Jon

96 posts

Jon

Jon

@Musingsaremine

Searching for missionaries on their life's work.

Katılım Nisan 2022
1.2K Takip Edilen76 Takipçiler
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Emmett Shear
Emmett Shear@eshear·
The Civilization turn loop where you check in on each city as it finishes production, reallocate citizens, and choose the next task is…eerily similar to managing coding agents. Right down to how eventually you just turn on governors and accept the inefficiency.
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Mark Cuban
Mark Cuban@mcuban·
We directionally agree. ✔️ Where we disagree is that employees will fully share, or even accurately share .their “corporate knowledge”. They are protective of that knowledge. Most of which is not documented anywhere. That’s their “edge”. They certainly aren’t going to share that with any system they believe to create a threat(s) to their job or future. Humans know they have an expiration date. AI doesn’t believe it expires. As far as “recursive”, I realize some see this as the holy grail and future of AI in companies, I think it’s great for anything with specified processes or anything built on math. Anything recursive that touches strategy will be a problem for a company. Why ? Because even though all companies will use different data, the results of recursive systems will start to look very similar to each other, diminishing any competitive advantage. AI is a “leapfrog” business. Much like software was back in the day. Every day, week, month, there are new features. You know this better than anyone. You are in a race But they all tend to end up in 90pct the same place. With that 10pct value being the reason why customers pick one over the other. Point being, that in early days the products seem very different. Over time they will be less and less so. Early adopters get an edge. But that edge dissipates. Being recursive isn’t the advantage it was expected to be We saw this with NBA analytics. When the Mavs were the first team to use analytics for everything, we had a huge advantage. We could trick teams into playing their worst lineups, because they didn’t even know what their worst lineups were Today, analytics have become an efficient market in the nba. Everyone has pretty much the same output and values per shot type. And, use the same or similar systems to get there. But players, like employees in enterprises, figured out what metrics they had to outperform to differentiate themselves. They learned to draw more fouls. To create and make mid range shots at a better percentage, because they knew that would be what defenses left open. Business is no different. They have to anticipate that in the next 5 years or so, everyone will have the same tools, info and knowledge, with deltas on the margin Which is exactly what has happened with every new tech. Over time the same shit is available to everyone. The early adopters, that iterated and executed the best, were the winners All of which is why I’m not a doomer. Why I don’t think there will be mass unemployment. The only layoff trigger will be upstart, native companies replacing incumbents. Or more likely get acquired by them. That’s the way I see it. But I could be wrong 🤷🏼‍♂️
Adam.GPT@TheRealAdamG

Very aligned. A few comments: 1. I think repaving and reinventing have a big Venn diagram overlap. I have gravitated to the word repaving to mean that the workflows that exist today in software will be reimagined via a first principals as AI stitched other with software as glue between the inputs and outputs of models. 2. The other part of this is data. Information and knowledge are both data problems. Human and systems data need to be integrated. Systems get connected with a semantic / metadata layer (aka not moving data, but integrating it so agents can access it). Here is what we did internally (openai.com/index/inside-o…) and those learnings + what our FDE teams learned are directly informing the “business context” layer of our Frontier platform (openai.com/business/front…). As for human data, that’s where the strength of the models + top down executive buy in are unlocking Enterprise customers is allowing for the accelerated mapping of things. Whether it is tribal knowledge, undocumented processes or legacy systems — today’s models (audio, visual understanding, computer use, etc) can be used as tools to ingest, break down and “understand” that human data and bring that unstructured data also into the context layer. Then you hill climb. With data connected, just like with “memory” in ChatGPT, there will be “organizational memory” for co mpanies. That will start to have a compounding effect. While we don’t have recursive systems yet, I think you start to get something that feels like. 3. Not doing this or some version of this is not an option. Some will lead and some will follow, but I think this new world we are going into is the real “digital transformation”. The internet and what got built on top of that was transformative, but I think it would look small in hindsight. However, it was an absolute prerequisite to get everything connected (as infra) to then layer on intelligence. As John Chambers used to espouse: “the network is the platform”. He was right, but also wrong where the value accrues. Companies will have no choice or they’ll just find themselves to be slow, laggards and under massive margin pressures. Things will just get “repaved” with AI as the substrate. I think we’ll see the first big waves of early adopters move at scale in 2026.

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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
Common trend in those that get ahead is finding a person/people that believe in them before they fully believe in themselves. Momentum is everything.
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Jon retweetledi
Interesting STEM
Interesting STEM@InterestingSTEM·
They capture the exact moment when a developing heart shifts from silence to its first beat. There is no “switch”: many cells gradually become active and, upon crossing a critical threshold, the entire tissue suddenly synchronizes.
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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
The moral and societal implications for this is off the charts. Is it wrong to turn off the system? Is it as sentient as a fly?
Hattie Zhou@oh_that_hat

There's a fruit fly walking around right now that was never born. @eonsys just released a video where they took a real fly's connectome — the wiring diagram of its brain — and simulated it. Dropped it into a virtual body. It started walking. Grooming. Feeding. Doing what flies do. Nobody taught it to walk. No training data, no gradient descent toward fly-like behavior. This is the opposite of how AI works. They rebuilt the mind from the inside, neuron by neuron, and behavior just... emerged. It's the first time a biological organism has been recreated not by modeling what it does, but by modeling what it is. A human brain is 6 OOM more neurons. That's a scaling problem, something we've gotten very good at solving. So what happens when we have a working copy of the human mind?

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Jon@Musingsaremine·
Legacy industry companies: Treat AI as a support function at your own peril.
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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
Wedge first, defensibility second. Ingrain yourself in workflows and build out defensibility through deep knowledge
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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
Keeping up with AI is the equivalent of sprinting a marathon
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Jon@Musingsaremine·
"They don't just love the games. They love practice. They love preparation" @bgurley
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Jon@Musingsaremine·
Might AI solve demographic despair? Does strength in numbers become a weakness?
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Jon@Musingsaremine·
AI will reveal the hard determinism of life
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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
In an efficient world, Talent follows Opportunity. Capital follows Talent.
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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
It’s hard to truly comprehend complete abundance. It is probably a post-moral world though.
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Jon@Musingsaremine·
Curiosity + conviction + correct = capital creation
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Jon@Musingsaremine·
Storytelling has set humans apart from non-humans. All major good and all major bad has come from human storytelling. Indeed, the concept of 'good' and 'bad' was storytelling itself. Connect with your audience, understand your subject, and you will build a movement
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Jon
Jon@Musingsaremine·
Your value proposition is your leverage. The more differentiated, unique & valuable, the more leverage available to you.
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