Bitcoin's terminal price model, based on historical data, shows a cycle ceiling of $317,237. Current price is $80,526, with a 74.6% gap to that ceiling. Position in the corridor is 0.25, nearer to the floor of $39,143
Bitcoin is at $80,976, a 35.8% drop from its all-time high of $126,080 set in October 2025. A 55.7% climb is needed to recover. Past cycles saw drawdowns of 77-93%. This pullback is notably milder so far
The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index moved from 49 (Neutral) to 42 (Fear) in 24 hours, indicating a shift in market sentiment. A week ago, it was at 47 (Neutral).
Next week's macro calendar is packed with 9 high-impact events. The market's focus is on CPI m/m, expected at 0.6% compared to last month's 0.9%. A notable shift, especially with yearly CPI projected to rise from 3.3% to 3.7%. Eyes are locked on inflation data.
24-hour crypto snapshot. LUNC surges 11.7%, UNI climbs 11.6%, while SIREN drops 8.8% and WLFI falls 6.7%. BTC and ETH barely move at 0.6% and 0.5%. Some coins race ahead as others stumble.
Bitcoin sits at $80,897, a 36% drop from its all-time high of $126,080 in October 2025. It needs a 56.3% rally to recover. Past cycles saw drawdowns of 77-93%. This pullback is notably mild by historical standards.
Bitcoin Fear & Greed jumps from 38 to 47 in a day. Neutral now, after a week of jitters. Is the market finally shaking off the dread, or just catching its breath before the next storm? The numbers don’t lie, but they don’t predict either. What’s your read?