
Kevin Santana
193 posts

Kevin Santana
@KevinS75752
Puertorican on the Weekends















.@SECWAR “If Iran is wise, they will cut a deal. President Trump does not bluff and does not back down—you can ask Khamenei about that. The new Iranian regime should know that by now. This new regime—because regime change has occurred—should be wiser than the last. President Trump will make a deal; he is willing. And the terms of the deal are known to them. If Iran is not willing, then the United States War Department will continue—with even more intensity.”




CIPS is real and it is growing. The critical point about CIPS is not its current volume, which is still a fraction of SWIFT's throughput. The critical point is its independence. You probably know this better than me, but CIPS was designed from the ground up by the Chinese state, operated by Chinese institutions, governed by Chinese law, and hosted on Chinese infrastructure. It does not depend on Western technology platforms, Western clearing banks, or Western regulatory approval to function. If the US sanctioned every Chinese bank tomorrow and cut them off from SWIFT entirely, CIPS would continue operating. That is why it was built. Ok, so CIPS is specifically designed to exclude Western intermediation from the transaction chain. A Russian energy company selling oil to a Chinese refiner, settling in yuan through CIPS, with the transaction cleared by Chinese banks and recorded on Chinese systems, generates zero fee income for JPMorgan, zero data flow through Aladdin, and zero intermediation revenue for any Western institution. The FIC is not just uninvited from that transaction. It is by design, excluded from it. This is the one scenario they cannot simply absorb. And China is not building this in isolation. It is extending CIPS connectivity through the Belt and Road Initiative, through bilateral swap lines with dozens of central banks, and through institutional frameworks. Each new bilateral connection reduces the number of transactions that need to touch Western infrastructure. So CIPS represents a genuine bifurcation of the global financial plumbing. The question is how far that bifurcation extends. Because, again, as you know, the yuan is not freely convertible. China maintains capital controls that limit how freely yuan can flow in and out of the country. This is a deliberate policy choice that serves China's domestic monetary management, but it creates friction for international users of CIPS. So the sword is cutting both ways here. A Saudi oil exporter who receives yuan payment through CIPS cannot freely convert that yuan into euros or invest it in global markets without navigating China's capital account restrictions. The dollar's global utility was built on full convertibility and deep, liquid capital markets that allowed holders to do whatever they wanted with their dollars. The yuan does not offer this, and Beijing shows no indication of opening the capital account to the degree required to match it. This means CIPS works well for bilateral trade settlement between China and its partners, where the yuan stays within the Chinese economic orbit and gets recycled into Chinese goods, infrastructure, or financial assets. It works less well for multilateral trade settlement between third parties who have no particular reason to hold yuan and need to convert it into something else. A Kenyan coffee exporter settling a sale to a Turkish buyer does not want to be paid in yuan through CIPS unless there is a liquid, low-friction way to convert that yuan into shillings or lira. That conversion layer is where the system gets complicated, and it is precisely the layer where Western financial institutions currently maintain their deepest advantage. The realistic trajectory is a two-track global system rather than a full replacement. That's what I see. CIPS will not replace SWIFT and the dollar system, but CIPS will operate as a parallel rail that handles an increasing share of China-centric bilateral trade while the Western system continues to handle multilateral trade and capital market transactions where deep liquidity and full convertibility are required. Over time, the CIPS track grows. China's trade footprint is expanding. Belt and Road countries are being onboarded onto yuan settlement infrastructure. The share of global trade flowing through non-Western infrastructure increases gradually, from a few percent today to potentially 15 to 25 percent over the next decade if current trends continue. The TPS-FIC adapts to this by doing what it always does: it builds bridges between the two tracks. Western institutions will position themselves as the connective tissue at the points where the CIPS track and the SWIFT track intersect, handling the currency conversion, the hedging, and the risk management for entities that operate across both systems. This is a less dominant position than intermediating all global transactions, but it is still a highly profitable one because the complexity of operating across two parallel systems is greater than operating within a single one. The part that neither side wants to hear. The Western financial establishment does not want to acknowledge that CIPS represents a genuine structural shift that they cannot fully co-opt. It is more comfortable to frame de-dollarization as something the FIC will simply absorb and monetize. In most cases that framing is correct, but CIPS is the exception because it was built specifically to be absorption-proof. The TPS is remarkably adaptive, but it is not omnipotent.





🚨🚨 عاجل مصادر لرويترز: العراق يعلن حالة القوة القاهرة بحقول النفط التي تعمل بها شركات أجنبية





🚨 عاجل — بغداد — خاص تفيد مصادرنا بأن نوري المالكي تلقى اتصالًا من القائم بأعمال السفارة الأميركية يؤكد رفض ترشيحه، مع تحذيره من عقوبات ستطال ثلاث وزارات بينها النفط إذا استمر. تم مُنحه مهلة حتى مساء الاثنين 16 فبراير لإعلان انسحابه. انتهى إذا رفض، قد يُعلن الإطار سحب ترشيح

🚨 JUST IN: AG Pam Bondi just UNLEASHED the FULL Epstein Files under the Transparency Act, ALL 3.5 MILLION pages DROPPED, redactions JUSTIFIED only for victims, and HIGH-PROFILE names EXPOSED with ZERO cover-ups for embarrassment or politics. “No records withheld or redacted based on embarrassment, reputational harm, or political sensitivity to ANY official, public figure, or foreign dignitary!” This BACKFIRED BIGLY on the left, powerful Dems like Bill Clinton (mentioned 1,193 times!) and others BUSTED, while fake smears against Trump called out as BS! VINDICATION for Trump!


The Real Big Epstein List bombshells stay sealed for now. Just For now. When these are unsealed. Holy SHIT. Look Out! 🔥

It’s like Epstein had access to everyone… 2016-2017, He was besties to Deepak Chopra. Epstein to Deepak: “I liked watching you zero in on your PREY. Made me smile.” Also, apparently they both were so chummy together they were collaborating on creating an apps and board game together as well. Mind you, this is in 2016-2017, thousands of communications when he was already established as one of the most prolific pedophiles in history.











