Johnny Pierce

These are some of the pictures up in the Joseph Wales gallery in Margate, by Matthew Collings

Senator Sheehy joined Capitol Police in lifting up and ejecting anti war protestor Brian McGinnis from a SASC subcommittee hearing. McGinnis is a Green Party candidate running for Senate in N.C. An antiwar activist filmed the video below:

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn. So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works. Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it? Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them. For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information. Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible. Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

It’s absolutely tiring. 🫩

The left is starting to realize that bodycams are not their friends.

Vance: He deserves a debt of gratitude and I think the media prejudging and talking about this guy as if he is a murderer is one of the most disgraceful things I have seen from the American media.

This is the plan… Import a new voting block from the 3rd World. Bribe them with free government benefits for their votes. Never lose elections again. Become 1 party totalitarian governments that rule with iron fists. Destroy Western Civilization and Culture. It must stop.

This is so obviously self-defense. 1) Agent is directly in front of the car. 2) Driver does not comply. 3) Accelerates abruptly. 4) Agent responds accordingly. Case closed.