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No harm in gathering more data
What time of day do you prefer for the men’s AFL Grand Final?
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Tony Corke
85.9K posts
Tony Corke
@MatterOfStats
#rstats, maths, science, quirky stuff, and Aussie Rules football. @[email protected] on mastodon @matterofstats.bsky.social on Bluesky
Australia Katılım Şubat 2010
490 Takip Edilen4.9K Takipçiler
So far, it looks as though it's significantly easier to predict which games of men's AFL will be boring than those which will be exciting
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@MatterOfStats @SgtButane @anniedundun My model with the "freshness factor" does this, but it doesn't look like anything's going on there
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Before we ask these types of questions. Is there any evidence that a one off, 5 day vs 6 day break matters?
7AFL@7AFL
Callum Mills won't hear a word of Sydney's five-day break playing any part in the loss tonight #AFLHawksSwans
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@AflGlicko You might want to have a look at the scales package and then add labels = percent to scale_y_continuous()
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Claude has suddenly started ending every R script with a call to sessionInfo()
I dearly want to know who does this and writes enough R code to be a Claude-influencer
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@JamesBland_Econ @SgtButane @anniedundun Although there is an argument that the market has already priced any (dis)advantage in, in which case using a predictive model that does not include days rest should give some clues
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@SgtButane @anniedundun Although that being said, 2ppts*7 days = 14ppts, which is a huge advantage if we get a team with a 2-week break playing a team with a 1-week break. But still not particularly statistically significant, and really I should be doing something fancier with the standard errors.
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@maxlaughton They switched the lid just before they threw it to frame their mate in the seat next to them.
Just classy through-and-through
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I have to say, I’m disappointed in the entire footy world with this story.
This is clearly full strength Coke, because it has a red lid. Coke Zero has a black lid. I won’t have the nectar of the gods besmirched like this.
Fox Footy@FOXFOOTY
"I saw one go straight past me." The AFL is reportedly investigating claims that Nick Watson had a Coke Zero bottle thrown at him from the Sydney cheersquad. READ MORE >> bit.ly/3NfaAoJ
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@MatterOfStats This obviously doesn't take into account the tone and speed of speech at the post match press conference, nor the Monday night talking head group think assessment that takes years to change.
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Boredom and Excitement in men's AFL 2025 home and away season
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Interesting results that tend to confirm that Exciting isn't the opposite of Boring
Worked with Claude to measure these two characteristics separately and the survey identifies the most Exciting and the most Boring (which isn't the least Exciting)
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The Replication Crisis isn’t just an issue in Psychology
@AFL love to know more about your survey questions and methodology. Think you owe the fans that if you’re basing major decisions on it
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats
No harm in gathering more data What time of day do you prefer for the men’s AFL Grand Final?
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Come on - just three more votes for 200. Half hour left
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats
No harm in gathering more data What time of day do you prefer for the men’s AFL Grand Final?
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@michael_timbs @qualiascript The research is pretty clear that hyper-partisanship is equally prevalent on both sides of the political spectrum. More generally each side's understanding of the other's viewpoint and rationale are equally poor.
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@MatterOfStats @qualiascript More tautological opinion. The “right” definitely do it too, but to the degree they do I would say they’re engaging in a leftist framing
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@michael_timbs @qualiascript Is that opinion based on research and evidence, or just anecdote? Might be worth having a bit of a read.
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@qualiascript I've always just considered the act of viewing everything through the lens of politics to be inherently left-leaning. So being right-leaning is in itself enough for this.
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@AflGlicko Are you also going to start using '.' rather than ',' as the thousands separator, as many European countries do?
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@MatterOfStats I will die on the odd hill that the rest of Europe uses the long scale.
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Eighty thousand million is an unfathomable amount of money pissed down the drain.
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: Meta announces they'll be shutting down the Metaverse, after pouring $80,000,000,000.00 into the project.
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@AflGlicko Seems a slightly odd hill to die on given that even the English moved to the short scale for billions over 50 years ago
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billion
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Yes I say eighty thousand million because billion for 10 to the power of 9 is utter Yankee nonsense.
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Tony Corke retweetledi
Surely your personality has achieved this already.
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@MitchellGlenn And it's not as if we were previously bereft of a term of exactly the same length that conveyed exactly the same meaning
Long live "playing"
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“Versing”
Kids ➡️ adults ➡️ commentators 🤷🏻♂️
Perhaps, I’m just a dinosaur
🙄
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