war-gaming how to leave without calling it a loss. Which does Trump choose? A face-saving deal, a fake victory speech, or escalation he can't afford? Source: Reuters
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇩🇪 Trump just told the world that Germany's Chancellor is okay with Iran having a nuclear weapon. What Merz said is that diplomacy should be on the table. Trump says it's the same as being pro-proliferation. Germany's economy is struggling. So is Trump's approval rating. Two leaders with domestic problems taking shots at each other while the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. Who does this fighting actually help?

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal The rhetoric that the Iranian leaders just called Trump to inform him that their economy has collapse will bring those numbers back up.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 TRUMP APPROVAL AT 34% Lowest of his term. The culprits aren't hard to find: grocery prices still punishing, oil above $110, an Iran war with no exit ramp, and envoys who can't close a deal. What do you think would actually move these numbers back up? Source: Reuters/Ipsos
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal The most powerful military on earth with the most powerful navy can't reopen the strait of Hormuz with force. Is scared of going closer because of Iran. My grandma use to tell me that the american navy can do whatever they want because of their strength. Now, they're dumfounded
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. just told Iran, in front of the entire UN Security Council, that the Strait of Hormuz belongs to the world. Mike Waltz: "The Strait of Hormuz is not Iran's property to use as a trench or bargaining chip." Russia and China already vetoed a resolution on this in early April, so the diplomatic path is essentially dead. Good statement, but it does nothing.
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations came to the UN with a list. Iran fired on its neighbors, hit civilian infrastructure, launched thousands of missiles and drones at Gulf countries, and is still trying to kill more Americans. Subtlety has left the building.

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Jobam Alain retweetledi
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka's got talent I didn't expect that ending 😂
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal But Washington keep screaming that Iran's storage facilities will be full in 24 hours
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump says the blockade on Iran is total. At least 34 Iranian tankers that just reached India would disagree. Here's the loophole: Iran loads its oil and hugs its own coastline toward Pakistan, never entering international waters where the U.S. can intercept. From there, ships pass through Pakistan and India's coastal waters using something called "innocent passage," a right guaranteed under international law that coastal states can't block. Washington has zero authority once they're in those corridors. On paper, there's a blockade, but in reality, the sea is full of loopholes and Iran has a map. Source: Wall Street Research Center YT
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is expected to hold a Situation Room meeting today on Iran with his full national security and foreign policy team. The agenda: the current negotiation freeze and what comes next. Source: @BarakRavid

