Lessons in Logic

New in CGMBet26: "show confidence" From today's board — same headline, very different trust: Brighton → 37.84% (+/- 14.92) Malmö → 37.50% (+/- 27.87) Almost identical numbers, but Malmö's range is nearly double the width — far fewer games behind it. The % alone hides this; the width reveals it. I use the Wilson score interval: the standard statistical method for constructing a confidence interval from your wins and the number of games. Unlike the naive method, it stays honest at the extremes, so a 3/3 "100%" shows a WIDE band instead of faking certainty. (Goal averages use a Poisson approximation.) One honest note: the range shows how well the PAST sample is measured — it doesn't predict the next match. The last week of the End of the Season offer!

Harry Kane is something special . Ridiculed by many but answers his critics on the pitch. A total role model on and off the pitch. I've had the pleasure to see him play on numerous occasions. Hopefully World Cup glory awaits

If a filter turns a coin-flip strategy into a 95% strike rate, you didn't find an edge. You sliced the sample until it lied to you. There's a backtest tool doing exactly this right now and calling it "realism." No names, no drama — just the reasoning cgmbet.com/blog-backtest-…

Using SQL and python on CGMBet really is the way forward. Invest in learning how they work and you won't look back

Reading a Football Stats Table Without Lying to Yourself. Three habits that separate using a stats tool from being used by one. A beginner sees a team at 82% Over 2.5 and feels they've found something. They probably haven't - not yet. cgmbet.com/blog-reading-s…

New: A small slice of CGMBet26, in your browser Picks a strategy for home, one for away, and shows today's matches that meet both. No install. Works on your phone - for the moments you're not at the computer. cgmbet.com/preview

ICYMI our latest video shows something that people always request from their software provider. Backtesting strategies with real Betfair odds. Nobody else has delivered this until now. See how we test our @Cgmbet strategies using real odds for real p/l data

Video is now live. The most comprehensive profit tracking for your strategies. We show how to use real Betfair odds with @Cgmbet created strategies. There is no longer any guesswork as to whether you are profitable or not. youtu.be/3JFoJ4jvHs4

New video is now ready and will be released at 4pm tomorrow. We show how we check to see if a strategy is profitable by using real betfair odds, checking 100s of games in seconds. We simulate exactly how we would execute the trade like never seen before. Entry, exit and hedging

Why Would a Profitable Trader Sell a Course? It's a question that comes up every time someone scrolls through social media — if this person is really as good as they claim to be, why are they selling a course instead of just trading? There are honest answers to that question. There are also dishonest ones, and they're the majority. I tried to lay both out fairly — as a non-professional, with no stake in which side comes out looking better. cgmbet.com/blog-why-trade…

Another new function in CGMBet26, custom columns: team_yield() See the actual yield % from flat-staking across the season, per team, for any market. team_yield(Won, Home) = "12.50" Backing this team to win the home games returned a +12.5%. EOS offer - cgmbet.com

New video will be released early next week. We show how you can analyse your own strategies using your own rules with @Cgmbet and real in play odds. Was your strategy profitable last season? This method will give you the answers. It does require some work but its worth it.

New in CGMBet26 Streak analysis functions Instantly see how many games in a row a team won (or failed) on any market. Example: team_neg_streaks(Scored,All,0145)="5" means it failed to score in 5 games in a row. End-of-season offer ending soon!

This one is a big addition for advanced users! Team Ranking tab in Statistics! Rank teams across leagues using any metric from your custom Upcoming systems, Win %, BTTS, custom formulas, you name it. Ex: % of games won after they conceded first (1st tab in the 1st strategy)! End Of The Season offer still up!

"How often does a team win when they lead at the 30th minute?" Spreadsheet, hours, every team, every match. CGMBet26: Predefined formula - Percent() One formula. Every team. Every league. Sortable, filterable, done, 10 seconds. End of the season offer!

Most traders want the results, but not the process. And that is why they fail.

CGMBet26 Strategy Builder Update New "Quick Recipes" menu: one-click preset combos for BTTS, Tight Game & more. 4 new strategies covering half-time markets. Built for learning: pick a recipe, tweak the parameters, explore. Not a finished system, just the starting point.

New in CGMBet26 Strategy Builder: Count All One click to see how many matches each strategy fires on today, next to every name. 🟢=sweet spot 🟠=looser 🔴=nothing today It tells you a strategy has games, NOT that it's a good bet! The End of The Season 40% OFF, still there.

Almost every useful thing a recreational bettor can learn from their own history reduces to one of these: 1. Am I up or down, and by how much? Not a running figure updated after every match, but a number you can calmly review once a month. 2. Is one type of bet doing the heavy lifting (or the heavy bleeding)? One or two categories carry the wins; one or two quietly bleed money. You cannot see this without writing it down. 3. Am I sticking to my own rules? The “just one more” on a match you didn’t research. A log catches these in a way that memory does not. 4. Is this still fun? Recreational betting is a paid form of entertainment. If it stops being entertaining, the rest of the questions stop mattering. cgmbet.com/blog-keeping-r…

CGMBet26 Strategy Builder update: 4 new stats strategies — Corner-Heavy, Shot-Volume, Shot Accuracy, Possession Dominance New Corner Specialists recipe Reminder: this is a learning tool for CGMBet26. Generated strategies are starting points, not ready-to-ship systems.