JohnJones

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🎾🇦🇺 Australian Open Ben Shelton ML -156 10U I’ve been critical of Shelton for a long time, mainly because the market kept overpricing him before his game was ready. That’s changed. Over the past few months he’s clearly leveled up, and right now he’s a fully legit Slam threat. His run here matters. No freebies, no shaky moments, all straight-set wins. Humbert came in hot and never got control. Sweeney was never in the match. Vacherot usually drags opponents into uncomfortable battles Shelton shut that down immediately. Ruud has been solid, but nothing more than that. The Cilic match is a red flag: a 37-year-old was a break up in the fourth and very close to forcing a fifth. Ruud’s serve bailed him out, but that edge shrinks hard against Shelton. Ben is a far better returner and applies constant pressure. Fast hard court, best-of-five, favors Shelton. He takes time away, dictates early, and doesn’t allow Ruud to sit in heavy-spin rally patterns. Physically and mentally, Shelton only gets stronger as matches go on. The price is off. This shouldn’t be close to a pick’em or short favorite. Shelton should be closer to -230 in this spot. I rarely back him because he’s usually inflated, but here it’s the opposite. Wrong line. Right matchup. Shelton advantage.