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Logan Weaver
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Logan Weaver
@LogWeaver
Modernizing investment management. Founder @surmountinvest, Owner @quantbase_, @forbes Business Council, @WBJonline 25 Under 25
New York, USA Katılım Temmuz 2012
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Logan Weaver retweetledi

China just bought gold for the 16th month in a row.
Most people saw the headline and moved on.
So they missed the actual story...
The People's Bank of China added 1 tonne in February.
Quiet. Methodical. Almost boring.
But zoom out and the picture changes completely.
Two years ago, gold made up 5% of China's foreign exchange reserves.
Today it's 10%.
They doubled their allocation in 24 months.
2,309 tonnes. Worth roughly $360 billion at current prices.
And that's just what they're reporting.
Industry insiders estimate China's true holdings could be 2x to 3x higher than official figures.
The Chinese government has never been known for transparency about its gold.
So why does any of this matter to you?
Because China isn't buying gold because they think it's pretty.
They're buying it because they're preparing for a world where the US dollar matters less.
Here's the timeline that nobody talks about:
2022: The US froze $300 billion in Russian foreign exchange reserves overnight.
One executive order. No warning.
Every central bank on earth watched that happen and started asking the same question:
"If it happened to Russia, can it happen to us?"
The answer, legally, is yes.
And gold is the one asset that can't be frozen by Washington.
You can't sanction a gold bar sitting in a vault in Beijing.
That lesson didn't go unnoticed.
77% of central banks now say they plan to increase gold reserves over the next 12 months.
The highest figure ever recorded.
China is leading the charge, but they're far from alone.
Poland went from 103 tonnes in 2018 to 765 tonnes by 2024.
India, Turkey, Czech Republic, all quietly stacking.
The world is de-dollarizing in slow motion.
And gold is the vehicle.
But here's the part that actually surprised me:
While central banks are accumulating gold with machine-like consistency, retail investors poured $70 billion into gold ETFs since Q2 2025.
Institutions sold $1 billion during the same period.
Read that again.
Retail is buying. Institutions are selling.
That's the same dynamic we saw with software ETFs last week.
And historically, when retail and institutions move in opposite directions on the same asset, one side is right.
It's not usually retail.
Now, gold crossed $5,000 an ounce in January 2026.
Up 64% in 2025 alone. The biggest annual gain since 1979.
J.P. Morgan is forecasting $5,000 by Q4 2026. Deutsche Bank has a $6,000 target.
And gold ETFs just posted their largest annual inflow ever: $89 billion in 2025.
So what does this all actually mean?
It means the narrative around gold has fundamentally changed.
It's not just an inflation hedge anymore.
It's not just a fear trade.
It's becoming a structural reserve asset again, for the first time in decades.
Central banks are buying it because they don't trust the financial system they built.
That's a sentence worth sitting with.
The institutions that created the global dollar-based order are quietly hedging against it.
China isn't doing this randomly.
They're making a calculated, 16-month-long bet that the monetary system is shifting.
And every tonne they add sends the same message:
We don't want to depend on your currency anymore.
Now, does that mean you should dump your portfolio into gold tomorrow?
No.
But it means that ignoring gold entirely, the way most retail investors have for the past decade, is probably the wrong call.
The wealthy don't time gold. They allocate to it systematically.
They treat it as portfolio infrastructure, not a trade.
Not because gold produces cash flow.
But because no government can print more of it.
And that property becomes a lot more valuable when governments are printing money, fighting wars, and freezing foreign reserves.
China has bought gold for 16 consecutive months.
They're not waiting for the perfect entry.
They're building a position.
There's a lesson in that.


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@AccentInvesting Automation and smart strategy basically let you buy that time back.
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@InvestingCanons Exact timing is impossible but a broad strategy keeps you alive.
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@WallStreetMav Wow it’s almost as if logical taxation is more sustainable than cash grabbing citizens whilst simultaneously consistently failing to deliver on literally every single taxpayer-funded project for decades.
Shocking!
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@TheAlphaThought Ownership matters, but what you own and how it compounds really makes the difference over time.
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@PolymarketMoney Big demand locked in, now it’s all about supply keeping up without hiccups
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@ZaStocks Yeah, this is where discipline matters more than conviction sometimes, just staying in the game.
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@InvestingCanons Cutting losers early is underrated, capital preservation often matters more than being right.
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@themotleyfool It's the ultimate double edged sword that destroys systems.
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@NotA_Bull That’s just markets resetting positioning, happens more often than people expect
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@shortsqueeznews When the biggest players start hedging like this, it tells you where they see risk building.
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@TheLongInvest Hard to argue with Dalio here, prices matter more than narratives over time.
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"The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist. They assume that something that was a good investment in the recent past is still a good investment. Typically, high past returns simply imply that an asset has become more expensive and is a poorer, not better, investment."
- Ray Dalio

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@Barchart Long stretches below the average usually mean sentiment is doing most of the work there.
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@Kalshi Even the hot dog isn't safe from these inflation vibes.
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@brewmarkets Just another test for the systems, staying calm and sticking to the plan.
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@Barchart $BABA cloud growth is the real story amidst the noise.
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Alibaba $BABA getting pounded to its lowest price since August 📉📉

GraniteShares ETFs@graniteshares
$BABA earnings miss sends shares lower (rev/EPS light), yet 1-yr chart shows epic rebound from chart bottoms + volume spikes. AI/cloud dip-buyers piling in? 📉🚀 #BABA #Earnings
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@MoneyQuotesX The right circle is the best compounding asset you'll ever own.
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@BrianFeroldi Money is just the fuel, but freedom is the destination.
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@TheLongInvest Recency bias hits hard, especially when price already did most of the work for you.
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