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My top stocks for the next few years
$ZETA: $19>100+
$SOFI: $18>$90+
$CELH: $29>$150+
$IREN: $45>$200+
$META: $550>$2000+
$HIMS:$33>$120+
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Joseph Invests
336 posts
Joseph Invests
@JosephFGI
Founder | Equity research, valuation & market analysis | Turning data into conviction | Not financial advice
Katılım Haziran 2026
120 Takip Edilen174 Takipçiler
3 Huge Crashing And Poor Sentiment Stocks RIGHT NOW
1. $IREN Down 50% from all time highs. People shorting it because they paid the warriors 50 millions dollars and Ceo packages. Analysts have this stock going 110% from where it is at right now. Deals with $NVDA and $MSFT. Vertically integrated neo cloud which recently bought the software Mirantis to help sell to enterprises and bridge the gap between $NBIS and $CRWV
2. $SOFI. Down 40% from highs. Even though they have not missed on earnings in a year and are having record member growth investors sold them off hard after their last earnings for failing to raise guidance. Building a financial ecosystem like huge banks. CEO has 60%+ of his net worth in stock and will not stop buying. 1 stop shop for everything from loans to savings to investing. 40%+ eps growth rates over the next few years and trading at a 26 FPE right now.
3. $CELH down over 70% from all time highs. Concerns over the consumer spending, worries about the core brand slowing down growth, and pending legal case from the Texas AG. Alani is the first ever energy drink targeted at women. Taking over 50% of the revenue of the business by this quarter. Taking huge market share from Red Bull and Monster. Starting to focus on international expansion. $PEP as shareholder and distributor provides them a backer moat for distribution.
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@Jqdrose97002 I agree I trust in their management and the business model they have been and are building. I think Mirantis is the final piece. I believe they are the best positioned for the future and will execute.
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@JosephFGI Yup it has the bone but at the end of the day all about execution. Story is great but never marry a stock based on story. Poor management execution and capital allocation can turn this into a dilution machine. If they can execute then it should never be at current MC.
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I do agree that $IREN has potential, and frankly, it made me a lot of money over the past year, so I’m not going to talk shit about it. These are simply my honest thoughts for anyone considering an investment.
The fundamentals of neoclouds sit within the disconnect between compute supply and demand. These neoclouds don’t need to wait for utility allocations and build everything from the ground up, supposedly saving hyperscalers years. And no one doubts that compute demand are skyrocketing. But RPO alone is misleading. What matters is how much capital is required to generate that revenue and what return shareholders ultimately receive.
The deal with $MSFT looks awesome in the headline, but it is a low-ball deal. Roughly $8.8B of capex for a $9.7B contract is a thin-spread business, with no clear cost inflation passthrough mechanism. This is why killer earnings across other parts of the AI infrastructure chain, such as memory, CPUs and connectors, actually hurt $IREN. It takes on the debt cost and execution risk for $MSFT while its own project costs rise. In comparison, $NBIS has pass-through mechanisms, $CIFR has annual escalation clauses and reimbursement protection against cost inflation.
The deal with $NVDA is much better. $1.6B of Dell system costs, plus other expenses, against a $3.4B service contract, or roughly $10M per MW per year. But unlike the $NBIS deal, $NVDA did not make an upfront investment, and the deal was followed by a $3B convertible raise. There is also the option for NVIDIA to purchase up to 30M shares at $70, creating another major potential dilution overhang. In comparison, $CIFR and $CLSK are structured more like NNN leases. There is nothing inherently wrong with dilution for this deal that requires heavy upfront capital and may provide more upside later, but it still hurts existing investors in the short term.
More importantly, this leads to two questions: 1) If compute is extremely scarce, why aren’t both hyperscaler deals favorable against peers? 2) How much actual profit can IREN generate from the 5 GW pipeline? Not just RPO and revenue, especially as token costs continue falling sharply as new models scale. With pressure on both sides of the chain, do neoclouds really have the pricing power and margins investors expect? So far, the market seems to believe more in $NBIS and less in $CRWV and $IREN.
