Michael T. Lester

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Michael T. Lester

Michael T. Lester

@MichaelTLester

The book that predicted this moment: We Are The Bad Guys Combat pilot | USNA | Marine | Professor Power, propaganda, and American empire ๐Ÿ”— Get the book โ†“

United States Katฤฑlฤฑm Eylรผl 2015
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
This is an interesting set of replies that seems strong on emotion but light on data to back it up. Then again, you did ask what people just โ€œbelieveโ€. . .. Here's what current, defendable surveys actually show: The Reagan Institute -- not exactly a left-wing outfit -- just released their 2025 National Defense Survey. Results: Confidence in the U.S. military is at its lowest point since 2018, down 21 points Less than half of Americans believe the military can win a war overseas Less than half believe it can deter foreign aggression The #1 reason cited for the decline: politicization of the military Defense Department civilian workforce satisfaction: the civilians who actually keep the machine running, collapsed in 2025. Navy and Marine Corps: satisfaction dropped from 68 to 36 out of 100. Air Force: dropped 67 to 38. The nonpartisan Partnership for Public Service described employees as "fearful" and "traumatized." Hegseth's own approval rating: 40% approve, 49% disapprove. (Quinnipiac, January 2026) Feelings are fine, but not a good indication of actual combat effectiveness. The data says what it says. Question Everything.
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Trumps Nephew
Trumps Nephew@ForgiatoBlow47ยท
DO YOU BELIEVE PETE HEGSETH HAS MADE THE U.S. MILITARY STRONGER?
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
True, but needs to be taken in context. The 30-day extension exists for ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ง๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฅ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ด. The statute is clear on this. It requires the president to certify in writing that military necessity requires it "respecting the safety of U.S. Armed Forces." It is a wind-down provision, not a continuation provision. Using it to keep fighting would be a direct violation of the law's plain text.
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Hank Rearden
Hank Rearden@Henry_Reardanยท
@MichaelTLester The War Powers Resolution of 1973 includes a 30-day extension beyond the initial 60-day limit for the president to remove U.S. armed forces from hostilities without congressional authorization.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
The War Powers Act 60-day clock expires today on U.S. military operations in Iran. Sec. Hegseth says the clock is "paused" due to a ceasefire, but that language doesn't exist in the law. Congress now has three choices: 1) Vote to authorize the war. 2) Watch withdrawal begin tomorrow. 3) Do nothing and confirm what has been creeping true for decades: Congress has voluntarily surrendered the war power to the executive. Permanently. This isn't partisan. It's the law passed in 1973 specifically to prevent this moment after painful experiences in Korea and Vietnam.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
This is a worldwide phenomenon, and it's just math. In this graph, the blue is the worldwide population. The red is the rate of growth. The population is still growing, but the rate of growth has been slowing since 1968. Mathematically, it appears that the human population will hit a tipping point and start to decline around the year 2086, unless accelerated by war, environment conditions affecting the food pipeline, another virus pandemic, or a combination of those.
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X Freeze
X Freeze@XFreezeยท
US fertility rates just hit another record low In 2025, the US general fertility rate fell to 53.1 - the lowest level ever recorded Japan, South Korea, and Germany have already been shrinking for years. Japan has been shrinking for years, South Koreaโ€™s population has already started to decline, and Germany would be shrinking without immigration Now the UK joins them - deaths will outnumber births every single year starting in 2026 No economy grows without people No pension system survives without young workers No culture persists without families having children This is the slowest civilizational crisis in human history
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Michael T. Lester retweetledi
The Times Of India
The Times Of India@timesofindiaยท
Tehran's No-Surrender Moment: Ex-US Marine Pilot On How Washington Is Misreading Iran Former US Marine combat pilot Michael T. Lester (@MichaelTLester) says Iran cannot politically afford to surrender now. โ€œAny capitulation would project weakness, destabilise the regime, and embolden rivals.โ€ He argues only a regional security settlement, without U.S. involvement, can end the crisis. #Iran #US #MiddleEast #Israel @prasadaditi
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
"If we've won, why are we still there?" Joined @TimesofIndia Digital to break down the US-Iran war, the naval blockade, and why a ground campaign would be catastrophic. We Are the Bad Guys predicted this. youtu.be/5a8lykSQOhE
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
Interesting data. Worth asking whether this is purge-driven or selection-driven. If higher IQ and knowledge correlate with liberal leanings independent of academia, you'd expect this distribution even without active exclusion. The chart can't tell us which mechanism dominates. Probably both.
