mars

can we go there $INTC ? tables from @BullflowIO

I'm staring at $INTC trading at $122 and honestly can't wrap my head around this valuation. The stock just hit a $614B market cap while burning through $8.3B in free cash flow and posting negative margins (per Yahoo Finance). What really caught my eye is the disconnect with peers. AMD is trading at 38x forward earnings with 37% revenue growth, while Intel sits at 79x forward P/E with just 7% growth (per Yahoo Finance). Meanwhile TSM is crushing it with 46% margins compared to Intel's -6%, yet Intel's market cap is catching up fast. But here's what's wild, the $43 billion government windfall news has everyone acting like Intel already turned the corner. Sure, the Apple deal momentum is real, but I'm looking at analyst targets ranging from $20 to $150 which tells me nobody has a clue what this thing is worth. The options activity is nuts too. Call IV at 209% vs put IV at 154%, and $125 calls are the most active (per Yahoo Finance). feels like everyone's betting on more upside when the fundamentals are screaming caution 🤔

I look at $MSFT and it’s down every single dat. Is this a glitch on my $HOOD app? Can dev do something?

$MU 1050C exp 5/29 Volume: 8,000 vs OI: 922 (8.7x) Premium: ~$2.4M Someone just lit $2.4M on fire betting Micron rips 19% in two days. This is pure degeneracy disguised as conviction, either insider info or the most expensive lottery ticket ever bought.

$MU 880P exp 5/29 Volume: 4,268 vs OI: 90 (47.4x) Premium: ~$15.0M Someone just collected $15M selling puts 2 days before earnings on a stock trading barely above the strike. This is either the ballsiest bullish bet on MU earnings or someone with inside conviction that the floor is locked in at current lev

$MU 795C exp 5/15 Volume: 10,836 vs OI: 978 (11.1x) Premium: ~$11.4M Someone just lit $11.4M on fire buying zero DTE calls with 113% IV, betting MU rockets 1.6% higher before close. This is pure YOLO gamma chasing with expiration today, either they know something massive is dropping or they're about to get I

$PDD 105C exp 5/29 Volume: 28,567 vs OI: 1,338 (21.4x) Premium: ~$3.2M Someone just collected over $3M in premium selling lottery tickets to degenerates betting PDD can rip 8% in 48 hours. That 21x volume to OI ratio screams fresh short positioning from someone who knows earnings season creates more losers tha

names on my radar from today's session $ASTS +19.2% riding the SpaceX IPO hype wave along with other space stocks MU +17.2% getting love as DRAM demand picks up and semis stay hot FUTU +16.9% wait this doesn't make sense, seeing conflicting signals on china crackdown news UMC +14.4% announcing their new 14nm tech platform, semis having a moment PL +14.3% another space play catching the spacex momentum the FUTU move is confusing me with the china penalty news. which one are you watching?

$COHR is trading right at analyst consensus of $381 (per Yahoo Finance) but I'm not sure what to make of that forward P/E compression from 180x to 47x. That's wild. What caught my eye is this NVIDIA partnership for AI optics that everyone's talking about. Meanwhile AAOI just ripped 635% in 6 months on similar AI connectivity themes, and here's COHR sitting on a 42% quarterly move but still way more reasonable valuation wise. The timing feels interesting though. Big institutions like BlackRock and Vanguard own 89% of the float (per Yahoo Finance), but insiders just dumped $1.5M worth at these levels. Revenue growth of 20% is solid for a components play, but that negative free cash flow of -$198M makes me think twice. Sector's been on fire with XLK up 15% this month, so COHR might just be riding the AI wave. But trading at book value of 7x for a hardware company? gotta look into this more 👀

$SOFI 16.5C exp 6/18 Volume: 9,326 vs OI: 1,556 (6.0x) Premium: ~$518K Someone just dropped half a mil on SOFI calls with 6x fresh volume over existing interest, betting this fintech rocket breaks through resistance in the next 3 weeks. The 52% IV screams they're paying up big for a binary catalyst play.

