Le Macro, PhD

$BTC ATH reclaim timing is shorter: - 2013 top → reclaim ATH after: 1184 days - 2017 top → reclaim ATH after: 1080 days. From 1184 → 1080 = 104 days shorter. - 2021 top → reclaim ATH after: 847 days. From 1080 → 847 = 233 days shorter. If Oct 2025 was the cycle top, $BTC ATH reclaim scenarios are: - Earliest: 325 days (Aug 2026) Because the reduction increased by 2.24x, so 233 × 2.24 = 522, and 847 − 522 = 325. - Base case: 679 days (Aug 2027) Average reduction = 168 days, so 847 − 168 = 679. - Late case: 847 days (Jan 2028) Same as the previous cycle. - Super late case: 1080-1184 days after top (Sep- November 2028) Not Financial Advice!

@DigitTrad2407 welcome to my Ted talk!

@LeMacroCap Thank

$NEAR is showing early signs of a possible momentum shift. Bullish than $LINK, $DOGE, $BTC on this setup. - Price is trading above both the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200-day MA, which is constructive. - OBV is testing a breakout from its long descending channel, suggesting selling pressure may be weakening. - Stoch RSI is elevated, so short-term consolidation would not be surprising. Key area to watch: $1.65–$1.70. Chart observation only. Not financial advice. Disclosure: I may hold $NEAR.

Market update: since my post yesterday, near:native has outperformed $LINK, $DOGE, and $BTC by around 12-14%. For information only. Not investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

near:native Position update: up 25.7% so far. Welcome to my TED Talk. Not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

@matth17_matthew thanks

@LeMacroCap Greetings 🙏

hyperliquid:native just reached the first level I was watching. I only share chart observations and market data. No buy/sell recommendations. Your money, your decision. Information only. Not financial advice.

@LLuciano_BTC $BTC performance is not consistently related to $GOLD.

🚨 Only ONE of these makes you never work again. 1 $BTC Digital gold 🟠 1K $ZEC Quantum-proof privacy🔐 2K $TAO The Bitcoin of AI 🤖 20 $ETH The crypto’s backbone💎 1M $DOGE Elon’s favorite🐕 👇👇 Choose wisely. RT if you’re already holding.

Is a Gold pump a good indicator for a Bitcoin pump? Not consistently. I use Yahoo Finance data since 2014 to show that the BTC–Gold relationship is unstable. The 90-day rolling correlation moves between positive, negative, and near-zero regimes. Most of the time, the correlation stays around -0.2 to +0.3, which means gold is not a strong standalone predictor of bitcoin:native. The chart shows three important points: - In 2017, bitcoin:native rallied almost independently of Gold. - In 2020–2021, the correlation rose as both assets reacted to liquidity expansion and inflation narratives. - In the current cycle, the correlation is positive, but still moderate. So yes, is sometimes called “digital solana:GoLDppdjB1vDTPSGxyMJFqdnj134yH6Prg9eqsGDiw6A.” But in bull markets, it still behaves more like a high-beta liquidity asset. Information only. Not financial advice.

$USOIL 4H Crude oil has been one of the main macro shocks weighing on risk assets over the past few days. If oil prices remain elevated, inflation concerns could stay alive, making it harder for the Fed to justify rate cuts. In a persistent inflation scenario, markets may start pricing a more hawkish policy path. On the chart, OBV is still moving inside an ascending channel, suggesting buying pressure remains present, although momentum appears to be slowing. For risk assets like stocks $SPY, bitcoin:native, and alts such as ethereum:native, dogecoin:native, and $LINK, a cooldown in oil would likely be helpful in the short term. Lower oil prices would ease inflation pressure and could improve the market’s expectations for future Fed rate cuts. Prediction markets such as Kalshi should be watched closely, as chance for Fed rate-cut in 2026 probabilities is at 36.9% now. Market observation only. Not financial advice.

ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 update — early momentum is improving. Price has broken above the short-term descending channel, while OBV has also broken out strongly, suggesting selling pressure may be weakening. Stoch RSI is turning up from low levels, but the key confirmation zone remains $0.294–$0.30. Setup improving, but not fully confirmed yet. Chart observation only. Not financial advice. Disclosure: I may hold ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753.

$WLD 4h What look bullish: - OBV broke the descending channel, suggesting selling pressure may be weakening. - Stoch RSI is also turning up from low levels. What is not confirmed yet: - Price is still below 200 MA cross line around $0.256. A clean move above $0.256 would be the strong sign. - Main resistance is still $0.294 -$0.3 - Ichimoku Cloud ahead is still red. Stronger confirmation: when WLD break and hold above $0.3 Setup only, not confirmation. Chart observation only. Not financial advice. Disclosure: I may hold $WLD.

$OTHERS/ $BTC 1D #Altseason now? Not totally confirmed yet. But early signs are improving: - Ratio slightly above the Ichimoku Cloud - Ratio above the 200 MA - OBV broke out of a long descending channel This suggests smaller alts may be starting to regain strength versus BTC. Key confirmation level: 0.144. Market observation only. Not Financial Advice.

hyperliquid:native 1D What looks bullish: - Price has broken strongly above the Ichimoku Cloud and is also far above the 200 MA. - OBV has broken its recent range, suggesting volume behavior is improving. What is risky: - Stoch RSI is at 100, which means short-term momentum is extremely hot. Key Levels: - Resistance: $59.28 = previous high and $83.5 = 1.618 extension, only if momentum becomes very strong. Chart observation only. Not financial advice.

@MaxCrypto If I invested $180 in $WLD now, am I rich as those guys?

Sam Altman's Worldcoin just hit a new ALL-TIME LOW. $10,000 invested 2 years ago in $WLD is worth just $180 today.

@barzon_ ok, aber wann?

Warum ich glaube, dass $DOGE sein Allzeithoch von $0.73 wieder erreicht – technisch & fundamental begründet. 🧵👇 Aktueller Preis: ~$0.105 ATH: $0.73 Abstand: -85% Aber schau dir die Daten an. 👀 #Dogecoin #DOGE #Crypto #Krypto

@krisspax $DOGE is still in down trend. I still wait for confirmation.

There is practically zero interest in crypto right now. Dogecoin, Bitcoin and others have lost the early May momentum. Sell in May, go away (for the summer) might actually be a thing again this year.

@WatcherGuru good news $WLD

JUST IN: OpenAI prepares to file for IPO in the coming days or weeks, WSJ reports.

I have no crystal ball, and I’m not a financial adviser. For me, ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 only starts looking more constructive if it breaks and holds above the $0.30 zone. I hold ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 See more here: x.com/LeMacroCap/sta… Not Financial Advice!

@LeMacroCap What u Think New ath could become

Bullish on $WLD right now at $0.2434. Price and market cap are near all-time lows, while the team keeps expanding development. The market sentiment is extremely negative, but that’s often where the best asymmetric opportunities appear. Buy when no one wants to buy. Not financial advice.

@mattsunreview Thank you, I appreciate your kind words.

@LeMacroCap Your technical analysis is appreciated!

ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 is showing early signs of a possible momentum shift. - OBV broke its descending channel: selling pressure had dominated for a while, but volume behavior is now improving. - Stoch RSI is turning up, while price remains near the lows. I’m watching the $0.30 zone as a key resistance area. A clean break above it would be a technical confirmation of improving momentum. Chart observation only, not investment advice. Disclosure: I hold ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 and may be biased.