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Ian Miller
Ian Miller@ianmSCยท
Whatโ€™s impressive about this is that the education system didnโ€™t just eliminate virtually all conservative thought as it moved toward left wing extremism, they got rid of almost anyone who was in the middle too. Anyone who doesnโ€™t fully comply with the groupthink isnโ€™t welcome.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
1) Spain didn't agree to blindly follow Trump into an ill-advised, illegal war. 2) Trump states the U.S. will cut off all trade with Spain. 3) China supports Spain and they sign an investment agreement. This is how empires die... in their own hubris... We're watching it in real time. youtube.com/watch?v=A8Lhy_โ€ฆ translation๏ผšIn line with the general trend of the times, the world today is plagued with chaos, and the international order is in disarray. How a country treats international law and order reflects its worldview, values, view of order, and sense of responsibility. Both China and Spain are countries that uphold principles and morality, and are willing to stand on the right side of history. We should strengthen communication, consolidate mutual trust, cooperate closely, oppose the world's regression to the law of the jungle, jointly defend true multilateralism, and safeguard global peace and development.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
@Chrisquatch @NewsX The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) places the cost run rate at ~$1.6 Billion a day. This is day 44. This is without congressional approval and congress continues to refuse to invoke the War Powers Act.
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Chris Duncan
Chris Duncan@Chrisquatchยท
45 billion in six weeks is absolutely absurd. I listened very carefully to an interview with Col. Pete Blaber and he was speaking about the logistics profiteering during and after the 03 invasion. Haliburton had $39.5 billion in contracts over a decade with something like a 75% revenue boost into 04? This was over the span of a decade and we burned $45 billion in a month and a half. What is happening? ๐Ÿคฆ๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
@isaacrrr7 POINT OF FACT: Neither the U.S. nor Iran signed the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). It's a treaty that neither agreed to, so it is a moot point.
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Isaac
Isaac@isaacrrr7ยท
El Estrecho de Ormuz es un estrecho internacional. Segรบn la Convenciรณn de la ONU sobre el Derecho del Mar, todos los buques tienen libertad de navegaciรณn. Ningรบn Estado puede suspender ese derecho. ยฟPor quรฉ nadie condena a Irรกn por violar el โ€˜derecho internacionalโ€™?
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
The madman theory works when the irrationality is knowingly controlled, like Nixon did when he had Kissinger whispering to Moscow. With Iran, there is no rational backstop. No "good cop" balance. Our allies can't tell the difference between strategy and instability, and neither can the economy. My post was just about the reality of civics. The 25th isn't happening. Congress is the lever.
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Send It
Send It@megabytesailorยท
@MichaelTLester My assumption here, is that while abnormal for reasonable followers with standards of the office, they aren't realizing that when dealing with sane, but dangerous people with nothing to lose, you need them to believe you're more crazy than they are.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
Everyone is screaming #25thAmendmentNow. What many don't realize is: Invoking section 4 of the 25th Amendment (involuntary removal) isn't done by congress. It is only invoked by the Vice-President and a majority of the President's own cabinet. That's JD Vance. That's Pete Hegseth. That's not going to happen. The only real path right now is congressional pressure. Our congress needs to stop coddling and start doing their job, i.e. representing us. 60% of Americans don't want this. Even a Fox "News" poll found 58% oppose it. Call your representatives. Today. Link in my previous post.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
The United States ranks 57th in the world for freedom of speech and is classified as "problematic. "(rsf.org/en/index) 57th. Behind Jamaica. Behind Timor-Leste. Behind Namibia. Behind South Africa. Behind Ghana. Here is why. I quoted the Declaration of Independence. I used the word "revolution." Two hours later, impressions throttled from 90,000-100,000 an hour, to almost nothing. X is an American company. The Founders are rolling in their graves. This is what "problematic" looks like from the inside.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
Many of you are saying "America has always done this." You're not wrong. Guatemala. Iran 1953. Vietnam. Iraq. The history is real, it's damning, and I cover all of this in my book. But today is different. Every previous administration committed these acts while at least maintaining the fiction that we were the good guys. They worked in the shadows. They used proxies. They issued careful statements and let historians sort it out later. that doesn't make it better, but it means that people didn't know what was happening in their name in real time. Today, a sitting president said...out loud, in real time, before the action...that a whole civilization will die at his bidding. That's not rhetoric. That's not negotiation. That's not something that can be explained away, and that's not something that the people he is representing should ignore or that they can claim ignorance about. We can't pretend like we didn't know, and things were done without our knowledge and without our permission. If we don't stand up and say "enough," we are all complicit. That is the line. That is why this moment is different.
