Memco

If history repeats itself: 1064 days between cycle bottom and cycle top 364 days between cycle top and cycle bottom Bitcoin bottoms in October.

In the last 24 hours, Gold has gained to its price an amount equals to the ENTIRE market cap of $BTC Let it sink in

#Altcoins $BTC Bullish facts about crypto: -The Totalmarketcap just reclaimed the EMA 200 line In the past, a touch of this line has led to a market reversal several times.👀🔥 And then there is a falling wedge that has been forming since summer. It's about to break out.

SBC7H7La knew!

Bitcoin overview. Read until the end. BTC Daily MA200 Analysis Across 4 Bitcoin Cycles (End of Cycle: Q4 correction Vs Q1 Retest) 🟢 2013–2014 Cycle: - Once price closed under MA200, it triggered a deep 71% correction. - After finding the bottom, BTC made a 94% relief rally back toward the MA200 but failed to reclaim it. - Conclusion: MA200 acted as heavy resistance during the entire bear phase. 🟢2017–2018 Cycle: - Similar structure: BTC lost MA200 after the top. - This breakdown caused a 67% decline over 109 days. - BTC did a 54% relief rally, but again could not reclaim the MA200. - Result: Multi-month accumulation under MA200 before a new bull cycle. -Conclusion: MA200 = Bear Market Roof in this cycle. 🟢 2021–2022 Cycle - BTC fell below MA200 after the mid-cycle top. - Breakdown led to a 52% drop. - BTC bounced 44%, touched the MA200, but failed to flip it. - Price continued grinding lower for months. - Conclusion: MA200 rejection = continuation of bear market. 🟢2025–2026 Cycle (Current Projection) - BTC has again broken below MA200 after a big run. - So far, the correction is -28%, in line with previous cycles. If BTC repeats history: - A relief rally toward MA200 is likely. - Failure to reclaim MA200 could trigger multi-month sideways/lower price action. - A clean reclaim of MA200 would signal a new bullish phase. 🟢 Simple Summary In every Bitcoin cycle: - Losing MA200 at the end of bull cycle (Q4) starts the bear phase. -Relief rally back to MA200 = normal, but failure to reclaim MA200 = extended bear market / accumulation zone. - Reclaiming and holding above MA200 = new bull cycle begins. Remember this structure is valid if you believe in a 4-year cycle, but if the 4-year cycle theory is dead, we will see a new structure in the Bitcoin chart in 2026. If the bear cycle is going to start, the market will give a retest rally at any time in the next 6 months as per all the last 3 cycles. If it repeats Q1/2018, we can see a 3x-5x jump in alts from here.

@virtualbacon Everyone going bearish. And it's happening. FUD going hard rn.

What is the bottom signal for you right now?

Weak Pullbacks Warn You Strong trend → weak pullback → big continuation. Weak trend → strong pullback → likely reversal. How price pulls back tells you who’s in control. Watch the retracement character, not just the direction.

#Bitcoin Do you see what's happening here? It's similar to 2017, but it's taking significantly longer because the cycle is much bigger. Patience. Great things are coming for crypto.

TOTAL – Crypto Market Cap Analysis We have covered $BTC, now let's zoom out to the broader picture. Here's the deal, $TOTAL still respects its major trendline. Looks rough up close, but structurally it's intact. The moment we see even the smallest body break below that trendline, I'll call it, a bear market is in. Just like I mentioned with Bitcoin, even a -33% drawdown didn't end the cycle before. So don't get emotional or hasty. Respect the trend until it truly breaks.

$BTC – Defining Bear Markets I'm super bullish on Bitcoin, always have been. But I won't sugarcoat it, things aren't looking great right now. Most bullish structures have broken down. That's the truth. But calling it a full-on bear market? That's where it gets tricky. This cycle has already seen three major drawdowns: one at -23%, and two at -33%. Each time, BTC came back stronger and printed new highs. Right now, we're down 24%. So while the structure has turned bearish, calling this a cycle top? Not convinced yet. But hedging my positions until a clear sign.

