Matthew Adams

New modelling suggests that the balance between algae and invertebrates is shifting, with the potential to alter these ecosystems in profound and irreversible ways. arcsaef.com/story/as-antar…

if you are {attending MODSIM 2025 in Adelaide in Nov/Dec?} and {working on environmental or ecological models?} then {consider submitting an abstract to this session!} mssanz.org.au/modsim2025/str…

Thank you and I hope this course and/or code is useful to you in some way. :) Any questions, feel free to email me (mp.adams@qut.edu.au). github.com/MatthewPhilipA… 4/4

-> Interpreting model sloppiness outputs, and connections to other data-informing approaches This repository is an elaboration of an excellent paper on the topic by Gloria Milena Monsalve Bravo - doi.org/10.1126/sciadv… 3/4

Want to do "analysis of sloppiness" in Python? I've just posted full Python code examples for this + PDF slides explaining how to do it, in a GitHub repository....! github.com/MatthewPhilipA… It contains: 1/4

Congratulations to @SarahVollert for best ECR Poster and @a13xbrowning for best ECR talk at #bioinference2024 (and @RaihaTuiTaura for great MCing) 🇦🇺 all well deserved!

@SarahVollert of @QUTMathEcology on low data inference at #bioinference2024 @uniofwarwick

I'm done with my Thesis. That's the tweet.

Just published research from a Centre team led by @MD_Akinlotan introduces new metrics for assessing the value of making additional measurements in ecological management decisions. Unlike traditional value of information analysis... (🧵1/3) Paper link: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

New blog post on the cost of modelling for environmental decisions based on our recent paper onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jf… with @KateHelmstedt @Matthew_P_Adams @QUTMathEcology @KateRobSau @QUT @QUTDataScience 👉 mathemagicalconservation.wordpress.com/2024/04/18/how…

Now published in JGR Biogeosciences! "Trade-Off Between Light Deprivation and Desiccation in Intertidal Seagrasses Due To Periodic Tidal Inundation and Exposure: Insights From a Data-Calibrated Model" Led by Xinyan Wang, w/ Dongdong Shao (BNU). doi.org/10.1029/2024JG…

How much does a model cost? Our new paper reports the costs of different ecosystem models to support fisheries. We should consider cost-benefit tradeoffs when selecting modelling frameworks for ecological decisions doi.org/10.1111/jfb.15…. free version 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2403.17446

We tell decision-makers you need to specify objectives accounting for costs. Shouldn't we hold modelers to the same standards? Different models have different benefits & costs. See our new paper on cost-benefit analyses of ecosystem models for fisheries doi.org/10.1111/jfb.15…

It sometimes take months to model the effects of conservations actions on a complex ecosystem. But just-published research led by Centre PhD Candidate @SarahVollert uses the latest #DataScience techniques to cut that time from months to hours! research.qut.edu.au/qutcds/2024/03… @PLOSONE

New preprint! First paper by Elise Mills! "A generalised sigmoid population growth model with energy dependence: application to quantify the tipping point for Antarctic shallow seabed algae" Joint w/ Graeme Clark, @ProfMJSimpson, Mark Baird arxiv.org/abs/2403.15002 @saef_arc

Now published in Ecological Indicators: Value of information: how to compute risk and uncertainty metrics + the mathematical link to optimal design! Led by @MD_Akinlotan , w/ @DavidJWarne @KateHelmstedt @SarahVollert @iadinec Ryan Heneghan @Hui_Xiaoooo doi.org/10.1016/j.ecol…

To model or not to model? Very excited to share our latest paper providing guidance on #hydrological #restoration of #coastalwetlands 🌊🌿 @CathLovelock @RuthReef @WalthamNathan @DrWillGlamore @danfriess @KerryleeRogers_ @Steve_Crooks doi.org/10.1016/j.scit…

New preprint! A guide to modelling intertidal seagrass. biorxiv.org/content/10.110… We also show an "optimal elevation" balancing light deprivation and desiccation stressors. Led by visiting PhD student Xinyan Wang, joint with Dongdong Shao.

Now published in Inverse Problems! "Component-wise iterative ensemble Kalman inversion for static Bayesian models with unknown measurement error covariance" Led by @ImkeBotha w/ @dtfraz, Dang Tran, Fred Bennett, and @chris_drovandi. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…