Lynx Vaults

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Lynx Vaults

Lynx Vaults

@LynxVaults

Crypto • Macro • Global Markets Watching capital flows Explaining market moves

Katılım Ekim 2021
2K Takip Edilen2.6K Takipçiler
Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
⚡JUST IN Morgan Stanley is becoming the first major US bank to issue its own Bitcoin ETF. Not distribute someone else’s. Issue their own. They manage $5.5 trillion in client assets and have 15,000 financial advisors. A 1% allocation from their wealth platform alone would nearly double the entire Bitcoin ETF market. This is Wall Street going all in.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@MarioNawfal Trump moved markets $20 on the word "productive." Iran called it a lie. One of them is playing the other, and oil already gave you the answer
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s Iran pause: smoke or real progress? Trump threatened to bomb Iran’s energy plants if the Strait of Hormuz didn’t open. 2 days later he suddenly paused for 5 days and claimed “very good talks” happened. Iran instantly denied it. “No negotiations took place,” they said, accusing Trump of lying to calm the markets. Why this is important: Oil spiked, stocks dipped, markets freaked. On first look, the pause looks more like panic control than real diplomacy. What’s really happening: Indirect feelers via Pakistan and Egypt probably happened. But demands are still miles apart: Iran wants bases gone + reparations; US wants nukes and missiles scrapped. 5 days buys a little breathing room. Zero trust, Israel still striking, neither side blinking. And the poker game continues. Source: TLDR News Global
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 WSJ reporter Alex Ward: “At least 3 congressional Republicans, including chairs of House and Senate Armed Services, are strongly hinting that a ground operation in Iran is planned and could potentially be underway soon.” Source: @alexbward

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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@KobeissiLetter Russia is sending drones to the country absorbing US airstrikes while the US is still trying to reopen Ukraine aid. The timing is not a coincidence
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Russia is close to completing a phased shipment of drones, medicine, and food to Iran, per FT. Details include: 1. Russia and Iran reportedly began secretly discussing delivering drones days after Israel and the US attacked Tehran 2. Russia has been providing Iran with "crucial support" including satellite imagery, targeting data, and intelligence 3. Advanced Russian weaponry could improve the effectiveness of Iranian drone strikes 4. Russia has declined Iranian requests for the S-400, one of Moscow’s most advanced air defense systems Russia's support for Iran remains strong.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
⚡BREAKING Iran rejected Trump's 15-point peace plan. Their counter demand: full sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, war reparations, no limits on their missile program. Everyone was pricing in a deal today. That trade is now dead.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@financialjuice $17 is the floor if the war continues. Europe enters summer with 30% storage and no Qatar. That's not a price forecast, that's a heating bill
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FinancialJuice
FinancialJuice@financialjuice·
Freeport LNG: The prices for June and July LNG cargoes could rise above $17 per mmbtu if war continues and Europe competes for supply.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@MarioNawfal When your own neighborhood votes against you, the polling numbers stop being abstract.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The political ground is shifting under Trump's feet and the war is accelerating it... Democrats just flipped a Trump +11 district that includes Mar-a-Lago. They also flipped a Florida state senate seat the same night. And this isn't just Florida. Across all 2025-2026 special elections nationwide, Democrats are running 12 points ahead of Kamala Harris' 2024 baseline. About a dozen seats have flipped from red to blue so far. Trump's approval is sitting at 36%. Gas is up a dollar. The 82nd Airborne is deploying. Oil swings $20 a day on rumors. Special elections are small samples and sometimes local issues dominate. But if Republicans are losing Trump +11 seats with midterms approaching, the war's economic fallout is clearly weighing on the voters who matter most to the GOP. Trump told NBC he wasn't "concerned at all" about gas prices hurting the midterms. His literal neighbors just sent a different message. Source: VoteHub, NBC, CNN
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇺🇸 Trump's approval rating drops to 36% According to the latest poll, rising fuel prices and growing opposition to the Iran war are weighing heavily on public opinion. Not a good sign as the U.S heads to the midterms in a few months. Source: Reuters

