Josh
2.1K posts


@CoinMarketCap @Grok is $TAO a good competitor with $BTC ?
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Bitcoin's on-chain data is telling two very different stories right now.
Here's what 5 key indicators say this week 🧵
1) MVRV Z-Score: 0.56
BTC is trading at fair value. Not cheap, not overvalued. We're a long way from the Jan peak of 1.42 ($96K BTC) and have recovered from the Feb crash low of 0.30.
No alarm bells. No screaming buy either.
2) Sharpe Signal: ~0.40 (key level: 0.50)
This is THE indicator to watch. It briefly touched 0.50 on Mar 17 when BTC hit $75K — then pulled back.
A confirmed close above 0.50 = the historical long signal. We're not there yet.
3) STH Realized P&L: Still bearish
Short-term holders have been selling at a loss almost every day since January. Loss/profit ratio is ~8–10x.
Slightly improving from Feb extremes — but no green shoots yet.
4) Exchange Netflow: Whales are accumulating
This is the most bullish signal of the week.
- Wallets >$10M: withdrawing 4,323 BTC from exchanges
- Wallets $1M–$10M: withdrawing 1,829 BTC
- Retail ($10k–$100k): net depositing (selling)
Smart money is quietly buying what scared hands are selling.
5) Confluence Model: 0 of 4 bull conditions active
This model needs price, network activity, profitability, and supply metrics all firing together. Right now? None of them are. No confirmed bull market resumption signal.
The bottom line:
Whales are accumulating. Retail is selling. On-chain momentum is still negative but improving.
This looks like base-building, not a breakout. The trigger: BTC needs to hold above ~$75–78K for the Sharpe Signal to confirm.
Watch the April CPI print.

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Más de US$6 millones serán invertidos por EE. UU. en Petén
La inversión protegerá el patrimonio, así como fortalecerá la economía y la seguridad de los guatemaltecos.
Descubre en qué consisten los proyectos⬇️
bit.ly/4e0cotT

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@TheCryptoLark What is so surprising? They said they would and have been 1 more every day.
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@GenePhilip1 @MailOnline Wait but the Tesla should be smart enough to allow you out of the car at any moment even while updating the stupid software, I can’t believe this man wants to take humans to Mars
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A Tesla owner was left horrified after she got stuck in her Tesla when she tried to update the ... #i-de31f61af47a461d" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">mol.im/a/13382795?ito… via @MailOnline......This girl is unbelievable stupid.
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@EsdeProfugos “Pudiste hacerlo en privado pero decidiste ridiculizarte en público rey “
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@estradalenin Si esa pregunta sería, la respuesta es no, no se te pueden caer las manos por levantar basura de la mesa, si es retórica ya tu sabes, y si es sarcasmo levántala tú si tanto te estorba
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