This is also why the Mirantis acquisition is important. IREN appears to realize that bare-metal neocloud is a thin-spread business that may not get it very far, especially since it is not $CRWV and does not have $NVDA backing it in the same way. But spending more than $50M a year on the logo to support Mirantis is difficult to justify IMO. For comparison, Webull pays around $30M for Brooklyn, Abu Dhabi pays around $30M for the New York Knicks. Once again, if compute is so scarce assume $IREN has a lot of pricing power, why do you need to pay such a premium for ads?
Everyone knows about the compensation package. It is a lot, and it is not performance based. Management released a letter explaining it, so I’m not going to argue whether it is right or wrong.
All that being said, I’m happy to discuss, and please correct me where I’m wrong. I do think $IREN has potential, even though I don’t necessarily agree with every move management has made. In the low $30s, it would reenter my buy zone.
Joseph Invests@JosephFGI
People on X hear $IREN is diluting and they spent 50 billion dollars on a logo so let’s go short 25% of the stock and sell every single share we have. While not realizing they have 5GW of capacity which each GW in the future will be worth 10 billion revenue+ a year. They are going to have 1210 mw energized by EOY 2027. Then they refuse to read into why they did the logo in SILICON VALLEY with the MIRANTIS ACQUISITION to help support enterprises and get their name in front of them to sell them access to compute. Then they do not realize a deal in Australia is likely. This is all based off of $META opening up data centers in 5 YEARS because the demand for compute is so constrained. Look at Google they had RPO for cloud services go up 100% quarter over quarter. These people are wall streets liquidity and they will lose their whole portfolio in a short squeeze. I HAVE NEVER GOTTEN A FUNDAMENTAL ARGUMENT AGAINST IREN. IT IS ONLY SOME TWITTER NARRATIVE. They have the lowest debt even though they are the only vertically built Neo cloud. HOW are they trading at a market average forward price to sales when they are going to grow rev at a 107% CAGR 10x the market average. Tell me they are overvalued, YOU CAN’T
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@Samdanawich I fully agree it’s a rigging that is shorting it. They are taking advantage of stupid people.
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@JosephFGI Not so much regular people shorting the stock, but the criminal scum at Jane street amd other criminal institutions
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People on X hear $IREN is diluting and they spent 50 billion dollars on a logo so let’s go short 25% of the stock and sell every single share we have. While not realizing they have 5GW of capacity which each GW in the future will be worth 10 billion revenue+ a year. They are going to have 1210 mw energized by EOY 2027. Then they refuse to read into why they did the logo in SILICON VALLEY with the MIRANTIS ACQUISITION to help support enterprises and get their name in front of them to sell them access to compute. Then they do not realize a deal in Australia is likely. This is all based off of $META opening up data centers in 5 YEARS because the demand for compute is so constrained. Look at Google they had RPO for cloud services go up 100% quarter over quarter. These people are wall streets liquidity and they will lose their whole portfolio in a short squeeze. I HAVE NEVER GOTTEN A FUNDAMENTAL ARGUMENT AGAINST IREN. IT IS ONLY SOME TWITTER NARRATIVE. They have the lowest debt even though they are the only vertically built Neo cloud. HOW are they trading at a market average forward price to sales when they are going to grow rev at a 107% CAGR 10x the market average. Tell me they are overvalued, YOU CAN’T
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What’s one stock you will probably hold for the next DECADE?
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@Jorlev_11 Haha I am just being sarcastic everyone on X acts like it is 50 billion.
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@appelofficial They have 2 CEO’s that have 5x the company in the last year.
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25% of $IREN stock is being shorted right now. Do you know what happens next when a companys fundamentals are getting better and the short interest is flying. A short squeeze happens and IREN will fly. $IREN is NOT getting hit in stock price right now because of concerns about their management or their business failing. They are getting hit over something in Iran that does not affect them at all and negative sentiment for no reason of people who bought high. What does this mean. This means that they are trading at an extremely discounted price below their fundamentals. People in shorts here will get their whole portfolios destroyed. Their fundamentals have only gotten better and they have had no real bad news. They are down now 50% from their all time highs even though huge hyper scalers who are spending money like $GOOG are doubling their cloud RPO on a quarter to quarter basis. That means the amount of compute that will be needed is being extremely undervalued. If this stock continues to go low I will be adding because demand will continue to completely out pace supply for the next 5 years. People are scared of $META but their data centers will have less than half the capacity $IREN has of energized gw. On top of this Meta is building data centers because they see that compute is going to be a bottle neck and want to get in on the action. This is $META saying the market needs more compute we have none and some idiots are looking at this saying there is excess compute. People are crazy and are trying to capitalize on fear. Be greedy when others are fearful. Analysts even have this stock now with a twelve month price target of 110% higher.
