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0DTE
@N0DTE
Predict crypto’s next move. One click. Five minute leverage trades.
Katılım Ağustos 2025
67 Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler

Prediction markets keep extending the lead over memes.
Polymarket, Opinion, Myriad & Limitless did nearly 4x the volume of top 5 trading bots last week ($2.2B vs $578M) and had 2x the users (294K vs 132K).


Adam@Adam_Tehc
It's with a heavy heart I have to admit defeat on prediction markets. Polymarket alone had 251,000 active addresses last week and did $1.1B in volume. Meanwhile, trading bots on Solana did $946M volume with top 5 bots having 139,000 users combined.
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Prediction markets are one of the easiest ways to become a better trader.
Not because they’re “efficient,” but because they let you test mental models in domains where your intuition is actually strong, without all the CT noise.
Here's an example: I watch a lot of movies and keep up with film culture. I probably have a tighter gap between what I THINK I know and what I ACTUALLY know in film than I do in most shitcoins.
So when Polymarket listed a market for “Highest U.S. Box Office of 2024,” I took Minecraft at 15 cents.
Wicked 2 was 55 cents.
Zootopia 2 was 30 cents.
Was I certain Minecraft would win? No. But it looked mispriced.
- Minecraft had already locked in $420m domestic.
- Wicked 2 only has ~30 days to catch up, and the highest-grossing movies of the year almost always come from summer, not late-year releases.
- Zootopia 2 (another family movie) releases the same weekend and would split demand.
- Anecdotally, I know Wicked 2 has less recognizable music and a weaker story than the first movie.
- Wicked Part 1 only did ~$450m. Tight margin with Minecraft.
So even if I was only 40-60% confident Minecraft was actually going to be the highest-grossing movie, at 15 cents, it was obviously mispriced. The risk-reward was too good. Size the position, express the view, let the math carry it.
Crypto makes position sizing hard because flows overpower fundamentals. Prediction markets are helpful in tuning your intuition, defining confidence intervals, and practicing making probabilistic bets without the noise.
This is how you build real trading instincts.
@tulipking mode.

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