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@mignoletkr 5월14일에 미정부에서 비트코인 본위제 정식 발표 예정이라고하네요..

Bitcoin Price is still moving within the structure, but the patterns are becoming more prolonged, and the way deception is created has grown significantly more complex. As I’ve consistently mentioned, before the ETF approval, one or two shakeouts were usually enough but now, we are seeing these extreme deceptive moves repeat as many as five times. At this stage, Btc market creates a strong sense that a clear trend reversal has occurred, and the actual outcome tends to appear right at the point where even those who correctly analyzed the direction begin to doubt themselves. In this process, those who made the right analysis eventually give up, while those with less conviction enter late due to FOMO. We are currently witnessing this process unfold. I experienced similar extreme patterns last year, so I’m staying prepared for it but without that prior awareness, it would be very difficult to navigate. It really is that challenging. My view remains unchanged.

@mignoletkr 저 미그놀렛님 기본적으로 신뢰해요, 멤버쉽 가입한 적도있고요. 요즘은 미그놀렛님엑스에 자주 들어와서 좋은 정보 잘 보고있습니다. 근데 오늘 글은 무슨 의미인지 좀 어렵고 알수없는 두려움이 밀려오네요;; 좀 더 쉽게 말씀주실수있을까요.

Since when have people been able to say so confidently, “The Fear Index has bottomed this is real fear, so you should buy,” or “SOPR looks like this,” “MVRV looks like that”? If it were truly real fear, they wouldn’t be able to speak that way. Real fear is a state where, even when you see these kinds of signals, your first reaction is doubt. In that environment, you don’t get confident, public calls like “buy the fear.” Real fear means the indicators themselves no longer feel reliable. That’s what fear actually looks like. Back above $100K, many people said, “MVRV hasn’t reached its peak yet, so the next major upside phase is coming soon.” But look at what happened. Did that phase actually arrive? So here’s the question in the opposite direction: If MVRV is moving differently than expected, why do people still assume the “downside pattern” must play out exactly the same as in the past? If the pattern has already broken once, why are we still interpreting the other side of the cycle in the same old way? That’s not very different from saying, “The four-year cycle is broken, so there won’t be a big drawdown anymore.” On X(Twitter), speaking publicly like this is not easy. You get criticism, attacks, and pressure. People speak with that level of confidence because they believe there is a clear answer and that confidence usually comes from patterns that repeated in the past. But again, real fear is the phase where even those patterns and indicators feel questionable. This is not a true fear phase.

@mignoletkr 안녕하세요,미그놀레님.오늘 브리핑으로 업그레이했습니다.텔레방 초대부탁드립니다.

고래의 강한 덤핑으로 가격이 하락하고 있지 않습니다. 1. CPG는 이러한 흔적이 없습니다. 2. 갈색 고래가 정말 탈출하고 있나요? 아니요 이 얘기는 이전에도 했지만, 3월부터 시작되고 있는 큰 횡보 기준으로도 그리고 지금 1달 기준으로 봐도 고래는 우상향하고 있으며, 현재 나타나고 있는 하락은 노란색 박스 수준입니다. 이번 주도 치열한 싸움이 진행될 수 있겠지만, 지금 상황이라면 결국 죽어나가는건 개미들과 기대감으로 가득했던 고배율 롱포지션 자금입니다.