Mike Vogler
712 posts
Me to my gf when I turned $1,000 to $1,050 daytrading on Friday:
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Ok hear me out here. With an open mind.
Here it goes.
$DIS remakes all their movies. But with a twist: all the bad guys win.
Dark. Sinister. Borderline horror ish. Slap a R rating on it.
Would certainly be a niche. But I would watch it ngl.
Why don't more movies do that where bad guys win?!
K, going back to sleep.
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$META and $MSFT down a combined $335B in market cap today.
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@wliang Is $IREN likely to move in tandem with $MSFT and $NVDA?
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We all know that fundamentals will tell us what to buy, and technicals can tell us when to buy it.
As mentioned yesterday, $SLNH has the best asymmetric risk/reward at this price, relative to $IREN $CIFR $APLD and others.
Technicals are starting to line up as well... Solid reversal off the gold zone yesterday. Wouldn't be surprised if Blue Diamonds (entry confirmation) start to pop up - as soon as today.
As usual, I'll share them as they appear.
Wayne Liang@wliang
Depending on your approach and what timeline you're looking at... $IREN is the most de-risked with energized megawatts, $MSFT deal, and $NVDA preferred partner. $IREN is already executing. Note that the execution is largely priced in after a 750%+ rally. $SLNH is sitting at a fraction of the valuation with the exact same tailwind (early/developmental stage ofc). In terms of asymmetric risk/reward, Soluna wins. $APLD comes in second after $SLNH (in regards to risk/reward). $CIFR is right in the middle. Just depends on whether you want the safest option or the largest potential return, or somewhere in between. Hard to go wrong with any of those.
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If Mag 7 capex guidance comes in strong tonight, that's extremely bullish for $IREN, $CIFR, and the entire sector. These hyperscalers need somewhere to put all that compute... where do you think they'll get their power from?
Could see a reversal off the gold zone here.
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when the day to buy comes, you WILL hesitate.
this was my biggest issue in the first 3 years of trading. never pulling the trigger when my planned levels hit.
then chasing the stock higher a week later.
With time you realize being right isn't the game.
You have a process. when it tells you to place the trade, you do it.
Operate like a robot with zero attachment to money and complete duty to the plan.
sounds simple but it's in the top 3 issues every trader faces.
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Once a week I swear to God, I see the ageless rent vs. own debate on X's newsfeed.
And you know what?!
There is no right or wrong answer!
There's some many factors and variables that there shouldn't be an absolute/binary answer to this question.
I would just say this, to each their own. On the surface level, yes there's pros and cons to both. And of course a whoever you debate this with will be bias depending if they are a renter or owner. So the responses are almost always skewed anyways.
Anyways, personally, I've rented before and currently own. And I can say I understand BOTH sides. There.
Amy Nixon@texasrunnerDFW
If you buy a $650,000 house with a 30 year mortgage and put 10% down, by 2056 you will have paid $719,000 in interest to finally own the home outright
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@TheProfInvestor Your account is fantastic and I wish I would’ve found it sooner. Thank you for everything that you post and share with us 🙏
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Not going to overthink this one - 100K of you are here and that's wild to me.
When I started posting about stocks I was just sharing what I was already doing - reading charts, watching the market, giving my professional take during different market conditions.
Just want to say thank you. You didn't have to follow, you didn't have to engage, but you did - and it genuinely keeps me motivated to keep posting.
Nothing's changing around here. Same honest takes, same market breakdowns, same energy. No fluff.
Appreciate every single one of you. 🤝
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Leave with this -->humble feet, grateful wings. Meaning: stay grounded and let gratitude lift you higher.
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@Thrackx First discovered you back when the pandemic started. I learned so much from you, but I haven’t traded much lately as I haven’t been able to give my full attention to it. You helped me make some nice money back then. I hope all is well with you!
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@Mr_Derivatives list of things that will be said:
“arms and legs blown off”
“to the likes of which have never been seen”
“all their leaders are dead”
“we won”
“Cuba is next”
“100 percent tariffs for Nato countries that didn’t help”
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Alright ladies and gents:
Whip out the 🍿 and 🥤.
6pm pst, 9pm est.
Gonna be 💣.
Wait, wrong emoji. Too soon.
Gonna be 🔥.
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Tomorrow is a brand new month.
How will $SPX close tomorrow on April Fool’s Day?
PS: If flat, just comment flat.
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This 6 minute vid by Amit and Josh Brown is worth every single 360 seconds of your life.
Watch.
Basis Points@basispointpod
Josh Brown on dealing with other people's opinions: "Well, they can kiss my a**. Everyone gets things wrong. You need to care enough to be able to put your ideas out there."
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Off topic:
One of the things I love about X and Finwit especially is that we all share a common love. The stock market.
But like anything in life, there will be disagreements and opposing viewpoints and opinions. And quite often I might add.
And you know what?!
I welcome it. The market wouldn't be a market if there wasn't two sides to every coin.
If done constructively by the two or more parties, it is a beautiful thing to witness. The ideas and wisdom and perhaps the missing puzzle piece you absorb simply by opening yourself up for discussion will only make you a better investor/trader.
Stay opinionated. But respectfully. A little fun eggplant emoji once in a blue moon to add some spice doesn't hurt either...
That is the way.
🍆
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@amitisinvesting So we've won the war but the Strait of Hormuz isn't open?
We have the best military in the world but we need help from allies to make the Strait of Hormuz safe?
It's a simple military maneuver but we can't do it by ourselves?
How many contradictions can one man have?
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Leave with this--> Before you speak, especially if might be harsh, dial back the edge a little. Think first of all the options. We are all capable of being sharp without cutting people. Better to feel warmth than a stab.
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@Mr_Derivatives Thank you for sharing this. I’ve always wanted to know how you trade. The information you provide to us on X is accurate so many more times than it’s not. I’m glad I found your account and I enjoy being a subscriber 🙏
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90% of my trades are done longing or shorting common shares and writing options (CSP’s, Naked calls, PCS’s, and CCS’s). And typically the expirations are no greater than a week or two or three at most.
I just like writing options. It’s a bit less stressful than buying straight up calls and puts for me.
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I am running a 73% win / 27% loss rate so far for 2026. I was higher this time last year. I have allowed myself to be in some trades during this chop chop time and I am getting hit on some. I am getting what I deserve. Best is patience and slow the trading.
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