jonathanboys

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jonathanboys

jonathanboys

@JonathanBoys

Research lead at Core 5.

UK Katılım Mart 2009
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
1/ @Jamescecon and I regularly update these #WFH charts using @ONS labour force survey data. I've no idea when it will settle. The end of these charts look like frayed knots. Firstly #WFH by broad occupation (in @CIPD lovely new brand colours)
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@econcallum I wrote in 2022 about how half of the increase could be explained by demography. I think the other half was things like early retirement which naturally works through the system - #gref" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">community.cipd.co.uk/cipd-blogs/b/c…
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The Sutton Trust
The Sutton Trust@suttontrust·
🚨 Accent prestige rankings 🚨 A hierarchy of accent prestige has been entrenched in Britain for centuries, and our research finds that this remains today. We found that accents associated with industrial cities and ethnic minority accents are considered the least prestigious.
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
I made a gif to show the cyclical nature of construction (and the hyper cyclical nature of housebuilding)
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@mmamertino @ONS @UKDataService It doesn’t exist annoyingly. Does in lfs though. You can a. stitch together a bunch of lfs datasets, b. Some cuts available through NOMIS query, c. Ask the social surveys team politely to do it for you, d. Become a secure access researcher and get it yourself.
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Mariano Mamertino
Mariano Mamertino@mmamertino·
Calling all UK data experts: I’m struggling to find the 4-digit UK SOC variable (SOC20M) in the Annual Population Survey microdata. Any ideas on what I might be doing wrong? I’d greatly appreciate any pointers or help—thank you in advance! #econtwitter #uk @ONS @UKDataService
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@NobleFrancis It's interesting to put other sectors alongside construction. It then doesn't seem so bad. But then again, perhaps the UK has a business failure problem.
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Noble Francis
Noble Francis@NobleFrancis·
However, it is too early to get excited about recent falls in construction insolvencies as that the number of UK construction firms going out of business in the year to September 2024 was 34.5% higher than in January 2020 (pre-pandemic) due to... (4/n) #ukconstruction #ukhousing
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Noble Francis
Noble Francis@NobleFrancis·
4,264 UK construction firms went into insolvency in the year to September 2024, which is 1.1% lower than in the year to August & 0.7% lower than a year earlier, according to the latest data from the Government's Insolvency Service. (1/n) #ukhousing #ukconstruction
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@stabiloFFC @timleunig students. There is literally a block of student flats next to the bus station in this exact same location. and single family homes on the other side of the road.
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stabilo
stabilo@stabiloFFC·
@timleunig Next to three lanes of traffic on one side and a railway line on the other and above a bus station. Who would live there?!
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@TeraPauliina I wonder how many individuals are using it. I wouldn't know what to do without it.
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Tera Allas CBE | @teraallas.bsky.social
So much for rapid adoption of #AI technology, let alone job losses due to it. Only around 15% of businesses say they use AI (and this is dominated by ICT, education and prof services sectors); and only about 10% say they intend to adopt it in the next 3 months. #dataisbeautiful
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Felicity Hannah
Felicity Hannah@FelicityHannah·
Sometimes, if I am on the phone and people ask how to spell my surname, I say 'Hannah - like the girl's name'. And out of the corner of my eye, I see my husband look hurt (because it is, in fact, an extremely masculine name)
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Andrew Phillips
Andrew Phillips@AndrewDSPhil·
Great chart from @JonathanBoys - among people aged 55-64 in work, one in seven (15%) want fewer hours *and* less pay. Employers should facilitate people switching to part-time roles to retain them - and prevent them leaving the workforce. cipd.org/uk/views-and-i…
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@mbcorney @HAblett @CIPD I applied the employment rates from 30 yrs ago to todays population of 16-24 (irrespective of any question about study) so it does take that into account. Here is my longer blog. Also shows FT students increasingly do not combine work and study - cipd.org/uk/views-and-i…
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Mark Corney
Mark Corney@mbcorney·
@HAblett @JonathanBoys @CIPD But this forgets full time students also work. About 25% of all 18 year olds are in full time education - mainly HE but some in FE - are in work. With a rising population of 18-24s not sure narrative of full time v employment/workless is that helpful.
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Duncan Lamont
Duncan Lamont@DuncanLamont2·
1/6 Can older workers can be encouraged to join the labour market? Populations are ageing ➡️ shrinking workforce All else equal ➡️ lower economic growth The hope is that technology can increase productivity. #AI to the rescue But what about the other side?
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@DuncanLamont2 I did some sums to show we would have 1mn more people in work if young people had the same employment rates as 30 years ago. Quoted in a couple of papers this week. I think people might soon be considering the trade off between labour supply and education cipd.org/uk/views-and-i…
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Duncan Lamont
Duncan Lamont@DuncanLamont2·
4/6 🔸Female participation rates are already high, so less that can be hoped from this vs say Japan in the past 🔸Activity rates have fallen among 16-17yr olds (60% in 1999, 32% now). But doubt we'll see a policy of encouraging people to leave school early
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@HeejungChung About 1/4 people in their 30s work mainly from home but it depends on occupation. If you are not an office worker its very hard to find this type of work.
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Prof. Heejung Chung
Prof. Heejung Chung@HeejungChung·
Households earning more than 60k are struggling financially as mortgages, bills pile on pressure despite healthy incomes. One thing that stuck out in the article is how despite this, women could not increase their working hours due to lack of flexibility. theguardian.com/business/2024/…
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@t0nyyates I nearly got stabbed to death on Seven Sisters road. Most terrifying experience of my life. Big part of decision to move away from there.
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@DrAdamJones It's definitely one of the big concerns when I talk to people (It's not something I worry about too much). ChatGPT can do a lot but most analysis is run locally with help to get code or excel formulas.
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Dr Adam Jones
Dr Adam Jones@DrAdamJones·
I reckon the most immediate impact on HR of AI will be dealing with employees who upload sensitive and confidential info to ChatGPT, causing notifiable data breaches. "I uploaded our sickness records and ChatGPT gave me a summary for my PowerPoint!"
CIPD@CIPD

Check out our newest blog post featuring insights from @JonathanBoys Senior Labour Market Economist at the CIPD 🤖 Discover the potential effects of AI on automation, wages, and employment, and explore whether history can guide our predictions about the future of work 🌍 Read in full here: ow.ly/pV4v50Qyopy #CIPD #HR #AI #ChatGPT #People #Future #Skills

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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@Dylan_Difford I was born in 1988 and I know the reference. I sometimes even listen to music and watch films from the 70s.
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Charles Cotton
Charles Cotton@CharlesMCotton·
The retirement age will have to rise to 71 for middle-aged workers across the UK, according to research into the impact of growing life expectancy and falling birthrates on the state pension. theguardian.com/money/2024/feb… @CIPD
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jonathanboys
jonathanboys@JonathanBoys·
@LibHousing Big difference between owning outright or a young couple with a 5% deposit/absolutely mortgaged to the hilt. Does a LVT treat these the same? A tax on equity seems fair but a tax on debt doesn’t sound progressive to me (have I missed something?)
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