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@justinintime00 I agree I hope we stay down here so I can make this a heavier position. I have been adding a lot and would like a month more to fill it out.
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2 HUGE OPINIONS ON NEW YORK MORATORIUM ON DATA CENTERS FOR $IREN $NBIS AND $CRWV
FIRST: The people selling this off are idiots. How many data centers do any of these companies have in New York. ZERO. How does this affect any of these companies especially $IREN who has all its U.S. DATA CENTERS IN TEXAS. And I promise you Texas will not ban data centers. Data center builders can enact BEHIND THE METER POWER to make sure they do not pull from the electricity from the surrounding grid. This is not going to effect any data center builds and more idiots are just shorting and selling $IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV just to blow up their full portfolios based off of lies of other X creators. This is one of the stupidest sell offs I have ever seen between this and $META not even having their data center finished until 2036. There is a huge supply imbalance that will be for years. All three will be huge winners but $IREN will be the biggest due to their margin moat due to vertical integration of their business model.
Secondly, this move is so dangerous to our country and completely bone headed by New York. Why would you not want to create 100,000+ jobs. On another perspective more importantly if more states regulate this who will build them. CHINA. If we really want China to become a bigger superpower than us because they have the superior AI keep doing this. That would be THE WORST possible problem to have. We would lose our dominance and it will happen if we refuse to support the AI build out.
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@justinintime00 Stay safe. I agree with you I feel more confident with such horrible sentiment because I know it can not be sold too much more.
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@JosephFGI Late response, sorry was driving. I am honestly so bulled up. This bet is the least I worry about.
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@MeetingMinds89 I 100% agree. $NBIS is 2x more expensive when they will never be able to command the margins $IREN has due to a lesser business model. Mirantis acquisition makes up the gap in software so they can sell to enterprises and connect that third layer.
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@JosephFGI Exactly. Its narrative set by NBIS lovers
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@solidasarock77 The stock market is a place of wealth transfer from the impatient to the patient. Last stock I saw this play out was $HIMS, I will not miss that move this time. Stuff is irrational in the short run but long run price always catches up fast.
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@JosephFGI well you ain't wrong,... but the market is retarded. I don't get it. Just have to wait it out
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I fully agree vertical integration allows them to have a margin moat. They can charge out their competitors with lower prices. I agree it will be 60 billion+ eventually but it will take them into the 2030’s to have that energized capacity build of 5 GW+ to hit those numbers. I fully agree though they will be close to a 300 billion mc at least long term. That is over a 25x from here.
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@JosephFGI this is based on colocation model - owning the building and grid connection, if they own everything including GPUS then the revenue is 5-6x bigger, so it will be 50-60B per year in 2029-2030
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@JosephFGI lol at using backward looking numbers for solvency/net debt but projecting $9B in revenue on what capex and margins?
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@Lazarus_Capital 9 billion in revenue for their fiscal year 2028. I am using forward looking metrics based on their energized capacity for those years.
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@MktMachiavelli I agree it is positive for IREN. If you mean less supply that can come online then you are correct. Less data centers means less compute with same amount of demand. That means higher deal prices.
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@JosephFGI It's a positieve for $IREN imo. if anything it means that less demand can come online no??
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@1xStrateg1x I fully agree. They know they can take their time on deals because the price for actual energized capacity will be a premium to other deals. No compute is going to just be un utilized with the demand for it when hyper scalers RPO is doubling over quarters.
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@JosephFGI $IREN are at the best shape, repricing will go so much up! 👌
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@justinintime00 I agree people are just so brainwashed and biased they sell. Their loss
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@justinintime00 Great minds think alike. This is just going to benefit $IREN more since they have their data centers in Texas. If there is less supply we could see deals with 15 million per mw. Could be closer to 100 billion revenue than long term for them.
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