Micha Germann

FYI: Nicholas Sambanis and I have a new article out @IntOrgJournal in which we investigate the role of political exclusion and lost autonomy in the escalation of separatist conflicts. tinyurl.com/y5to2pfk Pre-print: tinyurl.com/yyygqpc7 @UniofBath @PoLIS_Bath @PennSAS

@Prof_Nishith_P In many ways, David Lodge's Campus Trilogy.

Apart from Netflix’s “The Chair”, are there good books that capture the drama of academia — politics, egos, hiring, tenure, all of it? Would love recommendations.

@HereIsMimi95 Congratulations Mimi!

Just submitted my #PhD thesis 🎓💀 Proof that with enough ☕ + 😵‍💫, you can turn shitposting into scholarship 💻📚✨ Pray for my examiners 🙏 They have to read it unironically #PhDLife #MemeWarfare #ThesisSubmitted

Author copies of Stop the Machines are here! When I started this book in 2021, the topic felt important. Now, as the AI revolution unfolds, it feels urgent. Out 23 May (UK) / 28 July (US). Big thanks to my publisher @politybooks. Looking forward to taking it out on the road!

🆕 Improving issue representation with candidate-level #VotingAdvice applications Most VAAs match users with parties as opposed to candidates. 🗳️ This might be a missed opportunity! What is the potential of candidate-level VAAs? 🤨 Read more below! 🔗 ow.ly/4yO050VHG4a

@UptonOrwell @JohnHolbein1 Thanks fantastic idea with the large hollow markers!!!

@JohnHolbein1 Even better—I wrote an entire guide on it 😊 Just scroll down closer toward the bottom 👍 medium.com/the-stata-gall…

Coefficient plots are all the rage! You see them all over the place as a means of visualizing regression output. In a coefficient plot, you take the coefficient estimate from a regression model and plot it as a point on an axis. Then, on the same axis, you take your confidence intervals and place them as bars around the point. A while back, I heard someone argue that we should use smoothed/fuzzy confidence intervals in our coefficient plots, like in the figure below. This approach aligns with Gelman's classic principle: the difference between “significant” & “not significant” is not itself statistically significant. Thoughts about this approach? #DataViz

NEW - Mini-Publics, (Lack of) Representativeness, and Legitimacy Beliefs - cup.org/3CQkM1v - @Micha_Germann #OpenAccess

🚨 LSE Postdoc Fellow in Political Behaviour 🚨 We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great team @LSEGovernment! Please spread the word and reach out with questions! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/68…

@SErkiletian @IntOrgJournal @NilsWMetternich @jbeisermcgrath Congratulations Sam!!!

I’m happy to share that my co-authored article @IntOrgJournal is now available open-access! What started as a short project outside of my PhD research with @NilsWMetternich and @jbeisermcgrath led to years of learning and a life changing trip to Ghana cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Let me take you back for a moment to 2018. A team of powerhouse psychologists have just published a (seemingly) groundbreaking article. The premise of the article was simple--give multiple research teams the same research question with the same dataset. Would teams with the same research question and the same data come to the same conclusions? The research question was: are soccer referees more likely to give red cards to players with dark skin tone than light skin tone? The results obtained by the teams differed extensively. Many concluded from this widely noted exercise that the social sciences are not rigorous enough to provide definitive answers. This finding was widely shared in the popular press and on social media. Fast forward a few years: a new (less covered) article comes out and shows that the main reason teams came to different answers was the original research question was unclear. Teams differed in their interpretation of the research question and therefore used diverse research designs and model specifications. When you reanalyze the data with a clear research question, a precise definition of the parameter of interest, and theory-guided causal reasoning, results across teams don't vary that much. From the authors of the new study: "The broad conclusion of our reanalysis is that social science research needs to be more precise in its `estimands' to become credible."

Job alert: I am looking for 2 collaborators for my new consolidator project "Decades of Peace" at the University of Zurich @IPZ_ch funded by @snsf_ch. Please help me find them. PhD position: ipz.uzh.ch/dam/jcr:e32a7b… Postdoc position: ipz.uzh.ch/dam/jcr:94e1a4…

Do candidates’ policy positions matter in elections to the Senedd in Wales. Available open access with Regional & Federal Studies tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

@turnbulldugarte @rmichaelalvarez FWIW, BJPS did tell me the reason why my conditionally paper hasn't been processed further since May is the cyber attack. So can confirm.

One thing that's not gotten a lot of discussion on #AcademicTwitter is the supposed cyberattack that hit some of the major academic publishers earlier this summer. It's delayed publication and open access payments for some of our papers. This of course hits hard for those who need those pubs on their CVs for the job market this coming academic year. I wish that journals were more transparent about their production and publication delays.

@jon_mellon cambridge.org/core/journals/…

What’s the best 1-2 papers to read to get me up to speed with what’s best practice for diff-in-diff (and the whole TWFE bun fight that’s going on)

@_SofieMarien @FSW_KULEUVEN @KU_Leuven @DelDemUCan @Demo_LabS @PSAdemocracy Congratulations Sofie. So happy for you and your young family!

Exactly one month ago my absolute best coauthored work came out. Happy to introduce Marlon Sente. Even reviewer 2 agrees not a single revision is needed.

@dominic_nyhuis Exact same thought

Far be it from me to take sides in this debate, but it is a little surprising how the debate on the Biden withdrawal only focuses on the winnability of the election and not at all on his ability to govern another four years

Celebrating🎖️100k+ 🙌user visits to whogetsmyvote.org two weeks after we've released it! Give it a try! It takes your preferences on key issues and shows you which parties are closest to your own views. @whogets_myvote @JonWheatley64 @Micha_Germann @wallmt

@_vincenzobove @PAISWarwick All the best of luck with your next chapter- and already signing up for your next workshop 😅

📣++Personal announcement++ This will be my last term at the University of Warwick after 10 amazing years. I will soon be joining IMT Alti Studi Lucca as a Professor of Economics. It is with a heavy heart that I say goodbye to my amazing friends and colleagues in @PAISWarwick .

@pennymiles31 Thanks @pennymiles31 !

@Micha_Germann Brilliant work Micha & all involved

Now even with a video 😊:

@LeslieWehner @IuliaCioroianu Thank you @LeslieWehner for the shout-out!

Two of my amazing colleagues @IuliaCioroianu & @Micha_Germann developed this voter information app for the election 🇬🇧 - test it here ⬇️ Find out which party is closest to you in the 2024 general election whogetsmyvote.org/?rid=zsa1pUie3… #UK-2024