I think it needs explaining that although I see an elongated cycle it doesn't mean my analysis is right. The breadth and depth of macro/crypto analytics framework I've added since 2021 is massive and I'm happy with the probabilities currently but things can change... At GMI we have done tremendous amounts of work on this all at the nexus of crypto and macro in The Everything Code. It comprised of over 4,000 charts (serious). However, I am not a guru. We all need to take lifestyle chips off the table to secure our own future.. I can't dictate that. In RV too we will do our best to help as many people as possible, But we are not, and will not be, perfect. This is your choice alone. Not mine. Only you can actually protect your own future and thus limit regret if the market reverses or even it explodes higher. I'm guessing I'll take 25% to 30% off into year end but I don't know yet. It's based on my own circumstances, not yours and its based on my p&l and not yours. Also don't forget that your risk profile is different to mine... I can afford to take outrageously concentrated risks like having 80%+ of my liquid stack in Sui. But based on my work I think Sui it outperforms most others majors. I am not a maximalist and my portfolio can and will change but I will let you know if my analysis changes. My job for myself is to maximise profits with best risk adjust returns. For most, just buy BTC, ETH and SOL My job for myself is to max profits with best risk adjust returns I think are available. The Banana Zone won't fix your shitty asset allocation. If you have had a decent portfolio you will already be up 5x to 10x from the low. If you are newer, don't chase gains, time in the market is vital, you should make money this cycle but here is more to play for over time, You have 5 years or so to Unfuck your Future. Please don't fuck it up. This will be my pinned tweet so you can refer to it. Just let it all play out and take profits on the way. Good luck. My work suggests the next 6 to 9 months can change all our lives but don't bet on it exclusively. If you want to reduce risk and also play for higher prices consider selling some and buying longer dated calls in due course, where you can only lose your premium (as I did in 2021 with ETH and only risked 5% for a potential leg higher which failed). I appreciate your attention in this matter.

$ETH bull structure is still intact. $8K-$10K ETH is still happening this cycle.

Buy the dip

@MartGB_ @Battlefield

What am I missing?

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@rovercrc Dude you trolling right?

$ETH JUST PRINTED A GOD CANDLE! WOW! 🚀

@Ashcryptoreal Since when is a rising wedge bullish? Oh yeah, in crypto you never know...

This is going to be the biggest breakout in crypto history Long term is ultra bullish 🚀

USDT Dominance: Bullish or Bearish? This is the chart that decides the next big move in the crypto market. Right now, USDT Dominance is testing key resistance. A rejection here will fuel a major rally for $BTC and alts. - USDT breakout = bearish for crypto - USDT rejection = bullish reversal incoming It's wild how bearish sentiment is on alts right now. Even as the setup looks eerily similar to September 2024, when the weekly RSI lost its uptrend right before a reversal. You should follow this closely.

Read if you want to make it. Important: I had a pretty huge vacation lined up for my birthday to Monaco. Canceled it all. Lost a BIG chunk of $$. That’s how important the next few months are in crypto (and in AI tech at HYROS). The next few months can change your entire life. A clear, laser-focused mind and absolutely perfect attention-to-detail decision-making is life or death here. Very few here will leave alive. Your entire fate in crypto will come down to 2–3 decisions you’ll have to make entirely by intuition. Fail to see things clearly, and you'll fumble this like 95% of everyone else here. If you’re in tech like me, you also have ONE shot to catch this inflection point in AI. It’s an open gold mine—similar to the start of the internet. This is your chance to be first and claim your territory as the entire world changes. This “territory” will be eaten up in the next year. The next 6 months can truly add 8, 9, and (if you’re a builder) 10 figures (my goal) to your net worth. After this run, crypto will be far more regulated and balanced. It'll be more consistent, but the crazy fast-money potential will be gone. After this wave in AI, the dominant companies will control everything and develop at light speed. There is a BRIEF window of massive disruption opportunity in the next 12 months that will close forever after this. In the true sense… it’s time to lock the everliving F%$K in, gentlemen (and the 3’s girls that follow). This is, with no hype, the biggest money-making potential month(s) of the last couple decades. I personally will be at my desk skipping all things, saying no to everything and putting everything into these moves/market and building the Mona Lisa of marketing AI at HYROS. Clear mind. Zen focus. You can get drunk on your superyacht later. This is your origin story. Don’t fumble it.

Six Rules of Life Before You Pray, BELIEVE. Before You Speak, LISTEN. Before You Spend, EARN. Before You Write, THINK. Before You Quit, TRY. Before You Die, LIVE.

You can only choose one to hold for a year👀 what do you choose? Like for $XRP Repost for $SUI