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
Enough! If there was ever a red line in world history, we are here. It really doesn't matter if you are liberal or conservative, or who you voted for in the last election-- there is no way you can be a good American, good Christian, or good person if you support a leader that makes statements like this. If you try to dismiss this, try to explain it away as "good negotiating tactic", or try to justify it in any way, you are just a bad person. It's that simple. If you don't understand this, you just prove the point. The American people are not the Mafia or the mob. We don't threaten to kill whole families or civilizations if we don't get our way, especially if "getting our way" means stealing from and killing other people that have not attacked us. If our elected representatives can't understand this, don't have the moral courage to stand up and represent us the way they should, and reign in this megalomaniac, We The People will have no choice other than revolution. That's the point our revered founding fathers got to and that is where we are now. "...That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..."
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Michael T. Lester
Michael T. Lester@MichaelTLesterยท
Many people are asking what they can do. This is what I suggest, right now: We need to rely, at least for the time being, on our elected officials that have the immediate power to make changes. If you donโ€™t know who your representatives are, go to congress.gov/members/find-yโ€ฆ and find your representatives. (2 senators and 1 congress member). Go to each of their sites, click on โ€œcontact me. Use the topic choice of โ€œ๐…๐จ๐ซ๐ž๐ข๐ ๐ง ๐‘๐ž๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌโ€ and the Subject of โ€œ๐ƒ๐จ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐“๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฌ ๐”๐ฅ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ฎ๐ฆ..โ€ ๐‘ฐ ๐’‚๐’Ž ๐’š๐’๐’–๐’“ ๐’„๐’๐’๐’”๐’•๐’Š๐’•๐’–๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐‘ฐ ๐’‚๐’Ž ๐’˜๐’“๐’Š๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’ ๐’…๐’†๐’Ž๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐’Š๐’Ž๐’Ž๐’†๐’…๐’Š๐’‚๐’•๐’† ๐’‚๐’„๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’. ๐‘ท๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’Š๐’…๐’†๐’๐’• ๐‘ป๐’“๐’–๐’Ž๐’‘'๐’” ๐’“๐’†๐’„๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’•๐’‰๐’“๐’†๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐’…๐’†๐’”๐’•๐’“๐’–๐’„๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’๐’‡ ๐’‚๐’ ๐’†๐’๐’•๐’Š๐’“๐’† ๐’„๐’Š๐’—๐’Š๐’๐’Š๐’›๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’Š๐’” ๐’๐’๐’• ๐’‚ ๐’๐’†๐’ˆ๐’๐’•๐’Š๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‚๐’„๐’•๐’Š๐’„. ๐‘ฐ๐’• ๐’Š๐’” ๐’‚๐’ ๐’–๐’๐’•๐’Š๐’Ž๐’‚๐’•๐’–๐’Ž ๐’•๐’‰๐’‚๐’• ๐’—๐’Š๐’๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’” ๐’Š๐’๐’•๐’†๐’“๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’๐’‚๐’ ๐’๐’‚๐’˜, ๐’…๐’Š๐’”๐’‰๐’๐’๐’๐’“๐’” ๐’๐’–๐’“ ๐‘ช๐’๐’๐’”๐’•๐’Š๐’•๐’–๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’, ๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐’†๐’๐’…๐’‚๐’๐’ˆ๐’†๐’“๐’” ๐’†๐’—๐’†๐’“๐’š ๐‘จ๐’Ž๐’†๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’‚๐’. ๐‘ฐ ๐’‚๐’Ž ๐’‚๐’”๐’Œ๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’š๐’๐’– ๐’•๐’: ๐Ÿ. ๐‘ท๐’–๐’ƒ๐’๐’Š๐’„๐’๐’š ๐’„๐’๐’๐’…๐’†๐’Ž๐’ ๐’•๐’‰๐’Š๐’” ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’Š๐’ ๐’–๐’๐’‚๐’Ž๐’ƒ๐’Š๐’ˆ๐’–๐’๐’–๐’” ๐’•๐’†๐’“๐’Ž๐’”. ๐Ÿ. ๐‘ฐ๐’๐’—๐’๐’Œ๐’† ๐’š๐’๐’–๐’“ ๐’„๐’๐’๐’”๐’•๐’Š๐’•๐’–๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’๐’‚๐’ ๐’‚๐’–๐’•๐’‰๐’๐’“๐’Š๐’•๐’š ๐’•๐’ ๐’„๐’‰๐’†๐’„๐’Œ ๐’†๐’™๐’†๐’„๐’–๐’•๐’Š๐’—๐’† ๐’˜๐’‚๐’“ ๐’‘๐’๐’˜๐’†๐’“๐’”. ๐Ÿ‘. ๐‘ช๐’-๐’”๐’‘๐’๐’๐’”๐’๐’“ ๐’๐’“ ๐’”๐’–๐’‘๐’‘๐’๐’“๐’• ๐’‚๐’๐’š ๐’๐’†๐’ˆ๐’Š๐’”๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’๐’“ ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’๐’๐’–๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’•๐’‰๐’‚๐’• ๐’๐’Š๐’Ž๐’Š๐’•๐’” ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐‘ท๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’Š๐’…๐’†๐’๐’•'๐’” ๐’‚๐’ƒ๐’Š๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’š ๐’•๐’ ๐’Š๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’Š๐’‚๐’•๐’† ๐’Ž๐’Š๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’‚๐’“๐’š ๐’‚๐’„๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’˜๐’Š๐’•๐’‰๐’๐’–๐’• ๐‘ช๐’๐’๐’ˆ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’”๐’Š๐’๐’๐’‚๐’ ๐’‚๐’‘๐’‘๐’“๐’๐’—๐’‚๐’. ๐‘ฏ๐’Š๐’”๐’•๐’๐’“๐’š ๐’˜๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’‹๐’–๐’…๐’ˆ๐’† ๐’†๐’—๐’†๐’“๐’š ๐’†๐’๐’†๐’„๐’•๐’†๐’… ๐’๐’‡๐’‡๐’Š๐’„๐’Š๐’‚๐’ ๐’ƒ๐’š ๐’˜๐’‰๐’‚๐’• ๐’•๐’‰๐’†๐’š ๐’…๐’Š๐’…, ๐’๐’“ ๐’‡๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’†๐’… ๐’•๐’ ๐’…๐’, ๐’‚๐’• ๐’•๐’‰๐’Š๐’” ๐’Ž๐’๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’•. ๐‘ฐ ๐’˜๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’“๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’Ž๐’ƒ๐’†๐’“ ๐’š๐’๐’–๐’“ ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’‘๐’๐’๐’”๐’†. They may not read every message, but what we want is for them to get a huge spike of messages that they canโ€™t ignore. We want their staff to tell them โ€œWe just got a 400% increase in messages, all against President Trumpโ€™s current ultimatum.โ€ That will start to get their attention. After that, CALL YOUR REPRESENTATIVE'S LOCAL STATE OFFICE โ€” NOT WASHINGTON D.C. (Local offices answer more reliably and your message goes directly into their constituent log.) When someone answers or you get voicemail, say: "๐‘ฏ๐’Š, ๐’Ž๐’š ๐’๐’‚๐’Ž๐’† ๐’Š๐’” [๐‘ต๐’‚๐’Ž๐’†] ๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐‘ฐ'๐’Ž ๐’‚ ๐’„๐’๐’๐’”๐’•๐’Š๐’•๐’–๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’‡๐’“๐’๐’Ž [๐‘ช๐’Š๐’•๐’š]. ๐‘ฐ'๐’Ž ๐’„๐’‚๐’๐’๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’‚๐’ƒ๐’๐’–๐’• ๐‘ท๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’Š๐’…๐’†๐’๐’• ๐‘ป๐’“๐’–๐’Ž๐’‘'๐’” ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’•๐’‰๐’“๐’†๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐’…๐’†๐’”๐’•๐’“๐’–๐’„๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’๐’‡ ๐‘ฐ๐’“๐’‚๐’. ๐‘ฐ ๐’˜๐’‚๐’๐’• [๐‘บ๐’†๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’๐’“/๐‘น๐’†๐’‘๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’†๐’๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’—๐’† ๐‘ต๐’‚๐’Ž๐’†] ๐’•๐’ ๐’Œ๐’๐’๐’˜ ๐’•๐’‰๐’‚๐’• ๐‘ฐ ๐’‚๐’Ž ๐’…๐’†๐’Ž๐’‚๐’๐’…๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‰๐’“๐’†๐’† ๐’•๐’‰๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ๐’”: ๐‘ถ๐’๐’† โ€” ๐’‚ ๐’‘๐’–๐’ƒ๐’๐’Š๐’„ ๐’„๐’๐’๐’…๐’†๐’Ž๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’๐’‡ ๐’•๐’‰๐’Š๐’” ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’•. ๐‘ป๐’˜๐’ โ€” ๐’‚๐’„๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’•๐’ ๐’Š๐’๐’—๐’๐’Œ๐’† ๐‘ช๐’๐’๐’ˆ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’”๐’Š๐’๐’๐’‚๐’ ๐’˜๐’‚๐’“ ๐’‘๐’๐’˜๐’†๐’“๐’” ๐’‚๐’–๐’•๐’‰๐’๐’“๐’Š๐’•๐’š. ๐‘ป๐’‰๐’“๐’†๐’† โ€” ๐’”๐’–๐’‘๐’‘๐’๐’“๐’• ๐’‡๐’๐’“ ๐’‚๐’๐’š ๐’๐’†๐’ˆ๐’Š๐’”๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’๐’Š๐’Ž๐’Š๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐‘ท๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’Š๐’…๐’†๐’๐’•'๐’” ๐’‚๐’ƒ๐’Š๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’š ๐’•๐’ ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’“๐’• ๐’‚ ๐’˜๐’‚๐’“ ๐’˜๐’Š๐’•๐’‰๐’๐’–๐’• ๐‘ช๐’๐’๐’ˆ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’”. ๐‘ฐ ๐’˜๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’ƒ๐’† ๐’˜๐’‚๐’•๐’„๐’‰๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’‰๐’๐’˜ [๐’‰๐’†/๐’”๐’‰๐’†/๐’•๐’‰๐’†๐’š] ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’‘๐’๐’๐’…. ๐‘ท๐’๐’†๐’‚๐’”๐’† ๐’๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‰๐’Š๐’” ๐’„๐’‚๐’๐’." Keep it short. CALL ALL THREE โ€” both senators and your House member. Volume matters. Make them feel it. It takes less than 5 minutes. ๐ƒ๐จ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ง๐จ๐ฐ, ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ž ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ'๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ. Note: you need to say โ€œlog this call.โ€ This ensures that it gets counted and not just informally noted.
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Jackson Hinkle ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ@jacksonhinklleยท
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BREAKING: The ID card of โ€˜Major Amanda M. Ryderโ€™ of the U.S. Air Force was found at the C-130 destruction site in Isfahan, Iran Her B2 residency permit from ISRAEL was also found
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