Numbers Not Narratives

I’ve been tracking my sports betting action for ~2 years and I’m sitting around +350u all-time. I’m not a vibes or narrative bettor - I’m model-driven. I enter positions when the numbers show an edge vs the rest of the market: line value, injuries, correlational value, line lag, errors in markets, etc. Books hate it - I’m banned on Fliff & Underdog, and heavily limited on PrizePicks, Hard Rock, FanDuel & DraftKings. Hard Rock literally locks my account if I log in on mobile 😹😹 & PrizePicks won’t let me bet over $5 on my main account. I've had to figure out loopholes to be able to tiptoe around this so thats why I usually just post the plays themself bc I'm multi accounting to get my units down. I post everything I’m playing in my free discord & just share some of the plays here & on my tiktok! You’re free to ladder/parlay/bet whatever - but I’m almost always straight-betting unless I say otherwise. This is long-term EV, not “this has to win.” Ride or fade. I just trust the numbers & my personal edge in the longrun.

Banger day yday

The only way I can stop placing those 12 leg parlays

Recap from 1/7 Bets: Record: 11-22 Results: B/E 🙄 Best Bet: Bagley cashed so fast Worst Bet: had 4 diff bets that all missed again by 1 🤣 Month to date: -6.9u Long-term goal: +200u by 2027🤪 tryna double this

@NBA I’m actually trying to hit a deni avdija bet though🖕🏻😭

🗣️ AND-1! An impressive runner from Amen Thompson!

all we need 😈 Kyren/Corum CMC Saquon/Hurts Etienne/T-Law Swift/Monangai Cook/Allen Dowdle/Hubbard Jacobs/Wilson Hampton/Vidal Henderson/Rhamondre/Maye Marks/Chubb Gainwell/Warren

FREE NBA Plays🏀🗑️ 1u: Shai Gilgeous 5+ Boards +112 1u: Jimmy Butler 6+ Rebounds +110 1u: Collin Gillespie 3+ 3s -120 1u: Derik Queen u4.5 Assists -120 1u 1u: Nic Claxton o17.5 Pts+Boards -135 1u 2025 YTD: +133.80u ❤️ if tailing

Recap from 1/5 & 1/6 cuz I've been super busy Record: 6-17 Results: +.76u 🤑 Best Bet: Johnny Furphy's Rebounds (I personally laddered cuz i was heavilylimited on my main accounts) Worst Bet: only the bad beats hurt Month to date: -6.9u Long-term goal: +200u by 2027🤪

@garnachoszn17 IS THE GIVEAWAY WINNER - reach out in DMs so i can send to you🙏🏻

NEW YEARS GIVEAWAY 🤑🥶 $50 Venmo, Zelle, Cash App or .4 SOL giveaway to someone who does the following: - Joins our discord: discord.com/invite/KRvYHM5… - Follows us - RT, Like, & Tags a friend on this tweet Picking a winner in 3 days 🙏🙏

picking a winner tonight!

Double Daily Recap for 1/2-4 Record: 7-16 Result: breakeven across last 3 days Best Bet: Zaccharie Risacher 4+ Boards Worst Bet: Draymond Green last night (scumbag) Month to date: -7.65u Long-term goal: +200u by 2027🤪

Most value I found for tonight is OG Anunoby 3+ Assists Noah Clowney 3+ 3s Alex Caruso to record a block Posted all of my plays for tonight & some NFL picks already in my discord 🤑lets start this month out hot

@NBA @DKSportsbook Luke Kornet 4+ Assists tn🤪

Before San Antonio tips off tonight’s 10-game slate at 7pm/et on NBA League Pass, join Nate Duncan and Ros Gold-Onwude as they take you around the league and on the court on The Warmup presented by @DKSportsbook. Watch now on NBA TV and the NBA App!

LATE Daily Recap - 1/1 Record: 4-11 Result: -.3u Best Bet: Live Betting Ole Miss & (I also was personally laddering them all the way up to +530 based on the fair value my model was showing & hedging when Georgia went down to them in the 4th Q to lock in some free units). I was betting on both Fanduel & Polymarket Worst Bet: Betting on ANY players on the jazz last night 💀💀 Month to date: -7.65u Long-term goal: +200u by 2027🤪

@NBA Triple double loading 🙏🏻

Cam Thomas slithers his way to the basket! Brooklyn on an 11-2 run on NBA League Pass 🔥 Watch here: nba.com/how-to-watch-g…

@TheInternMason 💀💀

I really thought Ty Simpson was that guy

@MoneylineMafia_ I’m highly worried they won’t score 💀

I’m not worried at all Bama will comeback

@ChillyBets Cam Thomas is a LOCK🙂‍↕️

The First Four O’clock Four Man of the Year ⏰ 400 likes/RT and we’ll drop another ❤️ 80% off to start the year👇 dubclub.win/r/p/pri-v2vty/…

@BookitWithTrent Thank god i didn’t bet bama yet

Play of the Year: (0-1) Alabama +7.5 Mortal Mega Max.

@gem_ilm announced in discord, ill announce this winner in both discord & here

@NarrativesLose the last ga, no winners yet?