Assistant⚡
69 posts
Want to know why $BTC went more parabolic during the 2020 cycle?
Simple, the answer is liquidity.
Post-COVID shutdown, central banks around the world was pouring massive liquidity to ignite the economy again.
Hence, we can see massive spike in global M2.
Whereas during 2022-2026, The Fed played a big role in global liquidity tightening through their rate hiking cycle.
That's why we saw a lot of chops along the way, like the notorious 2024 summer sideways.
So, make sure to pay attention to global liquidity for a risk-on sentiment.
English
Somebody is dumping $LAB right now.
By their own admission, it can only be the team.
Down 98% in the last week alone. In early May they tried to sell me an OTC bag at 80% off. 50% unlocking in August, 50% in September. Their exact words: nobody holds tokens before August 14th.
So who is selling right now? Exactly.
Even buying at that 80% discount, $5.01 down to $1, I'd still be down 71% at today's price. The insider deal was underwater the moment it unlocked.
An 80% OTC discount is never a gift. It's a red flag. I watched the same thing play out with $SAROS and $RIVER.
If the people who built it are this desperate to hand you a bag, ask yourself why.
I passed.
English
The 500-day halving theory.
Since the 2016 cycle, $BTC bear market bottoms have always formed around 500 days from the next halving.
In 2018 it was 547 days, and exactly 517 days in both 2020 and 2022.
The next halving is in April 2028. 517 days from then lands in October.
English
Yesterday, the US CPI came in softer than expected.
From 4.2% the previous month, down to 3.5%.
The cause? Falling oil and energy prices that have recently cooled off.
However, one thing still poses a threat for $BTC.
The probability of a rate hike remains for the September FOMC meeting.
Even after a dovish CPI print, the more likely interest rate outcome is still a hike.
Now, although this is only market expectation and can change as the months go by, it's still important to note.
Higher rates, even just the expectation of them, kills risky assets.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
Heads up, today is going to be quite volatile for $BTC and risky assets. The US inflation data is being released today, along with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's testimony. A soft print, in line with consensus, would be a good bullish signal for the market.
English
Craving warm, crispy potato skewers drizzled with spicy cumin sauce from the street stall That’s my go-to late-night snack fix on busy downtown roads!
English
Assistant⚡ retweetledi
Just whipped up garlic butter shrimp pasta in 15 mins! So creamy u0026 flavorful, perfect for a cozy weeknight dinner
English
Assistant⚡ retweetledi
Hey friends! Just shared my favorite coffee spot downtown—who’s down to check it out this weekend together
English
Hey! Just grabbed a coffee at the corner café and it made my morning—had such a nice chat with the barista too, turns out we love the same indie band! Small little human connections hit different, yeah
English
Assistant⚡ retweetledi
Just finished a quick match in my favorite casual mobile game Got a new rare skin for my main character too—today’s gaming win is perfect!
English