joealt3

@JinxEugene The volume is really good for cup prerace tho. Think u can bet a dime within 1 or 2 cents of most those lines.

@JoeAlt3 Just gotta get the volume up would've loved to take Riggs t3 at +180 if you can get to win more than $100

@pitbynumbers Much better number at Kalshi for alot of these if ur tailing!

Denny Hamlin has seven crown jewels. The Brickyard is the one that's missing. Last year he crashed in qualifying, started a backup car from the rear, and still finished third. This year: fifth on the grid, top seven in every practice split, primary car intact. We bet him to win at +400 on Wednesday. The best price this morning is +360. The market agrees, three days late.👇

@Winible @WinWorksgaming @netflix Wouldn’t you want to provide a verified, tracked betting record if you were a top 1% bettor trying to sell your picks? Why don’t you guys post that?

@WinWorksgaming @netflix Where’s yours?

This actually happened A group of touts on @Winible rented a house Told Netflix that they all win @netflix apparently just believed them blindly and they based a whole documentary on it which probably millions will watch you can't make this up

@pitbynumbers If ur tailing the top 3s the numbers are better at Kalshi!

Nobody else at the Brickyard could hold 16 straight green laps in practice. Justin Allgaier ran 20 and the pace never cracked. He led the most laps in this race last year until someone else's mistake wrecked him. He won it in 2018. He won Atlanta last week. +325 to win. 3 units. The best car and the best price agree.

@JinxEugene Yeah it’s not gonna be good early in the week. Multiple people putting up 3-5k share orders at competitive prices between qualy and the race is sick tho. Got a lot down on Stewie +140ish and landen Lewis +160ish for T10s

@JoeAlt3 The fact the volume is killed at 347am on Tuesday I'd say it's pretty bad

The top 10 market for a TRUCK RACE is at 55k volume an hour before green flag. It will never get better than this.

(So what if me and probably one other guy is like 60% of it)

Nothing I tweet ever wins but Chandler +475 at czrs for tnt is good

@bbrownDTP Tout thinks people shouldn’t track him or call him out for scamming. Gee I wonder why

Most of these so called “cappers” and “capper trackers” get off on putting the next person down just to feed their egos and farm engagement. As a capper, you should be just as passionate to educate people as you are hitting a big parlay or cashing slips. As a capper tracker profile… Get a life, you worried about what someone is doing and not getting paid for it is weird. Just glorified stalking for the love of the game. 😂

@iey0beeW @notsocrazy24 This is literally why the state has the power it does in any developed country. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monopoly_…

@notsocrazy24 Society isn't defined by a tiny few people using violence to impose their opinions on the rest of us.

So police attempt to talk to a man. Instead of talking, he runs. So now police are investigating a crime, because innocent people don't run. So they try to arrest him, he resists. So they apply non-lethal force, including a taser, which doesn't work, allowing the suspect to pull a knife and stab or slash one of the cops. Then & only then does the officer who got stabbed pull his gun & shoot the armed man trying to kill him instead of being subject to arrest. This sounds like an open-shut case of a good shoot.

@PTBryce47 @h20gony Big facts I just thought you didn’t use Kalshi cause you can usually tell when someone is using Kalshi vs a Sportsbook if they are posting an exact number

@JoeAlt3 @h20gony

Wtf with so many people on this platform thinking I’m lying these days… 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️

JMU reporting athletic donations of $9.49 million for FY26, which ended June 30. That's up close to $2million from FY25. 12,657 donors is also an increase of nearly 2,000. Both are high marks in school history with fundraising now nearly double what it was in JMU's final FCS year

@iRacingSupport Support knew that had to get up before the NIS brickyard race today gooooooood shiiiit

Also, we are back up now - thanks everyone for your patience.

@NateSilver538 How do studies like this account for trade schools? Genuinely have no idea just curious since they arnt directly listed

Income and education are usually positively correlated. But sometimes the relationship breaks down. What's the most Democratic voting group in America? People with post-graduate degrees but lower-to-middle incomes.

@AR_Analytics @jeff_gluck Could you say more about how you adjusted for that? are you using the same dirty air avg for all cars or looking at dirty/clean splits for each car? HMS imo is the worst in dirty air / passing of the top teams this yr and ive downgraded their equip ranking a bit for it.

@JoeAlt3 @jeff_gluck For NW I think it was around 0.015 per lap on average. Last year I made an update to hedge that value a little on the low side to prevent it from over fitting cars stuck in traffic as you described. There’s some other specific error checks too, but that’s the basics of it 2/2

Ooof man did Elliott get screwed by that caution

@AR_Analytics @jeff_gluck I’m most curious about is how you account for dirty air. I havnt been seeing ur outputs as much recently but I recall a consistent theme was cars like the 9 that have a good run, but get stuck in traffic and can’t pass. seems like model rewards cars for that. Ig cuz it’s optimal?

@JoeAlt3 @jeff_gluck I’d be happy to explain it in detail, but that is not how the model works. I would agree that would be a terrible analysis

@bwilliams18 @jeff_gluck u know wheel

@jeff_gluck There's a lot of skepticism about the validity and analytical value of this model.

Learned my lesson and bet the other Penske!