Mark
769 posts


@Wilfred_microfx Yes sir, we were robbed of the parabolic stage of the last 4 year cycle. I want to buy more BTC on the cheap, before X becomes an exchange, before clarity signed, etc.
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@LarkDavis Don't listen to people who challenge Satoshi's 4 year cycle. I called the top, based on historical data, to be around Sept 20th. And, it was when, 20 days later? Everyone said that can't be the top. Trump ruined this cycle, and Satoshi's 4 year cycles continues.
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@cryptorover Welcome to trickle down economics. Will the businesses pass the refund, and savings on to consumers? Can they resist greed, and human nature?
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WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT THIS?
$60K was probably the $BTC bottom, and that too based on the 4-year cycle.
Each cycle, BTC has made a new ATH.
And the bottom happened exactly 23 months after making a new ATH.
In Jan 2017, Bitcoin made a new ATH.
The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in December 2018.
In December 2020, Bitcoin made a new ATH.
The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in November 2022.
This cycle, Bitcoin made a new ATH in March 2024.
If it goes by history, the bottom has already happened in Feb 2026 (23 months).
And there are other things too supporting this.
During the Feb 2026 dump:
- Weekly RSI hit a 4-year low
- The sentiment index went to its lowest ever
- Retest of the 2021 cycle ATH
All these things combined have previously marked the bottom for Bitcoin, and maybe "THIS TIME IT'S NOT DIFFERENT."
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@AshCrypto Yes, but everyone said the last bill run might be different and it wouldn't top at the traditional Satoshi schedule time of late Sept/early Oct. So, I listened and missed the top. I'm not doubting Satoshi ever again. I think bear market until Sept. What about you @AshCrypto ?
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THIS IS ABSOLUTELY UNBELIEVABLE
Over the past 13 years, Bitcoin has followed a consistent timing pattern in both bear and bull markets.
Bear markets last around 406 days
Bull markets last around 1,064 days
The current downtrend has lasted about 210 days so far, roughly halfway through the usual cycle.
This time might be different from what majority expects.

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@cryptorover Sorry @cryptorover , this is unlikely any time soon...
No, the Senate is not expected to pass (or "sign") the CLARITY Act soon as of April 20, 2026. The bill remains stalled at an early stage in the Senate, with significant uncertainty around the next steps.
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@cryptorover So, what does this tell us? Someone is sabotaging our financial success to only benefit himself. Who might this bully be, huh?
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@AshCrypto Oh, you finally noticed. Where the f$ck were you during the election. I called the his 8 years ago.
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@cryptorover So Trump, are we winning yet? If this is winning to you, yes, we are tired of it 😂
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🚨 THE FED IS NOW IN THE WORST POSSIBLE SITUATION
And now there's no going back.
Just now, US CPI data was released, and it was really bad.
US CPI spiked to 3.3%, its highest level since May 2024.
Core CPI also came in at 2.6%, its highest level in 2026.
This is the first major inflation print, and it's already showing that things are getting out of control.
The market is already expecting no rate cuts in 2026, and with today's print, the odds are even less now.
But here's one problem.
Inflation isn't the only concern now for the Fed.
US GDP growth is really bad, and people are losing jobs.
The private credit market is breaking while the housing market looks really weak.
This means the Fed hasn't been able to control either of its mandates.
The Fed's goal is 2% CPI and 4% unemployment, and right now, both things are going up.
If the Fed tries to save one thing, the other will break.
Also, the energy crisis hasn't shown its full impact yet.
With the Strait of Hormuz still closed, this is only going to get worse.
And unlike 2020 or 2023, the Fed will do nothing and just watch the economy head into its worst crisis in decades.


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