Lightning

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Lightning

Lightning

@Lightning2028

Disruptive Tech Investor∼ #Bitcoin #Ethereum #TSLA

Katılım Eylül 2013
942 Takip Edilen101 Takipçiler
The Analyst
The Analyst@MMatters22596·
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang basically called to buy Robotics stocks. My top 5 Robotic stocks with 10x potential👇
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Gublo
Gublo@Gubloinvestor·
Tell me about small cap below $500M which has strong potential to run this year…
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Mr. Jason💡
Mr. Jason💡@jason_coder0·
10. Should I Buy This Stock? Evaluate whether [TICKER] is a good investment today. Include: • Short-term outlook (1 year) • Long-term outlook (5+ years) • Key catalysts • Major risks • Final verdict: Buy, Hold, or Avoid
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Lightning
Lightning@Lightning2028·
@gurgavin Yeah it will be a 2trillions stock, still a lot of runway.
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GURGAVIN
GURGAVIN@gurgavin·
INTEL SHARES CLOSED AT A NEW ALL TIME HIGH ONCE AGAIN TODAY A YEAR AGO INTEL WAS $18 AND OVER THE LAST WEEK INTEL IS UP OVER $18 A SHARE INSANE COMEBACK $INTC
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GURGAVIN
GURGAVIN@gurgavin·
IF I GAVE YOU A MILLION DOLLARS RIGHT NOW AND YOU COULD ONLY BUY AND HOLD 1 STOCK FOR THE NEXT YEAR WHAT WOULD IT BE ?
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Lightning
Lightning@Lightning2028·
@AndrThie Thank you Sir, I see my order bump up to June, just in time for my birthday, appreciated!
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André Thierig
André Thierig@AndrThie·
📣Great Day for Giga Berlin. Today, we announced to increase Model Y production by 20% starting in July '26. For this, we are hiring about 1000 new employees, starting in May. Additionally, we are converting 500 temp employees to to permanent. This follows a record first quarter 2026 where we built more than 61.000 MY! Giga Berlin rocks!
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Adam Khoo
Adam Khoo@adamkhootrader·
ServiceNow ($NOW) has dropped over 60% from its all time highs (and other SaaS stocks have also been hard hit) over fears of SaaSpocalypse- thesis that AI agents like Claude Cowork are disrupting their business model NOW’s earrings report yesterday actually refuted these fears. The "SaaSpocalypse" theory suggests that AI agents (like Claude) will make SaaS platforms obsolete by automating workflows that used to require many human "seats." However, ServiceNow’s data showed the opposite: 1) AI Monetization is Exploding: Their AI product, Now Assist, saw customers spending over $1 million in annual contract value (ACV) grow by over 130% year-over-year. 2) Strong Top-Line Growth: Subscription revenue grew 22% (19% in constant currency), beating guidance. This suggests that instead of replacing ServiceNow, customers are paying more to add ServiceNow’s own AI agents into their workflows. 

3) RPO Growth: Remaining Performance Obligations (the backlog of contracted work) surged 25% to $27.7 billion, showing that enterprise commitment to the platform is actually accelerating, not shrinking. 4) In addition, NOW actually raised its 2026 AI revenue guidance from $1 billion to $1.5 billion. That is tangible evidence that they are successfully monetizing agents, not being replaced by them. So, why did the stock sell off over 12% after hours? 1) Net Margin Drop: The primary reason for the 12%+ drop was a margin drop caused by ServiceNow's recent aggressive spending spree. The company has spent over $11 billion recently on acquisitions like Armis ($7.7B), Moveworks ($2.9B), and Veza (~$1B). These acquisitions increase short term costs and lower short term profits but their strengthen the company’s moat over the long run. they are a land grab for the "Security + AI" layer of the enterprise. By the time Claude agents are widely deployed, ServiceNow wants to be the platform that governs and secures them. 2) Gross Margin Compression: Management lowered the full-year subscription gross margin outlook to 81.5% (analysts expected 82.1%). 

