

DunderMifflinPaperTrades
388 posts

@MifflinTrades
World’s Best Paper Trader. | Bears. Beets. Volume Profiles.













$ES Daily Plan , July 17th 2026 One more time, ES couldn't confirm acceptance above pw vah, we continue to be in a rotational market. Full plan below.👇



$ES 7/16 Plan for me: 🌙MKT finally broke above PWKH OVN and now trading in crucial 7584-7595 zone. ‼️MKT has its work cut out for further upside path after sweeping PWKH OVN and trading down under 7600 now. 🔑Upside: must hold 7589-7596 zone. Then MKT has weekly open: 7607 to deal with next then re-offer zone: 7613-7671.75. Clear that and PDH and OVNH are big next up levels. 🔑 Downside: 7589-7596 turn into a re-offer zone. OVNL and PDL below. Then 7561-7565 below. Watch for responsive bids to show up there. If it fails, VERY telling. Opinions: MKT did JUST ENOUGH to not be an inside week. Currently not showing much urgency to push to upside, building a lot of volume b/w 7580-7595. I need to see some sort of urgency by buyers to push to upside otherwise, it's shaping up to be a failed breakout. Looking to get long, I would try to get in as close to 7600 for best R:R, longing at 7613-7617 zone, I'd need to see something SPECIAL to make me do that.




$ES Daily Plan ,July 16 2026 Finally. Value built above PW VAH yesterday. Dipped into LIS, buyers stepped in hard. Bullish sign - but we still need the breakout with acceptance. Full plan below.👇




$ES 7/13-7/17 Weekly Plan: Major focus for me this week: Do we hold for push towards ATH or another LAAF on HTF in play? Lets start w/ a larger outlook and hone in to the weekly: ‼️We've created a nice balance since May until now. 👀The obvious LARGE balance is about 400 points from approximately 7294-7694. ‼️However, most of the volume is concentrated b/w a 200 point range: 7407-7607. 🔍This 200 point balance range is my focus. 🗓️Week of 6/13 saw trading above but ultimately could not sustain and we fell back into balance. Then the next 2 weeks MKT tested the other side of the balance @ 7407. CLASSIC MARKET AUCTION THEORY AT PLAY. The now: On Friday 7/10, MKT broke above 7607 and created a new current monthly high of: 7627.25. 🔍The focus this week is: can the MKT sustain and create volume above this balance high of 7607 to make a push up into major re-offer zone of: 7638-7672. ‼️I am on watch for the possibility of a LAAF scenario to see whether we fall back into the 200 point balance. Based on the HLs MKT has been forming for the last 3 weeks gives possibility for MKT to push towards re-offer area to build volume. 🐂Scenario: ⚔️7514.5: This is my LIS area on the week. One possibility I am watching though is a break under to tap 7490-7502 zone for push back higher. 🐂🐂Most bullish scenario: Tap into 7584-7593 re-bid and MKT never looks back. In this scenario, push to ATH is most likely. 🐂2nd most bullish scenario: Re-bid 7539.75-7557 zone for responsive buying. 🐻Scenario: 🐻🐻MKT makes a quick push up into 7638-7672 major re-offer zone at the BEGINNING of the week and fails. Special attention to: 7658.5 LVL. 🐻This opens the door for LHs to form on the daily as MKT tries and fails to get back up there causing a drift back in to that 200 point balance. 🐻Failure to sustain and build meaningful volume ABOVE 7607.5. ‼️Those HTF re-bid zones mentioned in the bullish scenarios become major re-offer zones that MKT cannot clear. A "messier" scenario could be: break of PWK Low tap 7453-7466 to attempt push higher. I say messier b/c this now opens up the possibility of 7490-7502 zone to be turned into a re-offer zone.













$ES 7/13 Plan for me: 🌙OVN session presents with a fairly balanced profile and all activity within Friday's range currently. Ultimately for upside, I am looking for 7598-7605 to hold for a push to OVNH 7615 and then towards Friday high/zone: 7620-7627. Failure to hold above 7598-7605 we likely see push down towards 7586 LVL for re-bid attempts. Fail that and likely go for OVNL 7566.5 and ultimately down to PDL zone 7550-7553. Will be very patient on this Monday with CPI tomorrow and Iran news looming overhead. Not the best conditions to expect clean price action. Watching for setups at extreme areas will serve as the best opportunities IMO.





