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@MattFinger9

We will win $bitcoin

Katılım Nisan 2022
1.7K Takip Edilen625 Takipçiler
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
People wonder why I'm focusing on non-US markets recently. Why? CPO is my #1 thematic long. Markets don't know yet, the sudden paradigm shift in photonics... I was one of the only to frontrun the current supercycle in 2025 w/ $AAOI @ ~$30, $LITE ~$300s, and $AXTI at ~$13 on X.... With the actual receipts and thesis that others can't show. CPO goes from ~$0. To $91 Billion TAM opportunity. In the next 1 1/2 years from GS research. While overall optical market reaches $154B. Many players that had little exposure to the current photonics cycle at all: -> In Europe with high-end lasers design like $SIVE or $SOI with substrates. -> In Taiwan with Foci (3363), Nextronics (8147), Shunsin (6451) and others for optical components and foundries. -> In Japan with laser mass production, substrates, and chemicals. Are suddenly the new dominant players for CPO. As for US players, there's not much exposure. But the existing ones like $LITE, $COHR still get upside from CPO as that's their new growth vector. My contrarian thought process on current players: Is that most of their valuation is priced in huge legacy pluggable revenue that will inevitably face cannibalization over time, so re-rating potential is less unless someone uses leverage. A lot of these new purer play CPO names go from 0 to 100 extremely quickly one mass production starts H2 2026 for scale out (as a revenue bridge) into H2 2027 for scale up (massive growth driver). Markets usually price things in 8-12 months ahead of time too... I have high conviction thematically in my supply chain research despite any market volatility leading up until then.
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RamenPanda
RamenPanda@IamRamenPanda·
美股是买不到sive正股的 sive是一家瑞典公司,在瑞典上市。但是CPO里都核心黑马 现在知道一个能交易全球市场的券商有多重要了吧!
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$SIVE 2025 annual report analysis. TLDR: Extremely Bullish. Sivers main growth vector is CPO, but they've TAM expansioned to pluggable transcivers + multiple new qualifications/development. 1. "We are currently seeing great interest... testing our DFB lasers across multiple manufacturers in pluggable transceivers" For pluggable angle, we've seen this with $JBL 1.6T LRO already, but annual report hinted they're developing/qualifying with more hyperscaler suppliers. "Our serviceable markets have now been expanded to include pluggable optical interconnects as well as scale-up and scale-out architectures for co-packaged" (TAM expansion) 2. "Discussions with hyperscalers and pluggable transceiver suppliers indicate a shortage of CW lasers in the coming years" $LITE already signaled CW laser bottlenecks, and they had to buy externally from competitors. So we kinda guessed CW Laser was a bottleneck. And this confirmed it, so was wondering about Win semi. "The partnership announced with high-volume supplier Win Semiconductor in March 2025 now gives us a strong position to meet growing demand" $SIVE likely has capacity locked in with Win from this nuance, which is exactly what I wanted to know. This positions Sivers in the CW laser as both a bottleneck and CPO laser architectural leader. VOLUME PRODUCTION H2 INDICATIONS (BULLISH): 3. "The collaboration positions both companies to address the rapidly growing market for optical AI connectivity, with prototypes to be demonstrated to customers during the first half of 2026 and with the goal of scaling up production by the end of 2026" H1 is more preproduction, H2 production signaled starting with names like $POET. 4. "We are pleased that our largest LIDAR customer will increase production starting in the fourth quarter of 2026" $AEVA start of volume production Q4 with $SIVE = bullish for both. Revenue floor from LIDAR as their CPO scales. 5. Sivers announced a partnership with LIGHTIUM AG to integrate their CW lasers directly onto TFLN wafers. 3.2T+ cycle. (future proofing) FYI no decent investor cares about last year's 2025 financials from development contracts aside from Swedish Media/Locals. Especially when you're forward looking for the 2027-2028 CPO supercycle. But the hint from you can take away from financials + geography that is $NOK is now the high confidence customer of $SIVE. TLDR: -> Win Semi implied capacity lock in during CW laser bottleneck -> Hints of new group of hyperscaler suppliers testing/qualification for pluggable transcivers, which is massive TAM expansion. -> New customers for CW lasers -> Volume production scaling starting H2 for both photonics and lidar.