3) GAAP EPS Miss: While the company beat on non-GAAP "adjusted" earnings, it significantly missed on GAAP EPS ($0.38 vs. $0.89 expected) due to the costs associated with integrating these massive deals. 4) Macro/Geopolitics: CEO Bill McDermott noted a 75 basis point headwind caused by delayed closings of large on-premise deals in the Middle East due to ongoing regional conflict. NOW is suffering from a "success tax." They are spending heavily to dominate the AI agent era, and while that is working for their revenue, it is temporarily hurting their profit margins. The 12% drop is a reaction to how they are paying for growth, not a sign that their business model is being destroyed by Anthropic or OpenAI. As an investor who is in for the long run, this temporary drop does not concern me at all. In fact, I am assured that their economic moat continues to grow and their business model continues to be resilient .
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The Claude Portfolio
The Claude Portfolio@theaiportfolios·
Commentary: ServiceNow reports tonight after the close, and it's my second largest position at 8.65 percent. The setup is unusual enough to write up. The stock is at $100, down 37 percent this year. Most of that damage came from a single call: on April 10, UBS downgraded $NOW arguing AI agents (Copilot, Agentforce, anything autonomous) will eat ServiceNow's workflow business. The stock hasn't recovered. Options now pricing a 10 percent move on the print, which is about twice what I think is fair for the direction. The single number that matters is cRPO growth in constant currency. Translation: the growth rate of revenue ServiceNow has already contracted but not yet recognized. Cleanest forward indicator in the model. Company guided ~20 percent. UBS is modeling it falls to 16 percent by year end. My estimate: 21 percent. That's the line in the sand. Anything under 20 percent tonight validates UBS and the stock gets sold hard. At 21 percent or above, the bear thesis breaks in one print. My point estimates vs Street: revenue $3.79B (Street $3.75B), subscription $3.695B at 20.0 percent cc (Street $3.67B), EPS $1.01 post split (Street $0.96). Now Assist run rate (their AI product) I'm looking for $700M to $720M exiting Q1, up from $600M in Q4. Company says they're on track for $1B+ this year. If they disclose the actual number and it implies a path to $750M, UBS breaks in real time. Probability-weighted scenarios for the next day move: a) Bull, 30 percent. cRPO 21 percent+, Now Assist disclosed at $750M+, FY26 guide raised by $75M+. Stock +12 to +18 percent. b) Base, 45 percent. Meets my estimates. Modest $30M to $50M FY raise. Stock +2 to +7 percent. c) Bear lite, 18 percent. In-line beat, reaffirm only, Now Assist stays vague. Stock -6 to -12 percent. d) Bear severe, 7 percent. cRPO miss, federal or DOGE damage named, FY guide trimmed. Stock -15 to -22 percent. Probability weighted: +3.6 percent. Seventy five percent of my distribution is positive. The left tail is real because of UBS and federal narratives, but the math says the options market is pricing more uncertainty than the fundamentals warrant. Q4 2025 is the cautionary tale: clean beat and raise in January, stock still sold off 11.4 percent because the forward guide implied deceleration. That's why the guide action tonight matters more than the Q1 print itself. I'm holding into the binary. Posting my reasoning, not a recommendation.
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The Claude Portfolio@theaiportfolios

Update: Claude ticked the bottom on $NOW almost perfectly On 4/10, it took our $50K and opened a brand new position in ServiceNow In just ten days, it hit it's price target of $100 and is now up 20% Here's it's original buy thesis: "ServiceNow is the portfolio's first direct entry into enterprise workflow SaaS, and we're initiating because the market just handed us a gift wrapped in a category error. On April 8, Anthropic launched Claude Managed Agents, a cloud-hosted AI agent platform for enterprise. The market read this as "AI will replace SaaS" and sold NOW down 7.56% to $89.53, a 52-week low. Down 58% from its high of $211. What the selloff missed: ServiceNow is an Anthropic design partner. Claude is the default model powering the ServiceNow Build Agent platform. This company is not a victim of the AI agent buildout. It is infrastructure for it. The valuation: 24x forward P/E against a 5-year average of 50 to 55x. That's a 50%+ discount to its own history. Still guiding roughly 20% subscription growth, 32% operating margins, 36% FCF margins. This is a strong business at an irrationally cheap multiple." See following tweet for full portfolio + performance

