LocknessProps
1.9K posts

LocknessProps
@LocknessProps
The edge beneath the surface. NBA • NFL • MLB Props We Don’t Believe. We Verify.




FREE PLAYS dropping 🔓🔥 ⚽ Queretaro +1.5 & U3.5 -120 (1.5u) ⚾ Braves/Orioles U8.5 +113 (1.5u) ⚾ Pirates/Cubs O8.5 -120 (1.5u) Full card LIVE on the DubClub +24u this months! 🔒 Free trial 7 days 👇 dubclub.win/utm/cam-pgb8n


⚾️#ATOBTTR vs #STLCards Andrew Abbott O 17.5 Outs (+125) • In his last 5 starts vs teams ranked 25th–30th in AVG vs LHP (Cardinals rank 30th), Abbott has cleared 17.5 outs in 4 of 5 with a 19.8 outs average. • St. Louis has struggled badly against Abbott: 74 AB, 13 H, .176 AVG, .243 OBP, .201 SLG, .444 OPS, with 20 strikeouts and 0 HR. • Busch Stadium projects as a neutral environment, and the 95°F, 5 mph wind out to LF shouldn't materially impact his ability to work deep into the game. ✏️My Model vs Market My model projects 18.9 outs, giving Abbott roughly a 59% chance to record 18+ outs. At +125 (implied probability 44.4%), I see clear value on the over. 📊 @PropsEdge



Shea is out. Revised: Drake Baldwin is in.





Shea is out. Revised: Drake Baldwin is in.


$MLB POTD: 20-10. Let's make it 21-10. 🔥 Gausman Over 2.5 ER 🌟 Boston got blanked yesterday, but I expect them to bounce back today. Gausman may still pile up Ks, but he hasn't looked like himself lately, and I see the Red Sox getting to him for **3+ earned runs.












