Katie Warren
33 posts
@AdamMancini4 How do you determine the overnight low? Do you consider the low at market close, or do you look further into the night?
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There's 6708 target hit. As posted literally 1hr ago, everyday is the same for me in #ES_F: Never short, wait for Failed Breakdown, long. I posted watch for traps of the 6681 2:40AM low. We trapped it 10 points, recovered
Targets were 6690, 6697, 6708. All hit. 6711, 6721 bonus
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After an 87 point long from yesterday's 6633 FOMC Failed Breakdown given in newsletter to 6720 target, #ES_F put in its 1st mini-dip & nice Failed Breakdown. I posted watch for traps of the 2:40AM 6681 low. We trapped it, ran to 6690 1st trgt 6697, 6708 above. Same downsides
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POLL ALERT🚨
Do you agree with President Trump’s decision to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities in Furdow, Natanz, and Esfahan?
A. YES
B. NO
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Do you think these people should be thrown in prison for 10 years ?
A.Yes
B. No
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@AdamMancini4 Great advice!
You mention volatility and momentum on your news letters. How do you determine those?
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A game changer for me was realizing profitability comes from narrowing focus, not expanding it. As a new trader, I traded many setups, in many markets, I followed "macro" & only had losses to show. I now trade 1 market, mostly 1 setup & focus on *nothing* but the chart. Less=more
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@AdamMancini4 Happy Holidays Adam! Your NL are amazing!
Could you recommended a good book or info on learning how to plot support and resistance?
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Its been a staggering 160 point short squeeze from this mornings long trigger at 5891. As warned 1hr ago, protect profits. #ES_F gave a gift, dont squander in final 3 hours of regular trading in 2024
No change: 5987-90 remains support. Keeps 6100 FOMC backtest live. Sell <5987
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
There's 6032 target tagged in #ES_F, and we are now up an incredible 141 points from this mornings long trigger, one of the best longs of the year. Plan was clear: 5891 triggers long, with 5928 reclaim to bottom. ****Protect your profits now, no greed*** 5987-90 now support
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@AdamMancini4 I've been a subscriber to your newsletter for years, and it's truly helped me improve as a trader. I'm particularly intrigued by how you identify the major levels. I really appreciate the quality of your content! Do you have any book recommendations?
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Pro traders aren't any better at "predicting" where the market will go than a hobby trader, and its not the job. The difference is all in execution: Finding lvls, protecting profits once available, stopping out & adjusting when wrong, and consistant loss size control. Focus there
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@Maps_and_Miles How many contracts are you able to place?
Does Ninjatrader limit how many times you can place trades in a given week?
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It took its time, but got 1.5 points off todays 5320 target 3 in #ES_F so far. I gave 3 targets today as long as above 5299: 5311(hit this morning), 5316 (hit 1145AM), 5320
Above there, we start breakout leg. 5336 is the first stop of this leg when ES ready. 5299 remains support
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
There's 5316 target #2 tagged in #ES_F. If you have profit takes left, lock in, let longs runners keep working risk free & nothing else to do. We are now+42 from yesterdays 5274 support/long zone. 5320 is target #3. Above there, ATH leg begins to 5336+. No dip until 5299 fails
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@AdamMancini4 I’m moving my trading account to Interactive Brokers the fees+commissions on TOS are steep. Do you recommend linking my interactive broker account to TradingView and trading of the TV platform or trade directly of the interactive broker platform?
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Like everyone, I have opinions on where $SPX is headed/its path. When I walk into my office to trade though, they stay at the door. All I care about is: 1) My trade plan 2) Waiting on my 3 setups 3) Taking profits lvl to lvl 4) Rinse, reset bias, repeat. This is how accounts grow
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@AdamMancini4 Reading your NL for 1/19, you mentioned on "Failed breakdown into the close" from Wednesday's low. Which level was Wed's low? I don't see it on the chart.
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Yesterdays 4785 long trigger played out with an incredible run in #ES_F. Today I was looking for 4839-42, then dip, and we hit 4841 then dipped. OPEX day has now begun, *do not over-trade*, messiest of the year
4825-30 must reclaim to resume up. 4814,4802-08 now supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Big follow through for #ES_F. Yesterday, 4785 reclaim was long trigger, with 4813 target "cool-off spot before 4830. Above there we start next 100+ point breakout leg". At 4838 Plan today: Hold runners. As long as >4825-30, 4839-42, dip, 4860 next. 4825 fails, so does breakout
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@AdamMancini4 Which website do you look at to obtain the CPI report?
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Yesterday, I was looking for a rally off 4787 support in #ES_F with 1 big target: 4835, and overnight, we hit 4837. Lock in most gains ahead of CPI in 30mins - expect traps/major vol
Plan: 4820, 4808-10 post CPI supports. Must hold to keep 4846, 4860 live direct. 4787 below 4808
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
4815-20 next target tagged in #ES_F for a 30 point push now off today's 4787-85 long zone. As posted every hour all day, little to do but keep running those longs. Lock in more gains if you have them, tighten stops on runner 4815-20 is the final reaction/basing zone before 4835
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@LegionofJelly Every time frame has a different trend- need to average them out to develop a comprehensive view. The broad trend Is a bull market though as long as the 50dma is above the 200dma (as a rule of thumb)
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Traders search hard for an edge but the most powerful is the most obvious: The trend. In an uptrend, longs by definition win more (with better R/R) than shorts and vice versa in a downtrend. 75% of successful trading is just getting the trend/broad context right & not fighting it
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@AdamMancini4 I appreciate your content on twitters and Substack. Definitely life changing.
Any books you can recommend?
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Markets are just an elaborate series of traps to grab liquidity from traders chasing due to fear of missing a move. In other words, if your not entering *after* a trap has set (a failed breakout/breakdown) there is a high chance *you're* the one being trapped. FOMO kills accounts
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