@LickMyLocks@MalikDi19 I mean you should have no problem showing your lifetime P/L unless you’re for some reason ashamed of it
Your portfolio being up also isn’t even proof of winning bets- it says that when you deposit money too lol
Here’s mine. Now yours?
Berrettini Set 1 +140 1U
I’m not so sure Medvedev deserves to be this much of a favorite over Berrettini on slow clay, but I specifically like the first set angle for two reasons
1. Berrettini has played two matches on clay already this year (three if you count doubles), while Medvedev hasn’t played since Miami- Matteo should have an edge early on because he’s already acclimated to the surface while Med may come out rusty after two weeks off and with it being his first match on the dirt
2. Unfortunately, Berrettini’s fitness is always going to be a big question mark at this stage of his career. He’s very prone to having his body break down in matches, but betting only first set should hopefully shield us from that
Tsitsipas +113 1U (Bet105)
If you’re one of the many broke losers who love to congregate in my comment sections and cannot get any satisfaction their own lives because they’re so pathetic and instead must chase dopamine from rooting against me, this is one for you. Bookmark it and be ready to comment/quote tweet with a plethora of painfully unfunny GIFs but no actual Cerundolo bet slips for over $100 USD if this loses.
Could end up looking stupid here— this is what retards might call a “trap” line (cannot exist by definition because bettors are the ones who ultimately determine the lines, so it’s impossible for Vegas to “trap” you with a seemingly to good to be true piece because that’s not how odds work— this is a FACT that will remain true even if Stef gets double bagels), but I’m simply not passing up the Monte Carlo prince (Rafa King ofc) at plus money R1
Very few people earth can go toe to toe with Francisco Cerundolo in forehand exchanges and come out on top, but Stefanos Tsitsipas is one of them. When the Tsitsipas forehand is on, it’s one of the best shots of all time. Only casuals will disagree with this. Styles make fights, and the toughest matches to win are ones where your opponent does the same thing you do but better. Fran’s game all revolves around dictating play with his forehand, which he can usually do because it’s usually the biggest and best shot on the court, but not against Tsitsipas (if he shows up, which is a very big if these days). The super slow Monte Carlo conditions also give Stef way more time to set up his one-handed backhand and it’s much less of a liability here than perhaps any other tournament on tour
I’m going to throw out the match vs Fils as a total outlier, but Tsitsipas did get one of his better wins in recent memory against De Minaur in Miami. Regardless of how bad the beating was against Fils, Stef showed signs of life in Miami, and now returns to his favorite place on earth. Three titles and two quarterfinals in his last five appearances here— I don’t care how much he’s regressed (and the ADM win suggests this isn’t quite the worst version we’ve seen of Tsitsipas)— I’m not passing at +113 vs Cerundolo in Monte Carlo. You can argue that Cerundolo is above 50%, but not by much— Stef at 46.9% implied probability is too low for me and I’m taking action