
MacroPhilosophy
16 posts

MacroPhilosophy
@macrophilosophy
Wisdom to create wealth with crypto, AI, & stocks. Investor with a PhD, #BTC #crypto #AI
Katılım Aralık 2023
27 Takip Edilen24 Takipçiler

@mikealfred Mark Yusko says we've entered crypto winter. I take him seriously. Could that be right?
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@mikealfred Appreciate your work. Do you have a thesis about quantum computing stocks?
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@hillery_dan What do you think will happen to MSTR when BTC restarts its sustained pump? MSTR selling perhaps because of BTC going sideways?
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I am going to make a post shortly on the ATM usage, which I have observed over the past few weeks.
The hard pill to swallow is this:
The ATM is not making the share price go down.
It's people selling. Some believe that the stock is not valuable and they are taking profits, while others are shorting.
This is the reality, some people will disagree, and that's what makes a market.
I often feel that people use ATM as a sort of comfort mechanism, like if it were to stop being issued, the share price would rip.
If Saylor had not used the ATM this week, I am fairly certain price behavior would have behaved largely in the same manner.
Right now, the market believes that a 2x MNAV is appropriate.
(and yes, I use MNAV as a sudo p/e).
IMO, they are in for a rude awakening, but that's another point.
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@mikealfred Is this BTC pulldown due to global liquidity coming down for 2 months? @RaoulGMI suggests so.
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The best thing about #Bitcoin is that you know when it goes up and down.
You don't get this with other assets, even with Nvidia. Remember Nokia? In 2011, it controlled the whole cellphone sector. It got wiped out in a few years.
BTC is the greatest financial opportunity.
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@BritishHodl @saylor Saylor: "I expect that [we'll] shift more toward fixed income markets in Q1, because right now we're actually getting a little bit too delivered and we'd like to actually get more leverage"
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Michael @saylor has done 4-6 podcasts in the last 2 weeks in which he has repeatedly used specific words that are giving unconscious clues around the strategy for MSTR going forward to acquire more Bitcoin.
You must spend time listening and analysing these podcasts to understand how the MSTR strategy is about to pivot.
The main goal is keeping the stock top of mind, and the strategy has being laid out and it will never stay the same.
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@elonmusk Turns out UFO sightings were a psychop distraction from the bill
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With BTC's multi-trillion market cap, the amount #MSTR buys (a few billion $$) is a drop in the BTC market.
Day traders of BTC are the main drivers of this market.
We'll eventually pass it, but for now I expect another significant pullback once we hit 100k.
What do you think?
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“Psychological level” for 100k isn’t a good way of explaining what happens. It’s too figurative and doesn’t mean much.
What explains that phenomenon is that there are millions of Bitcoin traders/millionaires who will sell when #BTC approaches/hits 100k.
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@MustStopMurad The only memecoins listed on Kraken are PEPE, WIF, BONK, FLOKI, MEW, TURBO, CLOUD, SAMO, DOGE, and SHIB. Which of these meet your criteria of rallying big this bull market?
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@BritishHodl Do you also think that Bitcoin may appreciate more than other top crypto thanks to the ETFs, unlike the previous cycles?
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The biggest thing I’m worried about this #Bitcoin cycle.
Is #Bitcoin-ers who held through the last 1 or 2.
Thinking they “know” how the cycle works and selling into a perceived “high”.
Hoping to buy back when we have a correction before the next cycle.
That are not appreciating the potential cycle changing effects of ETF’s pumping in $250m a day.
Please don’t be arrogant and cost yourself all your hard work.
This is a new world now.
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@mikealfred What miners are good to invest in, in your opinioin? I invested an equal amount in all miners. GREE, NCTY are best winners in 2021, but you never mentioned them. Thanks
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