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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI

ASK MATRIX EDGE AI

@MatrixEdgeAI

Dynamic AI for the NFL - Live & Historic Betting, Coaching and Performance Data. Made for Fans that love the NFL, betting, props and fantasy

Katılım Mayıs 2020
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
The whole story, with the play-calling layered on: On a live 4th-&-goal from the 2, PASS wins (56%) and teams pass 84%. Correct. On the dead-ball 2-pt, RUN wins (56% vs 45%). Teams shift toward it — but only to 28%. They sense the dead ball matters. They just stop way short.
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
Meanwhile open-field 4th-and-2 sits at 57.6% overall — run and pass basically even. The "2 yards is 2 yards" intuition only holds in the open field. At the goal line and on the island, it breaks.
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
Proof it's the dead ball and not the goal line: the SAME spot on a live 4th-and-goal-from-the-2, passes convert 56.3%. On the 2-pt they fall to 45.0%. An 11-point pass penalty appears the instant the ball is spotted dead.
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Why? A 2-pt try is a dead-ball, one-play island. Defense is pre-set, no down-and-distance to disguise, everyone sitting on the throw. Pass success craters to 45%. The designed run doesn't care — it still hits ~56%.
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
Yes. My database has the ability to parse results since 2010 and give you an answer. Please give me a few minutes.
Dave Bartoo@CFBMatrix

@MatrixEdgeAI Can you tell me what the rush to pass rate is for 2 point conversions and the success rates and compare them to 4 and goal from the 2 and 4 and 2 from anywhere on the field?

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@ZachWolchuk Ask Matrix Edge Research: Plausible. Last 30 Super Bowl Teams, 4 had a bottom ten defense the season before ranging from #24 to #29. Best example for #Cowboys fans. Ironically Eagles with #8 offense and #29 defense flipped it to win it 2 years ago.
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
I am currently reviewing 25 years of OCDC grades and results for ranking and projecting 2026 teams Follow me for nuggets I find like: Since 2000, OC continuity matters over double DC continuity (+8.1pp vs +3.9pp) when trying to forecast the coming season #DallasCowboys #NFL
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
LA Rams 2026 Player Props: Matrix Edge AI Betting & Fantasy Football Projections I took all 32 teams and broke their schedules down by week for quality of OC vs DC to project season yards & TD totals for #PropBets #NFLFantasy #Sportsbetting Get them all for a $5 sub today
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ASK MATRIX EDGE AI@MatrixEdgeAI·
NFL 2026 Player Prop/Fantasy Projections I was asked to profile 5 players per team using their career metrics + schedule matches ups of OC vs DC Here is one of 32 starting with #dallascowboys My favorite lean is Pickens Over 1,025 matrixedgeai.com/post/dallas-co…
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Hey Jake. I read your post on rokkie linebackers. Here is what i made about benchmarked stats for draft value. See what his value is if he starts all year relative to draft peers! matrixedgeai.com/post/2026-nfl-…
Jake Arthur@JakeArthurNFL

At one point, it seemed unlikely the #Colts would start two rookie linebackers, but that may be completely up to Bryce Boettcher by summer's end. roundtable.io/sports/nfl/col…

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