Sabitlenmiş Tweet
MORRIS DOUEK
393 posts
Coffee has had 9 lives in the 275-280.Commitment of traders and sentiment for coffee way too bullish considering technical position of coffee and dismal arabica exports ex Brazil.
English
Is managed money going to react to lower coffee prices (monthly chart,25 month exponential moving average). On October 11 , 2022 Managed Money was long 33m contracts by Nov 29 they were short 25m contracts. Today Managed Money is long 30m contracts
English
Year To date March 2026 coffee comparison same period March 2015 coffee. The breakdown in 2014/2015 was followed by a nasty decline.
English
Pic 1 Year to date monthly chart of coffee. Pic 2 monthly chart of coffee top 2022. Pic3 monthly chart of coffee top 2014. Pic4 monthly chart of Cocoa top.
English
The 21/22 bull mkt not shown 330 days.From the 260 breakout in September 24 to the first top 180 days. To the double top last month 450 days. The coffee bull market is long in the tooth.
English
Brazil coffee begins to lose it’s importance on the world coffee market as the harvest of 36.5 mln bags of Arabica and 38 mln bags of Robusta becomes available from other origins.
English
Historically one of the driest Octobers on record and the second image is the percentage anomaly for the last 90 days
English
Nov11 2019 these poor conditions produced the largest Arabica crop ever The bullish case rests on demand destruction required this year to balance S/D
English
October looking for 3.886 mln bags Arabica exports to match year ago!
English
Brazil Arabica exports first 3 months
7.215 mln bags year ago 8.34 mln No Arabica producer is making up the shortfall.World Wide exports are maintaining levels from a year ago due to increased Robusta exports.
English
Araguari Cerrado first rains September 19-22 major flowering. Dry Lands and even irrigated will suffer with these temps. Follow up rains hoped for mid month not ideal.
English
@"To The 1,026 Coffee Professionals In My Network: I See You"linkedin.com/pulse/1026-cof… on @LinkedIn
English
