Max
1K posts
Max retweetledi
Countries selling off U.S. treasuries to finance oil imports
- U.S. treasuries can’t find major global buyers
- So bond yields go higher with worse debt conditions (shorter-term debt maturations)
- Higher yields = stocks go down
- Oh wait.. stocks are at ATH’s ..
Just imagine the deleveraging event
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@bubbleboi Bond market cracking , boj collapsing , oil soaring , stocks will only remain high so long as liquidity and demand sentiment remains high
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I’m really nervous about this market man I feel like my bubble might pop.
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@DavidKasmanArt @bradsferguson Yea that’s the risk. Im personally bearish macro so I just trade mu and SNDK short term and it works out fine but i get it
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@MaxPapazov @bradsferguson You’re probably right. The problem is if I buy more here and it corrects I’ll be kicking myself. It’s not a fastball, down the middle.
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My biggest regret about $MU will be not being a bigger jerk about it.
You’re missing it and it’s nowhere close to being done.
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@DavidKasmanArt @bradsferguson I mean micron just broke out from a 3 month base literally 2 weeks ago dude with triple digit sales / eps growth …. If the market doesn’t correct this has a whole lot higher to go
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@bradsferguson I just can’t buy a chart that looks like that. Even though the fundamentals are very strong, my instinct is that we’ll see some kind of mean reversion before heading higher. I may be wrong, but I can’t ignore those years of mental programming. 🤷
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@TrendSpider Chart looks good but would like fundamentals to match ideally..
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Max retweetledi
New study finds that Gen Z prefers buying levered semiconductor ETFs over having sex
(Per @Yale)
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@FirstSquawk 🥲😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣 where are they headed to? Gaza? Somalia?
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RECORD NUMBER OF AMERICANS LEAVING US FOR BETTER QUALITY OF LIFE ABROAD: WSJ
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He’s right but There’s just too many risks imo .. the sustainability of the mag 7 cap ex spend, oil being higher for longer, OpenAI/anthropic literally being extremely unprofitable in the first place, major leverage between banks/pe keeping this bubble alive.. if demand for anything slows (which it will) it would be major bad news for everyone involved but for now we keep dancing 💃..
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Curious if you’ll be making the counter argument when data center spend slows, earnings growth powered today (40%) but two companies with cyclical business reverse, and depreciation for the capex starts to hit? Don’t forget about all the one off writeups of AI startups held by the hyper scalers. Can’t have it both ways, can you?
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There’s 2 types of people in this world.
Those that listen, and those that don’t
Person A listens and calls me his quant.
Person B doesn’t listen.
Person A is rich.
Person B is poor.
I sent my 15 page $MU stock write up to both on 4/20 when micron was $450. It is now $540 2 weeks later.
Person A read my doc and listened.
Person B did not even reply back.
Do not be person B
In my short life, i have spent more time researching and learning about equities more than you could ever imagine… don’t ever fucking doubt me
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The best approach in investing is to find the fastest growing companies (rev + eps) in long-term uptrends and ride the wave
These stocks will almost always look expensive btw and everyone will overlook them bc there’s no “value”
But these are the same stocks that 10x - 100x bc the market STRONGLY rewards GROWTH, and only when these stocks display decelerated growth does the p/e ever start to matter ..
The formula for attaining grossly ridiculous returns is the following:
Growth in sales + eps + margins. the higher and more consistent the better
$MNST $NVDA AND 1000S OF OTHER BIG MULTIBAGGERS NEVER APPEARED FUCKING CHEAP BUT THEY ALL HAD ONE THING IN COMMON: BETTER FUNDAMENTALS.
Buy high sell higher mf
Sell when growth slows and move to the next
This isn’t fucking 1960 where you can buy a perennial great company for less than book value at 2x earnings lmfaoo
Maybe you can finally understand what drives stock price appreciation. If you’re smart you will realize that i am right and that this is the most useful pieces of info that you will ever stumble upon in investing
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Main 2 arguments bad investors have for $MU being good investment..🤦♂️🤦♂️
PEG is low, $NVDA in 2022 had a great run.. 😅
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@norveclifinance Price is making new highs.
