Mik

16 posts

Mik

Mik

@MikeyHike

Here for free equity research.

City of London, London Katılım Mart 2021
87 Takip Edilen12 Takipçiler
Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
Please read this @mtpennycook
Vicky Spratt@Victoria_Spratt

EXCLUSIVE from me @theipaper - Labour's leasehold reform could be watered down due to Treasury nervousness So, why does it matter? This is about whether or not to cap ground rents It affects nearly 5 million leasehold homeowners And the housing market in a BIG way

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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@puppyeh1 @bowtiedstocks A shameless grab for headlines, declared right in the middle of a trading day for maximum press; a profound disrespect for the capital markets.
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Jeremy Raper
Jeremy Raper@puppyeh1·
he is just flat out wrong on this. not about orthodoxy/unorthodoxy. the courts and capital markets (TP) offered a direct and full remedy to the supposed concern; and it was ignored. there was and is zero national interest issue w/ Salisbury, especially after its continual operation in any outcome here, was guaranteed. this is just wilful ignorance and or stupidity - orthodox or not.
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres @Comlbr24 It’s either negligence or dodgy politics, but that gives Cosette greater flexibility to drop it by just not answering the question.
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Fabre
Fabre@fabreres·
$MYX.AX: No sugarcoating it: Jim Chalmers and FIRB are shockingly incompetent if they permit Cosette to escape their obligations under the SID. What an absolutely shambolic update from FIRB. I just can’t think MYX walks away from this without /1
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres @Comlbr24 They are waiting for Cosette to confirm they would shut the plant (which they will confirm). Then the scheme gets blocked and mayne have the options to sue Cosette for not pursuing best efforts to close.
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Fabre
Fabre@fabreres·
@Comlbr24 It is odd that they haven’t just blocked the scheme.
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres Insane, can any company can threaten to shut down all Australian operations to escape an acquisition they've gotten cold feet about?
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Fabre
Fabre@fabreres·
endeavours means nothing, and if Cosette or another party can use FIRB as an MAC alternative, then they will have humiliated the Australian legal system. We’ll see. 3/3
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@SloppyDave How the stock is almost back to pre-judgement price makes no sense
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boy oh boy Capital
boy oh boy Capital@SloppyDave·
$MYX.AX Mayne Pharma: Market is getting cold feet now from the remaining obstacle of last minute intervention by obscure foreign investment government entities. This reminds me of Musk/Twitter case, when CFIUS entered the scene after Musk already wanting to close, because some politicians asked them to block/review. It was a nothingburger back then and I think it is a nothingburger here as well. A good opp for arbs to load up some more shares for less imho.
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres Cosette is unlikely to reject reasonable conditions to close given the potential for more legal costs; a minor recut would make more sense.
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres By waiting, FIRB is allowing the court to firmly cement the buyer's obligation to acquire the company, making Cosette's subsequent rejection of "reasonable" conditions much harder to defend in any renewed litigation.
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Fabre
Fabre@fabreres·
$MYX.AX: Part I of a thread considering grounds for appeal. I’ll summarise the judgement sequentially with [paras.]. Again, this is only to kick the tyres on my own rationale; you’d all be forgiven for ignoring what follows as academic / not relevant /1
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@kingdomcapadv How much did Acosta & musk sell for?
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Kingdom Capital
Kingdom Capital@kingdomcapadv·
On $NLOP, currently marketed/under contract: KBR $75m+ Google 40m+ JPM Dallas 35m+ PPD 35m+ JPM Tampa: $10+ Redevelopments (BCBS, Bankers, ICU, Master Lock, Arcfield, APCO) $70m+ Acosta, MISO both sold for small gain over mortgage per CoStar
Kingdom Capital@kingdomcapadv

@Qui_Bono1776 Adding up what’s on the market I’m over $300m of value

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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres Appreciate your work king 🫡
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@fabreres Is this good or bad?
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Mik
Mik@MikeyHike·
@afneil Please run as a politician, I have no doubt you would be very successful and make the country a better place
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Andrew Neil
Andrew Neil@afneil·
Now, as promised, on to per capita GDP. This is a more complicated calculation for various technical reasons. But however you cut it, nearly all estimates suggest UK per capita GDP between 2008 (Year of the Crash) and 2025 grew barely at all — at most 5% over 17 years, and perhaps by only 0%. For most of that long period UK per capita GDP has hovered between £37,500 and £38,500 in real terms. A remarkably poor performance, unprecedented in modern times. The reasons are complex: the long tail of the Crash on an economy over-dependent on financial services, mass migration, which boosted GDP but not per capita GDP, low productivity (esp in the public sector but also because cheap labour used rather than capital investment). Stagnant per capita GDP, however, is of huge political as well as economic significance. It explains widespread disillusion with Labour and Tories, a general sense nothing works in Britain, that things are not getting better for most people, Brexit (a protest against status quo) and even the rise of Reform (an anti-Tory/Labour vote).
Andrew Neil@afneil

Recent UK economic history being rewritten to suit current political agendas. So let’s set out some facts. Britain’s real GDP grew by 18.7% from the end of 2010 (Q4 2010) to the end of 2019 (Q4 2019). In other words the UK economy grew by almost a fifth in real terms in the 2010-2020 decade, despite the shock of the Great Crash and Brexit and dysfunctional Tory governments. That somewhat undermines the widely promoted myth of a stagnant decade. From the start of 2020 (Q1 2020) to the start of 2025 (Q1 2025), real GDP grew by 7.0%. So in the past five years the economy has grown markedly more slowly than previous decade. Covid obviously took its toll, including anaemic bounce back from the pandemic doldrums of 2020/21. Brexit uncertainty too. Plus endless Tory shenanigans hardly encouraged confidence. Even so — and despite all that — the UK economy still 7% bigger now than at start of decade. I know, I know. Per capita GDP growth rate less impressive. That’s partly a consequence of mass immigration and low productivity. The purpose of this post is to counter the widespread perception that the UK has endured a decade and a half of stagnation in GDP growth. It hasn’t.

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