elto
108 posts
$SOL
Being in sync with the market is an amazing feeling, you’d be surprised how low my screen time actually is.
I posted the $60k BTC target three days before the retest and bought the dip exactly as I said.
Now I’m speculating that SOL can reclaim the range above the 0.786 fib. I added here at $87.
Even though the broadening structure has lost bullish momentum, the breakdown from the $126 range could still get retested. Do we get a reclaim back into the range? If yes, we’re back to neutral.
R:R looks worth it here, at least for me.
A breakdown and S/R flip below the 0.618 fib $69 would invalidate the recovery thesis.
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$SOL aiming to breakout
Revisit the first post and what I told you about being in sync. Three months later, price is pushing for a breakout from the descending broadening wedge. BTC is already at 80k.
Ideally we get a clean S/R flip at $85 before moving higher.
The entry is three months old. The strategy is clear. Patience pays. And in those three months I had to read endless cringe from your favorite guru calling it “the end.” It's his luck that your brain doesn't work and you'll forget next week.
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@SeverinJutte is about to start his Altcoin weekly update for our members.
Which alt coin would you ask him to have a look at?
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$TAO
2y-old channel. It’s not a question of if TAO gets to $600, but when the real trend starts.
Templar (Subnet 3) just finished Covenant-72B, the biggest decentralized LLM pretraining run to date. That won’t beat a top AI lab by itself, but it proves decentralized AI is not a joke.
That is a strong narrative for TAO in the coming months. A good hype could make it happen.
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BTC Macro update
1st post I said macro support $60k. In previous update
"So if $70k falls now, $60k I plan to add." Added✔️
I only have one thick horizontal at $60,200.
Look what happend. Textbook retest. 🎯
What we want to see from here is more consolidation, another clean retest of ascending macro support. Could take a few months.
(What I don't like to see is a confirmed channel breakdown. A severe bearish sign for this industry. Follow the trend)
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BTC Macro
Since I haven’t posted a chart in a while, here’s a vague outlook.
Three rejections in the mid-range
→ dump below the 0.25 trendline
Rising wedge below the trendline
→ textbook rejection and dump
Added a vague projection. Current macro support: $60k. But as you can see (as always), time is working in your favor: the longer it takes, the higher we go. Same goes for the potential bottom. Would love to see $68k (200 EMA, 1W).
After two cycles from support to resistance, this is the first time we’ve seen three mid-range rejections. Therefore, the correction might be shorter this time.
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#Bitcoin and #Altcoins had some significant pullbacks 📉
I am doing a public Youtube update next week to look at some Swing trades on #BTC and #Altcoins
Which ones do you want me to look at?
#CCPool #trading #bearmarket
@ChartChampions @CCPool_Daniel
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@Tradermayne Mery xmas, love you too, be happy, all the best for you and your family!!
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$ETH to $4,000?
I'm looking for longs!
- Like
- Comment: "ETH"
- Follow me (so I can DM you)
And I will send you this trade setup + explanation!
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@Tradermayne So if you believe in cycles like i believe, there will be ''alt season"
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My thesis for remaining bullish going into the end of the year has been built on a few things that I've covered repeatedly over the last 1 month+ on YouTube and here.
Summarizing my thoughts below.
4 year cycle, I've been a staunch 4 year cycle believer, it looks like a 4 year cycle, it acts like a 4 year cycle, chances are it's a 4 year cycle. That means I expect the top to form in Q4 of 2025 or early Q1 2026.
BTC/Gold ratio, Gold generally leads BTC breaks out by 60-90 days, couple with what I shared several weeks ago that the BTC/Gold bottom is in.
BTC hasn't had it's blow off top, seeing tech stocks, Gold, even some crypto companies have parabolic rallies it just doesn't sit right with me that BTC hasn't. I still believe we are due.
Weekly cycle, something I've learned from @BobLoukas, but BTC's next weekly cycle low is due, it's either in already or will be in the next couple days. This coupled with how the chart looks and the points I laid out above lead me to believe that cycle low leads to the push to new ATHs.
I think Trump has a few tricks left up his sleeve to try pump the markets going into 2026. Not to mention the Gov should be reopening soon - 2019 cycle.
There is a chance, of course, that the 4 year cycle is no more. The good news is since I'm still bullish, if I see signs that the market indeed plans to continue higher I can remain bullish. This would likely be characterized by a right translation of the weekly cycle (essentially we make new ATHs in like February after this next ideally parabolic leg to new ATHs).
That being said, if the 4 year cycle remains intact, I expect 2026 to be mostly bearish. I don't think we will necessarily see an +80% drawdown in BTC, but I think we will see significantly lower prices.
I also believe 2026 will be a mostly bullish year for the DXY.
Finally, the bearish scenario would be this rally fails to create a new ATH, or a very weak one. And this whole range has been a very sneaky distribution with the top already being in. I think this is relatively low odds but anything is possible.
I'll likely just repeat all this in tonights YouTube.
TLDR, jobs not finished.
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Reach throttled, follower count on @X looking very bearish, losing around 1k a day.
I’ll pick one random winner by the end of this month if you can guess where it’ll be on 31.10.25 at 23:59 (e.g., “301k”).
Winner gets $5k.
Could it drop below 300k? We’ll see.
Only today’s guesses count.
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