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We have a cooler and more changeable period with a frost risk for the next 10 days or so
As we head into last 5-7 days of the month, there is a growing chance of drier and warmer conditions
#UKweather #LakeDistrict
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MetRyan
32.8K posts
MetRyan
@MetRyan96
Latest accurate/sensible outlooks on the UK WX. Studied for over a decade. Trainee Mountain leader. Amateur photographer. https://t.co/Wjzyf91jMe
Cumbria Katılım Ekim 2017
701 Takip Edilen12.9K Takipçiler
Well then, looks like this is panning out........
MetRyan@MetRyan96
Some of the models building up a lot of +ve Uwind over the Pacific going into May Could lead to rise in AAM and general more favourable background state for warm and dry weather for the UK later in May into June Settled weather could fade after the beginning of May Just speculation for now
English
Ongoing Frost risk has been well forecasted for sometime now going into this month
I hope gardeners and farmers have been well prepared
Met Office@metoffice
We've got a cold night to come for most of England and Wales with a frost in places ✨ Milder in Scotland and Northern Ireland with cloud and rain moving in 🌡️
English
A change in the weather is coming
And some frost is still possible, even some snow falling on the Scottish mountains as we go into first 7-10 days of May 🏔️
#UKweather #LakeDistrict
English
Evening all
A change in this wonderful settled period of weather is coming
High pressure fading through tomorrow and more unsettled weather through the weekend with some rain around
And much cooler through next week, with a risk of frost, and some snow falling on the Scottish mountains
Changeable theme likely first half of May, but unsure how unsettled
#UKweather #LakeDistrict
GIF
English
Just a few hints on the models of a change later in May...
...To something warmer and drier again
I am unsure on timing but it's something I'm watching
#UKweather #LakeDistrict
MetRyan@MetRyan96
Some of the models building up a lot of +ve Uwind over the Pacific going into May Could lead to rise in AAM and general more favourable background state for warm and dry weather for the UK later in May into June Settled weather could fade after the beginning of May Just speculation for now
English
@peacockreports 2023 had this. Wonder how the AAM profile is looking now?
English
@MetRyan96 Could be that one reason for ECMWF's seasonal modelling favouring a dry warm/hot summer is the timing of the initial climb in AAM toward a Nino-like state, just as the summer's base pattern is becoming established.
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Yes, unfortunately for growers/farmers, the outlook has trended drier the closer we get
GA@whoop_heaver36
@MetRyan96 drier? where the rain for Norfolk then, everyone keeps saying wet and unsettled. 6mm since 1st April
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@jennifever1 Find a lot of the time outside of the main "hotspots" and outside of "tourist times" there is plenty of peace and quiet to be found on the fells still 😃
English
@MetRyan96 Similar scenes up Hartsop last Friday. 5 hrs of hiking and I didn’t see a single person. Such a stunning day / eve too.
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Only saw 2 people who were on there way down as I was going up and that was it. Not a soul in sight!
What a location
#LakeDistrict
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1/3 On 28th May - on his 25th birthday - I am planning a one off charity livestream to remember lovely Josh Seymour who was taken away from us so suddenly on 5th December last year.
The stream will be a celebration of Josh's life and the time we shared with him...
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MetRyan retweetledi
Some of the models building up a lot of +ve Uwind over the Pacific going into May
Could lead to rise in AAM and general more favourable background state for warm and dry weather for the UK later in May into June
Settled weather could fade after the beginning of May
Just speculation for now
English