$MSTR 162.5C exp 5/29 Volume: 1,413 vs OI: 170 (8.3x) Premium: ~$548K Someone just dropped half a million on a coin flip that MSTR rips 2.4% in THREE DAYS. This is pure hopium on steroids, betting Saylor announces something massive before Friday expiry or they're eating a total loss.

$MSTR 172.5C exp 5/29 Volume: 5,797 vs OI: 725 (8.0x) Premium: ~$2.4M Someone just collected nearly $2.4M in premium selling calls 8 days out with Bitcoin ripping. This screams institutional conviction that MSTR's parabolic run hits a wall before Friday, banking on time decay to crush the call buyers chasing

$MSTR 185C exp 5/22 Volume: 11,906 vs OI: 2,219 (5.4x) Premium: ~$4.1M Someone just dumped massive premium selling calls 6 days out, betting MSTR stays under $185 despite being only 4.5% away. This is either a theta gang degenerate collecting IV crush or someone knows something about Bitcoin's weekend plans.

I've been comparing $HLIT to other video infrastructure plays and this revenue acceleration is crazy compared to peers. 43% growth while most are stuck in single digits (per Yahoo Finance). What really caught my eye is the forward P/E dropped to 19.55 from a trailing 190. That's telling me the street thinks this Q1 beat wasn't a fluke and earnings are about to normalize way higher. The broadband segment momentum from their earnings call makes sense when you think about all the fiber buildouts happening. But here's what's wild - BlackRock owns 19M shares while insiders only hold 2% (per institutional filings). Usually see more insider conviction when a company's firing on all cylinders like this. A director just sold 4,300 shares too, though that's pretty small. Stock hit new 52-week highs today and RSI is at 81, so definitely getting extended. The options flow is screaming bullish though - 98% calls vs puts with insane IV on the $15 strikes 👀

$AMD 520C exp 5/29 Volume: 3,895 vs OI: 660 (5.9x) Premium: ~$1.1M Someone just dropped over $1M on a pure lottery ticket with 3 days left, betting AMD rips 12% into Friday's close. This is either the most expensive prayer in the market or someone knows something about earnings whispers that we don't.

$AMD 452.5C exp 5/29 Volume: 2,155 vs OI: 339 (6.4x) Premium: ~$3.4M Someone just dropped $3.4M on weekly AMD calls barely OTM with 63% IV, betting the AI darling rips 4% higher by Friday. This is pure conviction meets desperation, paying insane theta burn for a binary earnings-sized move in a stock that's a

$AMD 437.5C exp 5/22 Volume: 4,808 vs OI: 217 (22.2x) Premium: ~$7.8M Someone just dropped $8M on barely OTM calls with 6 days left, paying 70% IV for what's essentially a coin flip on earnings. This screams insider conviction or the most expensive lottery ticket in semiconductor history.

$PLTR 139C exp 5/29 Volume: 5,908 vs OI: 1,123 (5.3x) Premium: ~$1.2M Someone just dropped $1.2M on a pure binary bet that PLTR breaks through resistance in the next 3 days. With 5x normal volume and 40 delta, this isn't hedging or gamma scalping, this is a balls-to-the-wall directional play banking on immedi

$TSM 412.5C exp 5/29 Volume: 2,509 vs OI: 454 (5.5x) Premium: ~$1.3M Someone just collected $1.3M in premium selling calls with 3 days left, betting TSM can't break above a measly 2.2% move. This screams gamma farm against retail FOMO chasing semiconductor momentum into expiry.

$COIN 195C exp 5/29 Volume: 8,127 vs OI: 1,511 (5.4x) Premium: ~$2.0M Someone just dropped $2M on a 3-day lottery ticket betting COIN rips 6% by Friday expiry. This is pure degenerate speculation on some catalyst they think is coming, not a hedge.