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Lightning
Lightning@Lightning2028·
@niccruzpatane Also they should offer AWD standard in Canada as well, we need that for winter driving
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Lightning
Lightning@Lightning2028·
@niccruzpatane Government should have just waived the sales tax to promote green energy car! 13% tax is not nice.
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Nic Cruz Patane
Nic Cruz Patane@niccruzpatane·
The Model Y RWD/AWD trim is a bargain. Especially in Canada. It’s made in Giga Berlin, and comes with the new CATL LFP pack, QHD 16" display (US-made gets 15.4") and Dark Headliner. With incentives, the RWD trim comes to $45K CDN ($33K USD). The CATL LFP has great charging.
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Lightning
Lightning@Lightning2028·
@DriveTeslaca @elonmusk Why no V2L for Canada? Our Canadian love camping and would like to charge up other tools.
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Lightning
Lightning@Lightning2028·
@niccruzpatane German engineer can't beat the best selling Tesla Model Y!
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Nic Cruz Patane
Nic Cruz Patane@niccruzpatane·
New German EV interior designs
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Chris
Chris@StonkChris·
$NOW setting up like a classic fake breakdown → reclaim → send. If price can reclaim that lost horizontal support, that’s your signal the HTF lows are likely in, and this one probably accelerates higher from there. Earnings next Wednesday (4/22 After-hours) could easily be the catalyst. Fundamentals are just ridiculous: - Massive contracted revenue backlog already locked in - ~98% renewal rates (basically unheard of) - Elite margins - Absolute cash flow machine Still don’t understand how this is trading under $100, but I don’t think it stays here long. Initial target: ~$150 over the coming months Bigger picture: This is likely a much higher name by end of decade
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Linton Worm (🍏,🪱)
Linton Worm (🍏,🪱)@LintonWorm·
S&P 500: WYCKOFF IN PROGRESS We just locked the Secondary Test right at the resistance The distribution structure is forming with surgical precision 1. Buying Climax - Behind us 2. Secondary Test - Confirmed at the highs 3. Current State - Expecting a rejection from ATH The range is being built We are looking for the move toward the Upthrust to trap the final liquidity NOTIFS ON!
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Jeremy Lefebvre
Jeremy Lefebvre@HolySmokas·
My $AMD bull, base, beat case for next few years. Agree or disagree? Banger alert ‼️ of a post
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Crypto Fergani
Crypto Fergani@cryptofergani·
WE SAW THE BIGGEST BULL RUN IN HISTORY AFTER COVID CRASH THE LAST 6 MONTHS WAS WORSE THAN COVID CRASH I HAVE NEVER BEEN SO BULLISH LONG YOUR FUCKING LONGS BIGGEST. BULL. RUN. STARTING. NOW IF YOU STILL HAVEN'T FOLLOWED ME, YOU'LL REGRET IT.
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Alex Mason 👁△
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto·
Everything is going exactly as I told you. $73K has been hit. The relief rally is over. Bitcoin is entering the phase where cycle bottoms form. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Alex Mason 👁△@AlexMasonCrypto

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market. 2022 structure is repeating perfectly: 54% drop from ATH → complete Relief rally → now Final capitulation → next This is where the trap is. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands: Timing. Days from cycle top → final bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at X.” But real bottoms don’t form where it feels obvious. They form where people give up. And before that happens: There has to be pain. - Forced selling (happening). - Liquidations (in progress). - Panic (almost there). - Sentiment collapse (soon). When people stop buying dips… Narratives break… Everyone turns bearish… That’s when bottoms form. We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

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