Tony Corke

One mostly for the Squiggle modellers and Monash Prob Comp participants You think the probability of a home win is h, and of a draw is d. What value should you enter for Prob(Home win) in the competitions?

Latest MoS Sims are up matterofstats.com/mafl-simulatio…

The dance continues ...

MoS Team Dashboard after R11 is up matterofstats.com/mafl-team-dash…

Currently in the men's AFL, only two teams have a winning streak longer than two games, and only two teams have a losing streak longer than two games

MoS R11 Results matterofstats.com/mafl-wagers-an…

Final forecast for the NRL

Lucky or unlucky in FMI AFLM this week?

Leaked image from the GWS changeroom at half time

The full V/AFL history for games led by exactly 6 points at half-time

The vast majority of players in the 300+ club have enjoyed better than 50% win rates

@rgloveroz " 'allo, 'allo, 'allo - did I just hear someone dropping their aitches? Only we can do that, sir"

Did you see the police patrolling the #SydWritersFest? I assume they were on the look out for grammatical breaches. “There’s a man confusing his collective nouns in Bay 13, and reports of a person splitting their infinites in the foyer.” Full weight of the law, I say.

** NEW COUNTRY ALERT ** MoS Welcomes Its First Ever Visitor from Djibouti! Just 29 "countries" now missing

After 97 games in the 2026 men's AFL competition, teams leading by 12 points or more at the end of: Q1: 33-1-12 (73%) Q2: 51-0-9 (85%) Q3: 67-0-6 (92%)

La importancia de un buen cámara (y del trabajo previo de localización). Maravilla.

A scientific consensus isn't a group of scientists agreeing. It's repeated results from independent studies all pointing the same way. We don't agree vaccines saves lives. We know - because study after study shows it. Consensus = consistent evidence. Not collective opinion.

FMI AFLM with one to play

So far in AFL R11 Scoring Shot Differences (Winner - Loser): +4/+3/+5/+1 Winning Margins: 9/18/30/6

After Game 2 of FMI AFLM

@octonion "25.99 or just 4 easy payments of 6.49, but only if you ring now on 1-800-1DSTRING ..."

25.99 dimensions makes string theory seem more reasonably priced.

@lenphil29 $10 each and payment only by gold coins?

immediately bought four sausages at the Bunnings BBQ this morning when I saw the charity raising money today was the Pendles Game Record Foundation