$META 615C exp 5/26 Volume: 7,528 vs OI: 404 (18.6x) Premium: ~$2.1M Someone just collected over $2M selling same-day lottery tickets to degenerates betting Meta breaks out 1.3% by close. This is pure theta extraction at its finest, banking that time decay obliterates these calls faster than retail can say "

$META 610C exp 5/22 Volume: 17,987 vs OI: 1,943 (9.3x) Premium: ~$5.5M Someone just threw $5.5M at 0DTE calls barely out of the money on expiration day. This is either the most expensive lottery ticket ever or someone knows something about Meta's close today that the rest of us don't.

$META 625C exp 5/15 Volume: 26,358 vs OI: 4,557 (5.8x) Premium: ~$6.1M Someone just dropped $6M on zero-DTE calls barely out of the money, gambling that META rips 1% higher before close. This is pure gamma degeneracy with 26k contracts against tiny open interest, betting the entire position on a few hours of p

$NVDA 217.5C exp 5/29 Volume: 24,781 vs OI: 2,616 (9.5x) Premium: ~$8.1M Someone just dropped $8M on a 3-day lottery ticket betting NVDA rips through $217.50 by Friday. The 9.5x vol to OI ratio screams fresh conviction, not some rolled position, and they're paying 35% IV for the privilege of this earnings week g

$NVDA 215P exp 5/26 Volume: 42,177 vs OI: 4,059 (10.4x) Premium: ~$8.9M Someone just collected $9M selling ATM puts expiring in 3 days, banking on NVDA staying above this exact level through Friday. This is pure premium harvesting on maximum time decay with coin flip odds.

$NVDA 230P exp 5/15 Volume: 84,709 vs OI: 2,079 (40.7x) Premium: ~$8.7M Someone just collected $8.7M selling puts on expiration day with NVDA barely above the strike. This is either the most confident bull trade of the year or someone with insider knowledge that earnings whispers are about to send this stock to

I'm comparing $OUST to other lidar players and this thing is straight up flying while everyone else is stuck in the mud. Up 99% in 3 months while most lidar stocks are still bleeding out from the autonomous vehicle hype crash. What caught my eye is the revenue growth at 49% (per Yahoo Finance) when the sector has been brutal. And they just partnered with Fujifilm on native color lidar tech, which actually sounds like differentiation instead of the usual "we're cheaper than everyone else" pitch most lidar companies make. But here's what's wild, insiders sold $6M worth recently while also buying $42k (per Yahoo Finance). That selling at $31-36 right as it hit new 52-week highs makes sense, but the small insider purchase around $25 shows some conviction. BlackRock holding 5.3M shares doesn't hurt either (per Yahoo Finance). The options flow is interesting too. Call volume crushing puts and that $40 strike getting heavy action with the stock at $37. Target consensus at $40 means we're basically there, but the high target is $50 👀

I'm still processing IBM's wild run this week. Up 14% and just had its best week in 24 years (per Barrons) after announcing that $2 billion quantum chip foundry partnership. But here's what's got me thinking about the bigger picture. The quantum narrative is suddenly everywhere. Trump's throwing around $2 billion equity stakes, $RGTI just soared 20% on $100M govt funding, and now IBM's positioning itself as the foundry play in this space. What caught my eye is how this fits into the broader AI infrastructure buildout we've been watching. Meanwhile XLK is up 16% this month (per sector data) and institutions like BlackRock with 77.5M shares aren't exactly running for the exits. Trading at 22.5x earnings (per Yahoo Finance) for a company growing revenue 10% with quantum upside? Not sure the market's pricing in how big this quantum computing wave could get, especially with government backing now. The technical setup looks clean too, RSI at 67 but not overbought territory yet. Still 18% below those October highs around $310 👀

@SubtleInduction @spluscollective

@mars_labs @spluscollective anchored volume-weighted avg price

$RDDT will be killed right after $META's Threads kill TikTok. This is a serious catalyst, remember how $MSFT's Zune killed iPod? Similar vibes. All they did is giving us an IPO Avwap entry.