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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@WatcherGuru A $1.5 trillion asset manager just put traditional finance in a crypto wallet. The firms that called this a fad are now building the rails.
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Watcher.Guru
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru·
JUST IN: Franklin Templeton launches tokenized ETFs that trade 24/7 in crypto wallets.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
⚡BREAKING Iran was mining 4 to 8% of all Bitcoin on earth. Using sanctioned energy. Selling it directly to their central bank to pay for imports dollars couldn’t touch. 700,000 rigs are now offline. The war didn’t just hit Iran’s military. It hit their shadow economy.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@AshCrypto Two data points from 2016 and 2020 isn't a pattern. It's a coincidence with a price target attached
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Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto@AshCrypto·
ONLY FEW ARE TALKING ABOUT THIS Every time silver tops, historically it signals a BITCOIN Rally In 2016, when SILVER topped , BITCOIN hits new all time highs of $19,000 the following year. In 2020, when Silver peaked, BITCOIN hits new all time highs of $69,000 the following year. Now, Silver seems to have peaked around $121. Will history repeat again ?
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
🔐 Vault Insight Trends continue until traders become comfortable
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Iran has "tightened control" over the Strait of Hormuz and is now demanding detailed crew, cargo, and voyage information from ships seeking safe passage. Details include: 1. Approvals for ships seeking to pass through the Strait of Hormuz are being handled by the IRGC 2. Tolls to pass through have hit $2 million, mainly for high-value vessels like oil and gas tankers 3. The increase in control signals Iran's "growing grip" on the key trade route 4. Traffic remains limited, mostly involving Iranian or China-linked ships hugging Iran’s coast Asia's energy crisis is intensifying.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@AshCrypto Iran is being asked to hand over everything it spent 40 years building in exchange for sanctions relief and a temporary ceasefire. That's not a peace plan. That's a surrender document with better branding
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Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto@AshCrypto·
BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Pakistan has received and shared Trump's 15-point peace plan with Iran, per Al Jazeera. The full text is confidential but leaks reveal Trump is demanding Iran: - Dismantle nuclear sites at Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan - End all uranium enrichment and hand over stockpiles - Grant full IAEA access - Suspend ballistic missile program - Stop backing Hezbollah and the Houthis - Keep the Strait of Hormuz fully open In return Iran gets nuclear sanctions relief, help with a civilian nuclear program and a proposed short ceasefire.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@financialjuice Three weeks ago 3 economists saw a hike. Now it's 21. Something changed fast and it wasn't the data
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FinancialJuice
FinancialJuice@financialjuice·
Poll: ECB to hold deposit rate at 2.00% through 2026, say 38 of 60 economists (versus 67 of 72 in March 13th poll). ECB to hike deposit rate at least once in 2026, say 21 of 60 economists (versus 3 of 72 in March)
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@shanaka86 The missile missed. The intelligence didn't. One costs billions to build, the other costs $1,000 on Telegram
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
BREAKING: An IRGC ballistic missile from Iran’s 88th wave impacted an open field approximately one kilometre from the Orot Rabin power station in Hadera this morning. Thick smoke rose near the plant. Fire broke out in the area. No damage to the station. No injuries. No power outages. Israeli air defences engaged the incoming warheads as three separate launches were detected within half an hour targeting central Israel, with debris falling in approximately 30 locations across the country. This was not an accident. Two days ago, on March 23, Iran’s military published a target list through the semiofficial Fars news agency declaring that “all power plants, energy infrastructure, and information and communications technology infrastructure” of Israel and the Gulf states would be struck if Trump attacked Iranian power stations. Orot Rabin was on that list. The missile that landed one kilometre from Israel’s largest power plant was executing a publicly stated threat against a publicly named target. Orot Rabin generates 2,590 megawatts and supplies roughly a quarter of Israel’s electricity. The plant was transitioning from coal to gas before the war reprioritised baseload stability. The facility being decommissioned is now the facility that cannot be lost. David’s Sling fired. The system works. But a 95 percent interception rate against 100 missiles means five get through. One aimed at a plant generating a quarter of national electricity changes the war in a single impact. Five days before the Hadera attempt, Israeli authorities indicted Raz Cohen, a 26-year-old reservist, for selling classified Iron Dome information to Iranian intelligence via Telegram. Cohen served in an Iron Dome command and control unit from 2019 to 2022. He passed 27 photographs, videos, and GPS coordinates of Iron Dome positions, air base locations, and lists of officials to Iranian handlers. His payment: approximately $1,000 in cryptocurrency. Twenty-seven classified items. A thousand dollars. The case is isolated. No wider network. A single individual motivated by money, not ideology. Cohen faces wartime enemy assistance charges carrying life imprisonment or death. The system detected and prosecuted him. But he is not the only one. Israeli authorities also charged a 14-year-old boy with spying for Iran in exchange for money, spray-painting messages directed by Iranian handlers. The barrier between Iranian intelligence and Israeli infrastructure is a Telegram chat, a crypto wallet, and a can of spray paint. Hold both facts. This morning, David’s Sling engaged a ballistic missile one kilometre from a quarter of Israel’s power. Five days ago, a man who operated the system defending such facilities was charged with selling its specifications to the country that launched the missile. The physical defence worked. The human defence failed. The missile missed. The secrets did not. Iran is attacking the power plant with ballistic missiles from 1,500 kilometres and simultaneously attacking the defence system with $1,000 crypto payments through Telegram. One flies at Mach 10. The other moves at chat speed. The missile was intercepted. The messages were not, for months. The IRGC does not need to hit Orot Rabin with a warhead. It needs to know where the David’s Sling battery is positioned so the next warhead flies a trajectory the battery cannot cover. The $1,000 was not buying intelligence about the past. It was buying targeting data for the future. The molecules of electricity kept flowing today. One kilometre of open field separated 2,590 megawatts from darkness. The margin between a functioning grid and a national blackout is measured in metres, interceptor accuracy, and the price of a Telegram betrayal. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@KobeissiLetter Every country that said "do not test our resolve" in the last 25 years either got tested or got a deal. Iran is angling for the deal.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
IRAN ON POTENTIAL US GROUND INVASION: "We are closely monitoring all US movements in the region, especially troop deployments. What the generals have broke, the soldiers can't fix; instead, they will fall victim to Netanyahu's delusions. Do not test our resolve to defend our land."
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@KobeissiLetter The country that tested its first nuke because India had one is now mediating a deal about Iran's nuclear program
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Pakistan says it has received President Trump's "15-point peace plan" and shared it with Iran, per Al Jazeera.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
⚡JUST IN BlackRock CEO Larry Fink on BBC today. If the war ends but Iran stays a threat to the Strait of Hormuz, oil doesn't come back down. We're looking at years above $100, possibly $150. He manages $14 trillion. When he says "we will have global recession" he means it.
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Lynx Vaults
Lynx Vaults@LynxVaults·
@MarioNawfal One operator, 100 drones. The bottleneck in warfare just changed
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