Magnus Taylor retweetledi
Regional dynamics are increasing the stakes for Addis Ababa in the new showdown over Tigray. We explain why tensions are high in Ethiopia. crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/eth…
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Magnus Taylor
3.3K posts
Magnus Taylor
@MagnusGTaylor
Deputy Director, Horn of Africa @CrisisGroup Formerly @RVInews
Katılım Temmuz 2012
1.9K Takip Edilen3K Takipçiler
Magnus Taylor retweetledi
NEW Q&A | Power Struggle in Ethiopia’s Tigray: Averting a Return to War
The dramatic struggle for control of Ethiopia’s Tigray region has taken a sharp and dangerous turn, threatening to reignite a devastating conflict. We explain what is at stake.
crisisgroup.org/qna/africa/eth…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
🚨In a nutshell: war would devastate a region where past conflicts have cost hundreds of thousands of lives. It would overlap with Sudan's war, pull in powerful states from outside the Horn of Africa & further roil the volatile Red Sea region.
crisisgroup.org/brf/africa/eth… @crisisgroup
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New Crisis Group publication out today on the intensifying risk of war between Ethiopia and Eritrea, also involving Ethiopia's Tigray region.
crisisgroup.org/brf/africa/eth…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
The violent flare up in Tigray shows just how quickly the deteriorating situation in northern #Ethiopia could spiral, some three years after the peace deal.
crisisgroup.org/anb/africa/eth…
@MagnusGTaylor
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
My latest analysis for @CrisisGroup details why the trial of Riek Machar, combined with chaotic succession struggles within the presidency, is one of the greatest threats to the country’s stability since the end of its civil war in 2018. crisisgroup.org/africa/south-s… via @crisisgroup
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
1/5 A pivotal week in Africa.
🧵 on Sudan, South Sudan, Cameroon and Somalia.
🇸🇩 As brutal violence engulfs El Fasher, @wmshewit is tracking the catastrophe and its stakes for Sudan’s future.
crisisgroup.org/africa/sudan/e…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
Here is a key graf in @CrisisGroup's latest #SouthSudan briefing on how Kiir has built the country's political system around his rule and strengths -- and why any successor will struggle to hold it together.
Alan Boswell@alanboswell
Here, @CrisisGroup peers deep into a teetering #SouthSudan, where a tug of war over Kiir's succession, spiking violence, the raging war in #Sudan, and the dismantling of the 2018 peace deal all pose interlocking existential risks to the young country. crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
‘Denouncing police brutality, restraining security forces from abusive conduct, and holding abusers accountable would be a good start.’ My colleague @Meron_El on the Kenya protests. crisisgroup.org/africa/east-an…
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Security Council misses funding deadline for AU Mission in Somalia crisisgroup.org/africa/african… via @crisisgroup
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Drone attacks on Port Sudan mark dramatic escalation crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af… via @crisisgroup
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
If the UN Security Council weakens or altogether strips climate references from the UN peacekeeping mission in #SouthSudan’s mandate, backsliding will become more likely elsewhere. I discuss what's at stake in tomorrow’s vote on UNMISS’s future. 🧵1/9
crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
Despite tamped-down expectations, Tuesday’s Sudan conference in London was a jarring reality check says @alanboswell.
In today’s fragmenting world, it is unclear which country or institution could bridge the external divides now tearing Sudan apart.
crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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Part of a new format for @CrisisGroup -- The Analyst's Notebook -- a quick take on the battle for Darfur and the war ahead
crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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Despite the army's recapture of Khartoum, Sudan's war is far from over, and there is a risk that it may widen further. New statement from @CrisisGroup
Crisis Group@CrisisGroup
Many hoped that Sudan’s war would start winding down after the Sudanese army recaptured Khartoum. Instead, the conflict is escalating and likely to expand. crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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@RoryStewartUK Hi Rory. Are you following the build-up towards a possible war between Ethiopia and Eritrea? New Crisis Group Alert on the subject: crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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@RestIsPolitics Hi Rory & Alastair, what do you think about the prospect of a war between Ethiopia and Eritrea over sea access? If it happens, what would it tell us about the erosion of the global rules based order? For background: crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
NEW ALERT | Ethiopia and Eritrea Slide Closer to War amid Tigray Upheaval
Amid upheaval in Tigray and Ethiopia’s quest for sea access, Crisis Group fears Ethiopia and Eritrea are slipping toward a devastating new war. Our alert calls for urgent de-escalation efforts and the opening of backchannels.
crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…
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Magnus Taylor retweetledi
.@wmshewit @CrisisGroup on Sudan’s uncertain future:
➡️Army’s Khartoum retake won’t end war
➡️Push to RSF’s Darfur turf risks more protracted stalemate
➡️ Other possibility: country irrevocably divided, each side entrenching itself in zones of influence.
thecontinent.org/_files/ugd/287…
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