Mr Benz

2.8K posts

Mr Benz

Mr Benz

@MrBenz48

CURRENT AFFAIRS - CAPITALIST - JUSTICE LEAGUE

Katılım Haziran 2020
1.1K Takip Edilen111 Takipçiler
Orlando Curioso
Orlando Curioso@Orlando71156528·
El primer ministro de Qatar, le exige a israel y a EEUU, parar la guerra de inmediato, pues el pueblo katari siente más afinidad con Irán qué con ellos 2. Duro pronunciamiento.
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@SuzieWo20886208 Iran is hitting neighboring countries hosting U.S. assets instead of going straight at Israel or the U.S. directly—same logic.
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@Scaramucci @grok How does this strengthen U.S. leverage or positioning in its conflict with Iran—economically, militarily, and geopolitically?
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Anthony Scaramucci
Anthony Scaramucci@Scaramucci·
Let me get this straight: We attack Iranian oil facilities to hurt the regime, then we unsanction Iranian oil in hopes they sell it to our allies, so that we can continue to bomb the regime. It's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see how it pays off for 'em.
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47

.@SecScottBessent: In the coming days, we may unsanction the Iranian oil that's on the water. It's about 140 million barrels, so depending how you count it, that's 10 days to 2 weeks of supply, that the Iranians had been pushing out, that would have all gone to China. In essence, we'd be using the Iranian barrels against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days, as we continue this campaign. So, we have lots of levers.

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Insider Paper
Insider Paper@TheInsiderPaper·
BREAKING: UK, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan issue a joint statement expressing their “readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts” to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, while welcoming countries undertaking preparations, coordinating strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) releases, and exploring ways to boost output.
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Mollusk
Mollusk@Escargot4U·
@DividendLiberty @MrBenz48 @grok @EricLDaugh Math doesn’t check out. Iranians selling oil destined for China to some random buyer and cutting out their most important ally makes zero sense. So it’s unlikely this oil goes anywhere else but China for the agreed upon rate.
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Eric Daugherty
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh·
🚨 WOW! Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent just announced plans to use Iran's own oil AGAINST THEM The strategy: un-sanction 140 million Iranian barrels already on the water, and UNLEASH 10-14 days of supply "We'd be using the Iranian barrels AGAINST the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days, as we continue this campaign. So, we have lots of levers!" @RapidResponse47 Trump's all-star team is unmatched.
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@grok @krystalball @grok Explain this in plain English, step by step, for someone with no background knowledge.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Krystal's take: Hegseth lies—Trump ditched functional JCPOA; Iran offered big concessions in recent Oman talks; US used diplomacy as cover to strike/kill Khamenei (who fatwa'd nukes forbidden); now Iran far likelier to weaponize. Core facts check out: JCPOA capped enrichment (IAEA-verified compliance pre-2018 exit); Feb 2026 proposals included 3.67% limit, no high-stockpile, full IAEA access for sanctions relief (Oman called "breakthrough"); strikes Feb 28 hit amid talks, killed Khamenei; 2003 fatwa (oral, repeated) bans WMD production/use. Where it strains: JCPOA allowed eventual ramp-up + skipped missiles/proxies ("working" debated). Concessions stopped short of US "zero enrichment forever." No clear "ruse"—talks stalled on irreconcilable demands. Fatwa revocable via regime "expediency." Pre-strike breakout: days/weeks (60% stockpile). Strikes damaged sites—extends timeline, targets threat directly despite escalation risk.
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Krystal Ball
Krystal Ball@krystalball·
What a lying sack of shit. The first Trump admin ripped up a nuclear deal that was working. The Iranians had offered extraordinary concessions in the latest round of negotiations before we used the ruse of diplomacy to attack their country and murder their leader. And btw that leader was the guy who had issued a religious decree AGAINST nuclear weapons. The truth is Iran is FAR MORE likely to pursue nukes now because of the actions of Trump, Hegseth and this entire band of war criminals.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar

Hegseth: "My 13 year old son popped into my office last night while I was editing these remarks. He asked about the war and the families I met at Dover. I looked at him and said, 'They died for you, son. So your generation doesn't have to deal with a nuclear Iran.'"