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Iran after seeing America's weapons inventory now think they can out last Washington given that Washington has already used over 50% of it's stockpile. Iran knows that Washington could run out of target if she launched a mass bombing campaign but they could keep picking targets.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
IMPORTANT! Iran just said they are no longer interested in discussing their nuclear program in the current negotiations This is VERY significant as they're not giving Trump any ability to declare a win back home It's almost like they're forcing him back into this war, twisting his arm more and more as time passes, abusing the leverage they've built by winning the war I think Trump made a mistake starting this war, but Iran not conceding on their nuclear program could become another very serious miscalculation, dragging us back into war!
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MOSSADil Can Israel without the US remove Iran's enriched uranium? Israel only has air power and airpower alone can't put troops in Iran for months to dig out the uranium
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Mossad Commentary
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil·
🚨 BREAKING: ISRAEL’S WAR CABINET MEETS AS IRAN TENSIONS ESCALATE Israel’s restricted cabinet is convening tonight as pressure builds around Iran. While Donald Trump signals the war may be nearing its end, Israeli officials are making one thing clear: The mission isn’t over until Iran’s enriched uranium is removed By deal… or by force At the same time, Trump has effectively shut down direct diplomacy: No envoys to Pakistan. No more back-and-forth travel. His message: If Iran wants a deal, they come to him. The gap is now obvious: The U.S. is tightening pressure. Israel is preparing for all options This isn’t winding down. It’s entering the phase. Stay connected, follow @MOSSADil
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@NiohBerg The two previous assassination attempts weren't in the midst of a war. Who pushed them?
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𝐍𝐢𝐨𝐡 𝐁𝐞𝐫𝐠 🇮🇷 ✡︎
Let me tie this back to my own area of expertise: The regime in Iran has correctly observed there is a collective sickness in America. There are thousands of demoralised angry people at the edge of committing violence. The IRGC and the mullahs see all this. They take notes and exploit it. Those LEGO AI videos and embassy account posts aren't just for mockery. They psychologically tap into the minds of easily manipulated individuals. "Hey, your president is a rapist and a paedophile. He's a criminal and an enemy of your country. He is the Epstein class. Don't you want to do something? Don't you want to stop him?" It's likely no coincidence that Cole Allen chose to do this in the middle of the war in Iran and not earlier. The regime in Iran relies on being able to damage America and the West from within, and without needing to actually get their own hands dirty. This has been their method for many years. Please take this threat seriously.
𝐍𝐢𝐨𝐡 𝐁𝐞𝐫𝐠 🇮🇷 ✡︎ tweet media
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal You're not even talking about the most serious. He fired 8 shots Into a crowd and no one got hurt. Like he was shooting blank into a crowd of over 500 people. It must be weird to imagine
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
This guy sprinted through the security checkpoint with weapons, was shot at, but somehow was tackled with no gunshot wounds? Why is there no emergency personnel while he's in cuffs on the ground, seemingly with no injuries?
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@TheIranianzg3z Why didn't the US just win the war and submit the terms of surrender for Tehran to sign? Like America did to Japan
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The Iranian Letter
The Iranian Letter@TheIranianzg3z·
BREAKING: Pakistani sources say prospects for resuming a second round of U.S.–Iran talks are fading, as Tehran remains unwilling to meet the U.S. delegation expected to arrive from Washington. They add that Iran continues to demand an end to the U.S. naval blockade as a precondition for opening a new round of negotiations.
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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal What happens to the enriched uranium? What happens to the advanced centrifuges ? Is there any proof that those their nuclear sites have been destroyed or it's just assumptions? We saw how their missile cities were bombed and they still keep launching missiles from those sites
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Yesterday, Trump retweeted a Washington Post column arguing he doesn't need a deal with Iran to get what he wants, adding "Very true!!!" This may, in fact, be the least bad option left on the board. The U.S. bombed Iran's nuclear sites, degraded its military, killed much of its leadership, and imposed a blockade that (according to Trump) is costing Tehran $500 million a day. Iran is fractured, its new supreme leader is disfigured and in hiding, and the hardliners left standing have no path to reconstruction without economic relief. Trump can declare victory on those terms without a signed deal, pocket the wins, and let the world clean up the rest of the mess. The alternative is a quagmire, endless extensions, seized ships, mine threats, continued oil price spikes, and negotiating with a leadership that cannot even agree internally on what it wants. A deal with Iran was always going to be messy, incomplete, and politically costly… But walking away with degraded Iranian capabilities and calling it a win is cleaner, faster, and leaves the next move to Tehran.
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷🇮🇱 Tehran just put up a new billboard in Palestine Square. "The roar of the lion or the squeak of the mouse?!" Written in Hebrew and Arabic, so the message isn't lost due to language barriers. Source: Yediot News

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Jobam Alain
Jobam Alain@JobamAlain1·
@MarioNawfal Remember "under naval escortion". That might have deterred the US Navy from hijacking the ship
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 An Iranian cargo ship just crossed the Gulf of Oman under IRGC naval escort and arrived in Iran, while the US blockade is supposedly in force. Either the blockade has gaps, or there's quiet permission being extended to keep Iran at the table. When ships start moving, someone usually said it was okay.
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇹🇼 The Iran war has quietly opened a window for China. Trump officials now assess the US could not fully defend Taiwan from a Chinese invasion in the near term. 54 days in, the US has burned through 1,000+ Tomahawks and up to 2,000 air-defense missiles. Full replacement: up to 6 years. Iran cost America missiles, but it might cost Taiwan everything. Beijing is watching the stockpile. Not the headlines. @KobeissiLetter

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