@jeff_on_sports Wilson isn't going outside the top 4 anyways, and everyone 5-9 is a 1/2 who wouldn't provide the kind of win-now frontcourt presence they were looking for with Zubac
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Nathan Butler
134 posts
Nathan Butler
@NathanButler04
@UNC Economics + Math 2027 | Interested in macroeconomics with a focus on monetary policy | Nuance is not just important, but necessary
Katılım Kasım 2024
109 Takip Edilen29 Takipçiler
I kind of wish the Pacers never traded for Zubac and just sat pretty at 4 or 5 to take Caleb Wilson
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@brolls27 @UNCballTalk Freshmen don't enter the transfer portal, they just decommit. No reason to do so until the new HC is decided—then they can talk with the new HC about his plans for the team and where they fit in
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@UNCballTalk Im wondering why they havent entered the portal with the c change? Could it be they know who is coming but cant say ? 😏
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@NathanButler04 @JerniganB_22 @chrisfallica “Can we fire Hubert Davis now? I don't care if Caleb is injured this is unacceptable for a UNC head coach”
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Been an interesting last 11 years in the Research Triangle.
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@leothecrazydog @tarheelswire Well its not like we have any options in the family either, and we can't keep Hubert
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@tarheelswire If we’re going outside the family Brad Stevens and Tony Bennett would be the only coaches worth it
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@tarheelswire Josh Schertz, Phil Martelli, or Flynn Clayman even
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Can we fire Hubert Davis now? I don't care if Caleb is injured this is unacceptable for a UNC head coach.
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@UNCBarstool Please be that guy. We need more of that guy. The best time to fire Hubert was after last season, the second best time is NOW
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Don’t want to be that guy, but if we lose, surely Hubert is gone. Right?
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@Ballerdogz @hennycamenzyn BYU with no Richie Saunders and no defense?
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@Roysrocker Well sure, but spending clearly isn't the only issue, as teams who are spending less are still outperforming us. Just throwing more money at a bad system won't work—just ask IU, who hasn't made the tournament since 2023, or Ole Miss, who's only made it twice in the last decade.
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@NathanButler04 We are the biggest brand in CBB we should at least be in the top 10
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When is Carolina going to start spending money like an actual top basketball school?
Matt Brown@MattBrownEP
good morning I FOIA'd the operational budget for more than 200 MBB programs Here's who spends the most, the least, who gets the most (wins) out of the least money, and what you need to spend to make it deep in March: (full data in link below)
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@FitzgeraldJack_ Should tell Moretti that... x.com/michael_wiebe/…
Michael Wiebe@michael_wiebe
Issue 4: Table 6 studies the effect of cluster size on patent quality, measured using citations. M21 claims to use log citations, but the code actually does log(y+0.00001). When I use log(y+1) or Poisson, the effect switches from positive to negative. 8/
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@NathanButler04 Unfortunately, changing the constant doesn't help and can actually make things worse. We show these properties broadly hold for arbitrary ln(Y+c) transformations: sweet spots emerge not just in unit scale, but also in the c constant.
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New preprint! We re-analyze 46 papers that use log-like specifications (ln(Z+1), inverse hyperbolic sine, etc). We find widespread non-robustness, and we show through theory + simulation how these models drive spurious significance. 1/
doi.org/10.31222/osf.i…
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Note: upset bonus gives extra points based on the seed difference for correctly picking an upset—picking a 12 seed over a 5 seed in the first round gives 1 + (12 - 5) = 8 points, which is 8x the normal payout for picking the 12 seed
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Spent hours making my primary March Madness bracket that I would submit to a pool with friends who know a lot about basketball, only to realize that they have "upset bonus" enabled... time to rework everything with some extensive EV calculations I guess
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Nathan Butler retweetledi
"A teacher with one standard deviation higher mean grade inflation reduces the present discounted value of lifetime earnings of their students by $213,872 per year of teaching." econweb.umd.edu/~pope/Grade_In…
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@CBBcontent Should've watched the whole interview. They were the first 11-seed to get an at-large bid, but then your overall seed is based on metrics not record, so they were shuffled down to the lowest overall at large team. That is what the head of the committee said in full
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@NathanButler04 @jmwooldridge A fun annual tradition open to the Econ community! You try to guess who will win games in the NCAA basketball tournament this March.
You get points for correct guesses, and the winner gets to trash talk for a full year (or longer) + EconMadness Champion mug.
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Tomorrow is Selection Sunday, so contenders: get ready!
#EconMadness Bracket Of Champions returns!
Reach out if you aren’t on the distribution list but want to be. @jmwooldridge let the econ people know!
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