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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@krystalball It’s the same dynamic, just different packaging. Iran uses ideology and religious framing, the U.S. uses legal and institutional language—both systems shaping perception and behavior at scale.
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@grok @EricLDaugh @grok Analyze how this benefits the U.S. strategically in its ongoing conflict with Iran.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The barrels belong to Iran's state-owned National Iranian Oil Co (NIOC). Once the US Treasury waiver lifts sanctions, buyers (mostly Chinese independent refiners, who take ~90% of Iran's exports) take delivery and pay NIOC or its agents. The money flows straight into Iran's foreign reserves/central bank accounts, funding the government budget (subsidies, military, etc.). It's a one-time cash infusion for these ~140M barrels. Currency: Primarily Chinese yuan (RMB) via direct bilateral swaps with China. Some euros or other non-USD for smaller buyers. Iran has avoided USD pricing/settlement for years to dodge sanctions—even with this temporary waiver, they stick to alternatives. This dumps extra supply, crashing near-term prices and slashing Iran's long-term oil revenue far more than these sales add.
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@grok @EricLDaugh @grok Ilan selling these barrels at sea where do the money go and in which currency is it being traded ?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The mechanics: Those 140M barrels of Iranian crude are already loaded on tankers ("on the water") but sanctioned—buyers risk US penalties for taking delivery. Treasury issues a targeted waiver/unsanction, letting them trade freely. This floods the market with extra supply, dropping prices via supply-demand (aimed at 10-14 days' worth in the disrupted context). Against Iran: It undercuts their revenue from future sales (oil = ~80% of exports), limits war funding, and counters any supply-squeeze tactic they're using in the conflict—while keeping global prices stable to sustain the campaign. Iran's immediate cash from these barrels is offset by the broader price crash hurting their economy long-term.
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Rapid Response 47
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47·
.@SecScottBessent: In the coming days, we may unsanction the Iranian oil that's on the water. It's about 140 million barrels, so depending how you count it, that's 10 days to 2 weeks of supply, that the Iranians had been pushing out, that would have all gone to China. In essence, we'd be using the Iranian barrels against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days, as we continue this campaign. So, we have lots of levers.
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@RapidResponse47 @SecScottBessent @grok Analyze the mechanics of lifting sanctions on Iranian oil already in transit. How are payments handled, who controls the transaction, and what actually changes when sanctions are lifted?
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El Che 🇨🇺 🚩
El Che 🇨🇺 🚩@ElChe_Cuba·
Confirmado Los petroleros rusos Anatoly Kolodkin y Sea Horse navegan hacia Cuba llegando el 23/3, el primero lleva una carga de 730.000 barriles de diésel (prioridad generadores de Hospitales) Escoltó hasta Francia una fragata, con seguridad en el Atlántico le toca a un 🤿 🥁
El Che 🇨🇺 🚩 tweet media
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Mr Benz
Mr Benz@MrBenz48·
@MichaelARothman @grok Who benefits if the Strait of Hormuz closes? Who gets hit—and what are the second-order effects?
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M.A. Rothman
M.A. Rothman@MichaelARothman·
𝗙𝗥𝗔𝗡𝗖𝗘 𝗦𝗔𝗬𝗦 𝗡𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗥. 𝗘𝗨𝗥𝗢𝗣𝗘 𝗪𝗜𝗟𝗟 𝗥𝗘𝗠𝗘𝗠𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦. Emmanuel Macron just announced that France will 𝗻𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿 participate in operations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Not "not yet." Not "we need more information." 𝗡𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗥. One fifth of the world's oil passes through that strait. French companies buy that oil. French citizens pay the energy prices that result when Iran chokes it off. French factories run on fuel that moves through those waters. France is not a spectator in the global energy economy — it is a direct beneficiary of the freedom of navigation that the United States Navy has guaranteed for decades while France spent that time lecturing America about militarism. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘧𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘵. That's Macron's escape hatch. The same escape hatch Bolton warned about weeks ago when Kaja Kallas said Iran is not our war. Hanson has said it. Bolton has said it. We've said it on this page: when Europe declares that Middle East conflicts are not their war, they hand Trump the exact language to say Ukraine is not our war. They cannot spend 30 years demanding American security guarantees for Europe, refusing to meet NATO spending commitments, and then announce they are neutral observers when the waterway that powers their economy needs defending. France has the fourth largest navy in the world. They have nuclear-powered aircraft carriers. They have power projection capability throughout the Mediterranean and beyond. And Macron just said — with the word never — that none of it will be used to protect the global energy supply that France depends on every single day. This isn't neutrality. It's freeloading dressed up as principle. And Trump should remember every word of it the next time Europe comes asking for American commitment to their security. The Strait of Hormuz is not France's war. Ukraine is not America's war. Macron opened that door. He doesn't get to complain about who walks through it.
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Lauren Witzke
Lauren Witzke@LaurenWitzkeDE·
@RapidResponse47 @Selkis_2028 So.. Trump just confirmed everything Joe Kent said. Israel has gone rogue and is escalating and manipulating Trump into an escalated war with Iran.
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