有财
1.3K posts


People wonder why I'm focusing on non-US markets recently.
Why? CPO is my #1 thematic long.
Markets don't know yet, the sudden paradigm shift in photonics...
I was one of the only to frontrun the current supercycle in 2025 w/ $AAOI @ ~$30, $LITE ~$300s, and $AXTI at ~$13 on X....
With the actual receipts and thesis that others can't show.
CPO goes from ~$0. To $91 Billion TAM opportunity.
In the next 1 1/2 years from GS research.
While overall optical market reaches $154B.
Many players that had little exposure to the current photonics cycle at all:
-> In Europe with high-end lasers design like $SIVE or $SOI with substrates.
-> In Taiwan with Foci (3363), Nextronics (8147), Shunsin (6451) and others for optical components and foundries.
-> In Japan with laser mass production, substrates, and chemicals.
Are suddenly the new dominant players for CPO.
As for US players, there's not much exposure. But the existing ones like $LITE, $COHR still get upside from CPO as that's their new growth vector.
My contrarian thought process on current players:
Is that most of their valuation is priced in huge legacy pluggable revenue that will inevitably face cannibalization over time, so re-rating potential is less unless someone uses leverage.
A lot of these new purer play CPO names go from 0 to 100 extremely quickly one mass production starts H2 2026 for scale out (as a revenue bridge) into H2 2027 for scale up (massive growth driver).
Markets usually price things in 8-12 months ahead of time too...
I have high conviction thematically in my supply chain research despite any market volatility leading up until then.


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川沐转美股之后的确屌,我也要试水美股了,看看能不能盖帽!
冷知识,我十年前在富途工作过一年,就是做港股和美股的量化分析的。
川沐|Trumoo🐮@xiaomustock
目前能买到包含海力士和三星股票的etf有 1.a股的中韩半导体etf 2.美股的FLXK 3.港股的俩倍做多海力士/三星. 不推荐的是第三个,前俩个有正股不怕横盘磨损.当然也可以都买,成年人不做选择.
中文

买了7798U的 ASTEROID,
这一次还能赢吗🫨
压上我,
今年学英语的预算了。
菲律宾3个月的学费4500U
吉隆坡4个月的房租1200U
还有3个月的饭钱2098U
🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨

Ru7.ai@Ru7Longcrypto
太空狗不愧是要上天的 ethereum:0xf280b16ef293d8e534e370794ef26bf312694126 🚀
中文

$PEACE 我抄到了妙瓦底 我日
我从赚钱到亏钱就在一晚上
懵逼了 我草 追涨杀跌才是王道

Arya@羊姐社区🦅@Arya_web3
$peace 我抄底了 这算是第一次回调 从10m 跌到3m 看了下链上地址 不是庄地址出货 是早期获利盘出货 3m区间的时候 看到庄直接拉上来了 有mm的项目 比较安心
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