Cash flow expectations are not.
This isn’t a breakdown —
it’s a transition.
AI capex is pulling cash flows forward,
while the market is pricing what comes after.
The question isn’t if this works —
it’s when the cash flow shows up.
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The AI CAPEX race is not sustainable.
They keep spending aggressively, but the free cash flow is collapsing. They are not getting enough real return on these investments yet.
As Michael Burry warned, a handful of companies are basically investing in each other and circulating money inside the same AI ecosystem.
When this bubble breaks, the world will be shocked.
This is bigger than the dot-com bubble.
$NVDA $MSFT $AMZN $GOOGL $META $ORCL $AMD $AVGO $TSLA $SMCI $TSM $ASML $MU $CRDO $INTC $LRCX $KLAC $AMAT $COHR $CIEN $LITE
#AI #AIBubble #StockMarket #Investing #Markets #FreeCashFlow #DotComBubble #SPX #QQQ #NVDA #MSFT #AMZN #GOOGL #META #ORCL #AMD #AVGO #TSLA #Semiconductors #TechStocks
Kevin C. Smith, CFA@crescatkevin
Free cash flow race to the bottom.
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Go ahead !! Until the market prices in macro risks, you will get RECKED. I got oil calls and am short the yen lol so i got good hedges. For now i will keep investing in $sndk and $MU thank you. Every bull market has had at least 1 theme carry the s&p and that is semis right now, as without them ai will not exist. And like i said semis are displaying real, fast-growing profitability with greater stability than history suggests .. but hey you’re just a crypto guy lol
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@MaxPapazov @great_martis Oh boy, im shorting more on Monday !!!
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To whom it may concern,These parabolic moves never end well.
It’s musical chairs.
The drawdown will be biblical.
Won't be long.
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“Value investors” see this chart and call you a retard for buying today after the huge run up
What if I told you that $SNDK is still 200%+ UNDERVALUED given if the current ai capex thesis holds up ..?
Refer to my post below or remain poor
DYODD for discovering alpha
Max@MaxPapazov
Buffett is overrated “Buy low sell high” yea obviously, but rarely will you ever be able to buy a great fast-growing company at a “low” The best approach is to find the fastest growing companies (rev + eps) in long-term uptrends and ride the wave These stocks will almost always look expensive btw and everyone will overlook them bc there’s no “value” But these are the same stocks that 10x - 100x bc the market STRONGLY rewards GROWTH, and only when these stocks display decelerated growth does the p/e ever start to matter .. The formula for attaining grossly ridiculous returns is the following: Growth in sales + eps + margins. the higher and more consistent the better $MNST $NVDA AND 1000S OF OTHER BIG MULTIBAGGERS NEVER APPEARED FUCKING CHEAP BUT THEY ALL HAD ONE THING IN COMMON: BETTER FUNDAMENTALS. Buy high sell higher nigga Sell when growth slows and move to the next Full port that shit too nigga fuck all that “risk-management diversification” brokie shit if u see something good buy with conviction don’t be a little bitch and allocate 2%
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Buffett is overrated
“Buy low sell high” yea obviously, but rarely will you ever be able to buy a great fast-growing company at a “low”
The best approach is to find the fastest growing companies (rev + eps) in long-term uptrends and ride the wave
These stocks will almost always look expensive btw and everyone will overlook them bc there’s no “value”
But these are the same stocks that 10x - 100x bc the market STRONGLY rewards GROWTH, and only when these stocks display decelerated growth does the p/e ever start to matter ..
The formula for attaining grossly ridiculous returns is the following:
Growth in sales + eps + margins. the higher and more consistent the better
$MNST $NVDA AND 1000S OF OTHER BIG MULTIBAGGERS NEVER APPEARED FUCKING CHEAP BUT THEY ALL HAD ONE THING IN COMMON: BETTER FUNDAMENTALS.
Buy high sell higher nigga
Sell when growth slows and move to the next
Full port that shit too nigga fuck all that “risk-management diversification” brokie shit if u see something good buy with conviction don’t be a little bitch and allocate 2%
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