QGS.

55 posts

QGS.

QGS.

@Luckyispih

One's weakest part is that he is reluctant to give up.

Svalbard and Jan Mayen Katılım Aralık 2023
26 Takip Edilen26 Takipçiler
0SG
0SG@Zerosumgame33·
$CLMT Mkt has been super jittery around potentially delayed RVO w/ Iran noise.... Zeldin just put that to rest . 👇 Expecting Final RVO by End of march. If we get 5.4/5.6 for '26/'27 = signal I need to add meaningfully to my already huge position b/c I fully understand the short and medium term impact.
Karen Braun@kannbwx

🇺🇸Reuters reporting just now that EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin says U.S. biofuel blending quota announcement will be made "before the end of the month." This increases the odds that it coincides with the White House's celebration of agriculture event on Friday.

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0SG@Zerosumgame33·
$CLMT the market has absolutely no clue what’s coming down the pike. The backdrop for MRL is unfathomably bullish. February RIN generation data released today reveals how incredibly short RINs are to meet 2026 compliance. Margins will stay in Valhalla. Imports are massively structurally disadvantaged b/c don’t get 45z credits and will now be called upon to meet mandated demand… means an even crazier margin environment for domestic producers. The best part? MRL set up for IPO or Strategic sale while all this happens. 👇
Rinny@RinnyTheGopher

@toiletkingcap Ain’t no way we’ll make enough RINs to meet the 2026 RFS mandate. No how. Look at RINs production data from 2024, and you’ll be scared. Then look how this year’s data is off stupidly slow because the RVO is late. Then you’ll remember: imports are down 90% vs 2024!!!!

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0SG
0SG@Zerosumgame33·
$CLMT Renewable Diesel Index Margin (the industry's crack spread; similar concept to a refiners crack) closed today @ $2.25/gal, vs. $0.62/gal average in 2025, and $1.12/gal in 2024. Furthermore, Gulf coast 2-1-1 fuel cracks closed ~$26/bbl vs. ~$15/bbl average in 2025, and ~$13/bbl in 2024 @ these levels, $CLMT does $500 million of after-tax, after-interest, after-capex FREE CASH FLOW on today's $2.4 billion fully diluted market cap... before the 2nd reactor.
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QGS.
QGS.@Luckyispih·
@aleabitoreddit I will share my live trading alerts (entry and exit points) on WhatsApp. Join for free! ✅ ➡️Copy search input Reply "777" to WhatsApp: +19843827682
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Normally don’t respond to trolls, but the hypocrisy on this platform is pretty impressive. Random X retail: “Why didn’t you tell me about $LITE before it went up 1000% already?” Me: “Posts my thesis about the next possible $LITE at the very beginning, without paywalls.” X retail: 😡, “I’m going to pay $400 for a paywall to long $ADBE and short $PLTR instead”. Especially after my $AXTI thesis that already went from $12->$50 in 3 months... I distribute all my thought processes for free. And markets can price in any alpha immediately or however they want. (I get things wrong as well, especially with names like $ETOR that crashed from $65 to $33). However, instead of the original model where analysts sell a thesis for $2000+ to other hedge funds to slowly accumulate. Then retail buys at $40 billion+ as seen with $LITE. My account’s been growing because I’m one of the few analysts to break that model. And I distribute novel information synthesis for free to everyone. Stocks are a positive sum game where everyone benefits if a thesis is directionally correct.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$SIVE is now up +73.78% today ($231M MC). As markets price in information synthesis of the next potential $LITE of photonics. If I had to explain the difference: One laser source in Lumentum primarily benefits from current optical bottlenecks. The other in $SIVE is for the upcoming CPO/Silicon Photonic bottleneck. Lumentum is largely benefiting right now from $NVDA and hyperscalers securing capacity of EML lasers for current pluggable optical transceivers cycles. As seen with the current EML bottleneck, hyperscalers are buying out any 800G/1.6T transceiver + upstream capacity from: - $AAOI (in-house) - $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers + design) -> $FN (assembly) - $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers) -> Innolight / Eoptolink What's next? Silicon Photonics and Co-Packaged Optics. The architectural shift to CPO requires massive arrays of high-power CW DFB lasers. And this would likely trigger a complete, sudden paradigm shift in volume demand. $SIVE benefits from InP CW DFB lasers for SiPh and CPO: The up and coming companies like: $AYAR, $POET source $SIVE lasers, but primarily do advanced packaging. Then they feed up to larger companies like $MRVL Celestial (that buy $POET's interposers). However, if you go upstream, the light source is $SIVE. CW DFB lasers are light engine ( $SIVE ); the silicon photonics package ( $POET and others) is how it gets transmitted. CPO scale is not there yet. But we know it's coming. And as seen with current optical transceiver cycles: - Light sources from $LITE and $COHR demand much higher valuations than companies like $FN that focus on advanced packaging. Markets have been focusing on $POET, but missed where they get the actual $LITE type light source for Starlight. The risks are present including facing multi-source competition with $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, and others. So again, make sure to do your own research. But my argument against that: Sivers been early enough to tailor custom lasers to fit $POET, Ayar, and other specifications before they got popular (sort like the $POET to $MRVL Celestial analogy). There's volume risks as well: But the potential Win Semi qualification offsets that. Dilution risk to scale capacity, is always present with every early-stage company as well. I did my thesis on $LITE last year and still love the stock for Google TPU ramp/OCS. But this year, I'm focusing on: $SIVE, as my personal CW DFB laser exposure for the new photonics architectural shift. I’m sharing my own thoughts on capturing the rotation from the current EML cycle to the upcoming CW DFB/Silicon Photonics cycle.

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QGS.
QGS.@Luckyispih·
Cozy Sunday = homemade pancakes + board games + messy laughter. Grateful for these quiet, messy, perfect moments with my favorite people.
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Florian Kronawitter(Assistant)
"Midnight cravings We’ve got the warm bowl of ramen, crispy gyoza, and quiet corner you need. Open till 2AM—your late-night comfort is just a step away. "
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QGS.
QGS.@Luckyispih·
Chasing sunsets and stars—nothing beats waking up to pine-scented air, a crackling fire, and no alarm clocks. #CampLife #Wanderlust
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Trading Advisor
Trading Advisor@NayliyeI32268·
3 Quick Tips for Lush Houseplants 1. Water only when top 2cm soil is dry (no overwatering!) 2. Rotate weekly for even sunlight 3. Wipe leaves monthly to boost photosynthesis Tag a plant parent who needs this!
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QGS.
QGS.@Luckyispih·
"Day1 at [漫展名,如Comic Con Shanghai] Cosplayed my favorite character, met amazing fans, grabbed limited merch—living my anime dream! Who else is here #AnimeExpo #CosplayFun #MangaLove"
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Lisa Salazar.eth
Lisa Salazar.eth@LisaSonflk·
Cozy Sunday vibes Morning sunlight, a steaming mug, and my favorite book—perfect lazy day setup. Who’s with me
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