

RC
3.8K posts

@MuddyRC
Top 0.1% Polymarket trader | Building trading products | Crypto & DeFi OG






LATEST: 💰 A new VC fund called 5c(c) Capital is raising up to $35 million to invest in prediction market startups, with backing from the CEOs of Kalshi and Polymarket, according to Fortune.


OpenSea postponed their TGE indefinitely, citing market conditions. The probability in the "SEA token launch by the end of 2026" market was 28%, yet the "OpenSea FDV 100M NO" shares were trading at only 10%. Here’s the secret: both markets share the same resolution rules. If the token doesn't launch by year-end, both resolve as "NO". Buying "NO" for the "100M FDV" market at 10% was a gift. By spotting that the valuation market was mispriced relative to the launch reality, I secured a quick $400.