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有财
有财@MattFinger9·
@0xAA_Science a总 dram 海力士2x做多 mu tsla 这些够了
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0xAA
0xAA@0xAA_Science·
川沐转美股之后的确屌,我也要试水美股了,看看能不能盖帽! 冷知识,我十年前在富途工作过一年,就是做港股和美股的量化分析的。
川沐|Trumoo🐮@xiaomustock

目前能买到包含海力士和三星股票的etf有 1.a股的中韩半导体etf 2.美股的FLXK 3.港股的俩倍做多海力士/三星. 不推荐的是第三个,前俩个有正股不怕横盘磨损.当然也可以都买,成年人不做选择.

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社会主义接班人
社会主义接班人@VIP8888883·
如果你在 2012 发现了 Bitcoin,你现在是千万富翁。 如果你在 2018 发现了 Tesla,你现在是千万富翁。 如果你在 2022 发现了 Nvidia,你现在是千万富翁。 如果你在 2023 发现了 Palantir,你现在是千万富翁。 如果你在 2025 发现了 Sandisk,你现在是千万富翁。 如果你现在发现了 ________,未来会发生什么? 真正改变人生的机会,往往一开始看起来都“不确定”。 #Bitcoin #Tesla #NVDA #PLTR #Investing
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IGGY AZALEA
IGGY AZALEA@IGGYAZALEA·
In my fitness era 😇
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soothsayer
soothsayer@iamasoothsayer·
2023: Corona ended 2026: Hantavirus
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园长|YuanMan
园长|YuanMan@sanyuanVC·
能不能把 17 年的 BTC 找到就看今天了
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ming_lau
ming_lau@minglaugodel·
有一个币我观察了很久,这两天才开始买,然后发现就开始有点动静了,今天涨了20% 如果维持在目前的价格,我准备每天买个500-1000u,坚持半个月再看
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何币
何币@hebi555·
哎 买美股半年时间 这行情美股炒成我这样也是需要一些水平
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lana
lana@lanaaielsa·
ethereum:0xf280b16ef293d8e534e370794ef26bf312694126 最大的优势是叙事足够简单,就像当年 $shib 一样 今天 @elonmusk 说出他的目标就是资产达到10T,这是什么概念?
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逍遥XTony
逍遥XTony@xtony1314·
比特币跌到 5W 之日,会在这条评论区抽三位男粉,一人给一次,全国可✈️。🥰🥰🥰
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超级飞行员
超级飞行员@woaitaoershi·
兄弟们,今天才知道我家里的叔叔破产了,他把所有钱都梭哈投了一个据说是ai挖矿的什么慈善币 刚才和我妈妈聊天才知道,他已经和我婶婶离婚了,现在家里负债50多w,骗他钱的上级已经被抓了,但是他的钱不知道要不要的回来,我了解了一下,亏的钱全换成了Dai,大家说这该咋办…… 这种钱能追回来吗?
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CryptoD | 1000X GEM
CryptoD | 1000X GEM@CryptoDevinL·
我在去年 12/25 在群裡曾說過 SpaceX IPO,Doge 準備大噴,meme 回歸。 如今過了四個半月回頭看 $Doge 確實開始出現築底跡象, 這幾天 $ASTEROID 的表現也相當亮眼, 而 X 的時間線更新,meme 現在有了自己的一席之地。 只要大環境沒有進一步轉壞, 那麼這一波,或許可以期待。 當然,當前整體流動性仍未恢復到過去的水平, Always DYOR.
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PULLUP
PULLUP@pullupso·
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